Frontier models' ability to control robot arms is doubling every 54 days (11 minute read)

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Summary

A LessWrong analysis finds that frontier models' ability to control robot arms is improving rapidly, doubling approximately every 54 days, suggesting accelerating progress in embodied AI capabilities.

Researchers tested nine multimodal models on six real-arm tasks between July and October and found performance doubling about every 54 days, with the best execution rate up 4.4x and the lowest cost per subtask down 6.2x. Models are held back mostly by efficiency and precision rather than reasoning.
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Cached at: 10/28/26, 01:22 AM

# The Ability of Frontier Models to Control Robots is Rapidly Improving — LessWrong Source: [https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ndS9Xn8Qx5PppHJ3Q/the-ability-of-frontier-models-to-control-robots-is-rapidly](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ndS9Xn8Qx5PppHJ3Q/the-ability-of-frontier-models-to-control-robots-is-rapidly) x The Ability of Frontier Models to Control Robots is Rapidly Improving — LessWrong

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