@FinanceYF5: Someone crunched the numbers from an r/LocalLLaMA chart: On average, it takes 24.8 months for the capability of a state-of-the-art cloud model to reach a level that can run locally on an ordinary laptop. GPT-3 took 37 months, GPT-3.5 took 17 months, and GPT-4 took about 24 months. Following this pace, Fa…
Summary
Based on an r/LocalLLaMA chart, it takes an average of 24.8 months for a top-tier cloud AI model's capability to reach parity on a regular laptop. GPT-3 took 37 months, GPT-3.5 took 17 months, and GPT-4 about 24 months. Capabilities at the Fable/Mythos 5 level are projected to become available on high-end consumer PCs by July 2028.
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Someone crunched the numbers based on a chart from r/LocalLLaMA: On average, it takes 24.8 months from the release of a top-tier cloud model until the same level of capability can run locally on a regular laptop.
For GPT-3, it took 37 months to catch up, GPT-3.5 took 17 months, and GPT-4 about 24 months.
Following this pace, a model at the level of Fable/Mythos 5 could fit into a high-end consumer computer around July 2028. https://t.co/Oo4cF5AL6M
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