@FinanceYF5: 1/ An Anthropic researcher told a room full of PhD students: "The career paths you originally planned no longer exist." The talk was titled "The End of the Humanocene," and the data in it was brutal.

1/ An Anthropic researcher said to a room full of PhD students:

“The career paths you originally planned no longer exist.”

This talk is titled The End of the Anthropocene, and the data in it is brutal. 👇 https://t.co/Euzqxkk9ju

2/ Over the past decade, the compute used to train AI models has grown by a factor of 10 million.

At the same time, the duration of tasks AI can perform independently doubles every few months.

Models are shifting from answering questions to independently completing increasingly longer stretches of work.

3/ Over the past seven months, models have been solving open Erdős problems that mathematicians had not been able to crack.

In San Francisco, even what’s considered a “long timeline” means believing AGI is still 10 years away.

The industry’s expectation of the pace of change already far exceeds what most people imagine.

4/ His projection:

Compute in 2030 will be 10,000× that of 2025.

If this holds true, everything we see right now is still just the beginning of exponential growth.

5/ His first two pieces of advice to students:

1. Use AI every single day. As long as you stay on the exponential curve, you won’t be left behind.

2. Choose projects that become more valuable as compute grows. Other problems may already be solved before you finish.

6/ His third piece of advice: stop planning your career as a fixed, stable path.

The so-called “safe option” no longer provides safety — because it no longer exists.

The closing line sums up the entire talk:

“Writing is thinking. If you outsource writing, you outsource thinking.”

Original source:

That’s everything.

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