@tferriss: “I never think about exits. We need to focus on the product. Do we have a product that everyone wants to use? If you so…
Summary
Tim Ferriss shares an interview with entrepreneur Kevin Ryan, discussing how to identify long-term trends and build successful companies, drawing from Ryan's experience with MongoDB, AlleyCorp, and other ventures.
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“I never think about exits. We need to focus on the product. Do we have a product that everyone wants to use? If you solve that, everything else follows.” — Kevin Ryan
Listen to my interview with Kevin Ryan: https://t.co/Rkx0ujduqE
How to Spot 10-Year Trends and Build Billion-Dollar Companies — Kevin Ryan of DoubleClick, MongoDB, Business Insider, and Many More (#884) - The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
Source: https://tim.blog/2026/09/24/kevin-ryan/ Kevin Ryanis one of the leading entrepreneurs and investors in New York. Often called the “Godfather of NYC tech,” he is the founder and CEO ofAlleyCorp, a New York based venture capital firm that incubates and invests across healthcare, AI and software, consumer tech, deep tech, and more. Kevin is also the co-founder of several notable companies including MongoDB, Business Insider, Zola, Gilt Groupe, and Transcend Therapeutics. Earlier in his career, Kevin was the CEO of DoubleClick, which he helped grow from a 20-person startup to a publicly-traded company with more than 1,500 employees.
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How to Spot 10-Year Trends and Build Billion-Dollar Companies — Kevin Ryan of DoubleClick, MongoDB, Business Insider, and Many More
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Transcripts
Show Notes
Connect with Kevin Ryan and AlleyCorp
Related Reading, Listening, and Viewing
- Team Extreme in Antarctica| Fabrice Grinda
- Otsuka Pharmaceutical Completes Acquisition of Transcend Therapeutics| Otsuka Pharmaceutical
- AlleyCorp’s New $335M Fund| AlleyCorp’s Newsletter
- How Do You Identify a Big Idea? AlleyCorp’s Kevin Ryan Shares Tips| Founder’s Journey
- Value-Based Care| Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
- Kevin Ryan — How This Billionaire Founder Finds +$20B Business Ideas (#495)| My First Million
- Sequoia’s Shaun Maguire Leads $1B Round for Nuclear Startup Valar Atomics| TechCrunch
- Helion| Sam Altman
- Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS): 26 U.S. Code § 1202| Legal Information Institute, Cornell Law School
- IMPACT-1 Study Published inJAMA Psychiatry: Results of TSND-201 (Methylone) in Patients with Severe PTSD| Transcend Therapeutics
- Dr. John Krystal — All Things Ketamine, The Most Comprehensive Podcast Episode Ever (#625)| The Tim Ferriss Show
- Rick Doblin — The Psychedelic Domino That Tips All Others (#440)| The Tim Ferriss Show
- Dr. Martin Polanco and Dr. Dan Engle — Are Psychedelic Drugs the Next Medical Breakthrough? (#104)| The Tim Ferriss Show
- Trump Signs Executive Order Urging More Research into Ibogaine and Other Psychedelics| CNN
- Dr. Nolan Williams — A Glimpse of the Future: Electroceuticals for 70%–90% Remission of Depression, Brain Stimulation for Sports Performance, and De-risking Ibogaine for TBI/PTSD (#714)| The Tim Ferriss Show
- Public Benefit Corporations| Delaware Code Online
- NYC Startups Raise $8.88B in Q2 2026 — Best Capital Quarter Since 2021 — as AI and Fintech Megadeals Reshape the Market| AlleyWatch
Books
- *How to Change Your Mind*by Michael Pollan
People
- Sam Altman
- Henry Blodget
- Nicolas Boillot
- Usain Bolt
- Dr. Dan Engle
- Harley Finkelstein
- Kathy Hochul
- Peter Kafka
- Travis Kalanick
- Dr. Ben Kelmendi
- Dr. John Krystal
- Tobi Lütke
- Blake Mandell
- Dwight Merriman
- Atanda Musa
- Sam Parr
- Dr. Martin Polanco
- Michael Pollan
- Shaan Puri
- Sasha Shulgin
- Peter Thiel
- Donald Trump
Organizations, Places, and Resources
- DoubleClick
- MongoDB Inc.
