@VraserX: Anthropic estimates robots are cost-competitive for just 0.3% of US work by working time. Getting to 10% would take aro…
Summary
A tweet highlights an Anthropic study estimating that robots are cost-competitive for only 0.3% of US work by working time, with reaching 10% taking ~40 years at historical price-decline rates—questioning whether AI could accelerate robot manufacturing and invalidate the price trajectory assumption.
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Cached at: 10/04/26, 03:07 AM
Anthropic estimates robots are cost-competitive for just 0.3% of US work by working time. Getting to 10% would take around 40 years if prices keep falling at their historical rate.
That last assumption is doing a lot of work.
If AI makes robot engineering, training and manufacturing much cheaper, yesterday’s price curve could become a terrible guide. The study itself acknowledges that possibility.
I want the current cost estimate. I’m much less convinced by the timeline.
Would you bet on robots remaining uneconomical for almost everything in 2036?
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