@aleabitoreddit: Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS: First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI c…

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Summary

A tweet outlining a weekend guide for shorting Nebius (NBIS) by reading hyperscaler AI cloud earnings, and going long Lululemon (LULU) as a hedge.

Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS: First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through: > $GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings > $AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings > $META: reports higher than expected prices for available capacity from earnings. Now, time to look at Nebius: -> $NBIS: Growing hundreds of percent to $7-9B ARR by Q4. Growing margins, and guided 4GW+ contracted power. -> Sees Uber/Waymo splitting, putting more focus on Avride -> Sees Clickhouse growing rapidly every quarter. Okay looks bad! But next, you need a hedge? -> Wow! A $NIKE brand executive, after the stock dropped 75% over the past 5 years, went to $LULU to save that brand next? Lululemon seems good. Conclusion: Short Nebius and go long on $LULU
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Today I’m writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS:

First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through:

$GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings

$AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings

$META: reports higher than expected prices for available capacity from earnings.

Now, time to look at Nebius:

-> $NBIS: Growing hundreds of percent to $7-9B ARR by Q4. Growing margins, and guided 4GW+ contracted power. -> Sees Uber/Waymo splitting, putting more focus on Avride -> Sees Clickhouse growing rapidly every quarter.

Okay looks bad! But next, you need a hedge?

-> Wow! A $NIKE brand executive, after the stock dropped 75% over the past 5 years, went to $LULU to save that brand next? Lululemon seems good.

Conclusion: Short Nebius and go long on $LULU

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