- Business Insider
- Prudential Investment Corp.(now PGIM)
- INSEAD
- Euro Disney(now Disneyland Paris)
- United Media
- AlleyCorp
- Gilt Groupe
- Zola
- Nomad Health
- Axel Springer
- Hudson’s Bay Company
- Transcend Therapeutics
- Otsuka Pharmaceutical
- Deep Tech New York
- DOC
- Digital Health New York
- Odyssey
- Val d’Isère
- Dialog
- Shopify
- Vente-privee(now Veepee)
- Marc Jacobs
- Macy’s
- Farfetch
- Theory
- Saks Fifth Avenue
- Business Week(nowBloomberg Businessweek)
- Dilbert
- IBM
- Excite
- Microsoft
- Procter & Gamble
- Y Combinator
- The Wall Street Journal
- Union Square Ventures
- Valar Atomics
- Commonwealth Fusion Systems
- Helion
- Sequoia Capital
- The New York Times
- Yale Program for Psychedelic Science| Yale School of Medicine
- U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
- Lykos Therapeutics(now Resilient Pharmaceuticals)
- Psychedelic Science Funders Collaborative (PSFC)
- Oregon Psilocybin Services| Oregon Health Authority
- Natural Medicine Division| Colorado Department of Revenue
- Portal Space Systems
- Boston Dynamics
- Aescape
- Premier League Football
- Datadog
Timestamps
- [00:00:00] Start.
- [00:01:25] The chronology, prepared by the robots.
- [00:03:40] 20 trends on a whiteboard, 10 years out.
- [00:06:33] Four conferences, a China trip, and how to seat 30 people.
- [00:11:42] The YouTube Kevin didn’t start.
- [00:17:47] Gilt: $500 million in year four, then a falling knife.
- [00:22:06] “We’re going to wait for the next internet.”
- [00:25:58] DoubleClick: 25 countries before one was profitable.
- [00:27:52] The AlleyCorp model: $500K each, a year to build, then raise.
- [00:32:26] Recruiting Henry Blodget in 30 minutes.
- [00:38:28] The two-week business crush.
- [00:41:44] Valar Atomics: $20 million to $6 billion in three years.
- [00:45:25] Why the fund stays small: 2% vs. 20%.
- [00:47:15] Ping pong, red wine, and Ibiza dance floors.
- [00:49:05] Three things only; everything else cut 80%.
- [00:51:52] The book that changed Kevin’s mind at 54.
- [00:54:20] Methylone: MDMA’s gentler, shorter cousin.
- [00:56:54] The second mouse gets the cheese.
- [00:59:57] A public benefit corp that actually pays out.
- [01:05:46] Is early-stage venture dead?
- [01:08:04] Robot massage and the AI agent that switched to Spanish.
- [01:11:35] The healthcare Shopify that failed; MongoDB’s revenue-free years.
- [01:15:06] Kevin’s billboard.
- [01:16:19] Pulling levers: taxes, training, and immigrants.
- [01:20:04] New York is booming.
- [01:21:41] Parting thoughts.
Quotes from Kevin Ryan
“I went to the parent company and I said, ‘This internet thing’s going to be big and we have a head start, so why don’t you give me … a couple million dollars and I’ll build up an internet division. We can do it for other companies.’ The disturbing thing is the guy I was talking to … said, “No, because we’re going to wait for the next internet.” First of all, I know you don’t know what you’re talking about. There is no next internet.”
— Kevin Ryan
“It’s important to start narrow.”
— Kevin Ryan
“It’s better to do one thing really well than a bad job on everything.”
— Kevin Ryan
“I never think about exits. We need to focus on the product. Do we have a product that everyone wants to use? If you solve that, everything else follows.”
— Kevin Ryan
“There’s a saying that “The early [bird] gets the [worm]. But the second mouse gets the cheese.”
— Kevin Ryan
**“There are 164 soft drinks. The odds of you coming up with one that stands out is pretty slim.**Whereas the changes that are occurring or have occurred in solar or wind or geothermal or nuclear, there are going to be billions and billions and billions of dollars of contracts signed to produce energy. Robotics, same thing.
— Kevin Ryan
**Want to hearanother episode with someone who builds category-defining companies and bets on where technology is headed?**Listen to my conversation with Netscape co-creator and Andreessen Horowitz co-founderMarc Andreessen, in which we discussed his rules for investing, how he decides whether a company should stay the course or pivot, why his firm bets for change when others bet against it, the factors behind a big investment, the future of AI and drones, bitcoin, “strong opinions loosely held,” his debate with Peter Thiel,and much more.
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