What Effort Level Should I Choose? On the Economics of Reasoning Effort in LLM Agents
Summary
该论文将生成模型的推理 effort 视为'信任品',通过反事实实验量化不同 effort 级别对成本与准确率的影响,发现从低 effort 起步、失败后再升级的策略在多数模型和基准上以更低成本达到或超过固定最高 effort 的效果。
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Paper page - What Effort Level Should I Choose? On the Economics of Reasoning Effort in LLM Agents
Source: https://huggingface.co/papers/2610.34491
Abstract
Reasoning effort in generative models acts as a credence good where higher compute does not guarantee better instance-level results, and an escalation strategy from low effort improves cost-efficiency.
Generative models increasingly expose areasoning effortsetting that lets users scaleinference-time compute, trading higher cost for potentially improved performance. Users must choose an effort level before knowing whether extra reasoning will help, and even a successful run does not reveal whether the effort purchased was necessary.Reasoning effortis therefore a credence good: buyers observe the outcome but cannot assess the marginal value of the computation they paid for. In this work, we measure thecounterfactual effectof effort levels on both proprietary and open-weight models on four benchmarks, spanning single-call reasoning and long-horizonagentic tasks. Effort, it turns out, does not consistently preserve tasks that lower effort solves, can overspend, and can changetrajectory behavior. First, we find that although higher effort can raise accuracy in aggregate, it frequently fails on tasks that lower effort solved. Second, on the subset of easy tasks that every effort level solves, higher effort is generally more costly, with the highest effort level costing up to 42x as much as the lowest. Lastly, effort changes not only how many tokens are used, but also how agents solve tasks: at higher effort, agents verify their own work more heavily and more often search for solutions than work through problems directly, both of which lengthen trajectories without necessarily altering the outcome. These findings show that naively choosing the highest level is not only cost-inefficient but also offers no guarantee of the best instance-level performance. A simple alternative, starting at the lowest effort and escalating only after a verified failure, matches or improves on fixed top effort across all models and benchmarks at lower cost for most proprietary models.
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