@VraserX: I keep wondering when local AI models running on normal 16 GB RAM machines will catch up to what GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable …

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A user speculates when local AI models on 16GB RAM machines will match GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable 5, guessing about 18 months.

I keep wondering when local AI models running on normal 16 GB RAM machines will catch up to what GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable 5 can do today. My guess is around 18 months. What do you think?
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Cached at: 07/05/26, 10:38 PM

I keep wondering when local AI models running on normal 16 GB RAM machines will catch up to what GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable 5 can do today.

My guess is around 18 months. What do you think?

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@FinanceYF5: Someone crunched the numbers from an r/LocalLLaMA chart: On average, it takes 24.8 months for the capability of a state-of-the-art cloud model to reach a level that can run locally on an ordinary laptop. GPT-3 took 37 months, GPT-3.5 took 17 months, and GPT-4 took about 24 months. Following this pace, Fa…

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Based on an r/LocalLLaMA chart, it takes an average of 24.8 months for a top-tier cloud AI model's capability to reach parity on a regular laptop. GPT-3 took 37 months, GPT-3.5 took 17 months, and GPT-4 about 24 months. Capabilities at the Fable/Mythos 5 level are projected to become available on high-end consumer PCs by July 2028.