@VraserX: I’m increasingly convinced OpenAI is ~6 months ahead of Anthropic internally. The mistake people make is comparing what…
Summary
A commentary arguing OpenAI is likely ~6 months ahead of Anthropic internally, deliberately withholding its frontier models and releasing only what it's comfortable showing to preserve its compute and strategic advantage.
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Cached at: 10/05/26, 03:34 PM
I’m increasingly convinced OpenAI is ~6 months ahead of Anthropic internally.
The mistake people make is comparing what’s public and assuming that’s the frontier.
OpenAI has every incentive to sit on its best models until it actually needs them. If you already have the lead, why burn your compute advantage and reveal your hand?
Anthropic ships something great. OpenAI waits. Then drops the next tier.
I don’t think we’re seeing OpenAI’s frontier. We’re seeing what they’re comfortable releasing.
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