The present is a moving target. Imagining that our tech of today will be the same in the near future seems like folly.

I keep reading posts and articles declaring which jobs are at risk, whether jobs are at risk in general, and how to survive in an AI world. If this technology is moving at an exponential rate like many say it is, isnt all of this advice stale shortly after reaching its audience? People seem to be projecting todays technology onto the future rather than imaging how drastically different it may be by then. I read soneone on linked in reassure his readers that he had never seen a tool that replaces jobs, only ones that make them more efficient. Therefore he concluded jobs werent at risk. I do not find that logic sound, that he hasnt seen it yet and therefore we wont see tools like that soon. Writers like Melanie Mitchell wrote just prior to the gen ai revolution and didnt predict it. Why are we so sure we know what the near future has in store?