@rohanpaul_ai: > Oracle is going for 10x compute capacity in 3 years. from ~1GW (FY25) to ~3GW (FY26) to a planned ~10GW by FY28. > Or…

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Summary

At its Oct 28, 2026 investor day, Oracle revealed plans to scale compute capacity 10x to ~10GW by FY28, with AI backlog surging 4.6x to $638B in remaining performance obligations.

> Oracle is going for 10x compute capacity in 3 years. from ~1GW (FY25) to ~3GW (FY26) to a planned ~10GW by FY28. > Oracle’s AI backlog grew 4.6x in one year. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) went from $138B at end of FY25 to $638B at end of FY26, about $500B of new contracted business in 12 months. > What 7GW could be worth. Oracle’s own 1GW example earns ~$11B to ~$16B a year once fully ramped. Applied to ~7GW, that is roughly $77B to $112B in annual revenue at full ramp. From Oracle Investor day slide deck held yesterday, Oct 28, 2026, in Las Vegas.
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Oracle is going for 10x compute capacity in 3 years.

from ~1GW (FY25) to ~3GW (FY26) to a planned ~10GW by FY28.

Oracle’s AI backlog grew 4.6x in one year. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) went from $138B at end of FY25 to $638B at end of FY26, about $500B of new contracted business in 12 months.

What 7GW could be worth. Oracle’s own 1GW example earns ~11B to ~16B a year once fully ramped. Applied to ~7GW, that is roughly $77B to $112B in annual revenue at full ramp.

From Oracle Investor day slide deck held yesterday, Oct 28, 2026, in Las Vegas.

New Meta paper finds Reinforcement learning post-training makes an agent better on its first attempt and worse at ever finding a solution when it gets 128 attempts.

People assume reinforcement learning teaches agents new skills like tool calling.

That claim comes mostly from math and coding, where base models have already seen huge amounts of data.

They ran 14 base and post-trained model pairs on 3 agentic benchmarks with up to 128 tries per task. They also built PTGS, a sampler that raises temperature on hard prompts and lowers it on easy ones.

On WebShop a gemma-4-31B base model solved over 85% of tasks within 128 tries against 56% for the post-trained version. Their Sharpening Tax came out positive in 36 of 42 model and benchmark pairs, meaning coverage shrank.

Before picking a post-trained model for an agent that can retry, measure how many tasks it ever solves, not just first-try accuracy.

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