@aleabitoreddit: Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS: First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI c…
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A tweet outlining a weekend guide for shorting Nebius (NBIS) by reading hyperscaler AI cloud earnings, and going long Lululemon (LULU) as a hedge.
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Today I’m writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS:
First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through:
$GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings
$AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings
$META: reports higher than expected prices for available capacity from earnings.
Now, time to look at Nebius:
-> $NBIS: Growing hundreds of percent to $7-9B ARR by Q4. Growing margins, and guided 4GW+ contracted power. -> Sees Uber/Waymo splitting, putting more focus on Avride -> Sees Clickhouse growing rapidly every quarter.
Okay looks bad! But next, you need a hedge?
-> Wow! A $NIKE brand executive, after the stock dropped 75% over the past 5 years, went to $LULU to save that brand next? Lululemon seems good.
Conclusion: Short Nebius and go long on $LULU
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