@elonmusk: If this is rephrased as “useful output of US”, then >50% growth by 2030 due to SI is extremely likely, unless there is …
Summary
Elon Musk responded to Kalshi prediction markets, stating that if the question is rephrased as 'useful output of the US economy,' then over 50% growth by 2030 due to superintelligence is extremely likely, barring a major war.
View Cached Full Text
Cached at: 10/18/26, 03:07 PM
@Kalshi If this is rephrased as “useful output of US”, then >50% growth by 2030 due to SI is extremely likely, unless there is a major war
Similar Articles
@elonmusk: My guess is that AI roughly doubles US GDP growth next year from ~2% to ~4%. Maybe even more.
Elon Musk predicts that AI could roughly double US GDP growth next year from approximately 2% to 4% or more.
@elonmusk: AI+robots will more than double the global economy in less than 10 years
Elon Musk has said that AI could increase the global economy by 20% to 30% in less than a decade.
@rohanpaul_ai: Elon Musk: the industry is misunderstanding the math of superintelligence by a massive margin. The actual potential for…
Elon Musk argues that the AI industry significantly underestimates the potential for intelligence density in superintelligence, suggesting a 100x improvement from algorithmic advancements.
@rohanpaul_ai: "In 5 years, by 2031, digital intelligence will exceed the sum of all human intelligence. There will be, in five years,…
Elon Musk predicts that by 2031 digital intelligence will surpass all human intelligence, with hundreds of millions to a billion humanoid robots and a doubled economy.
@elonmusk: Still a lot of humans involved, but fewer as SI gets better at improving itself
Elon Musk replies that while many humans are still involved in AI development, that number shrinks as superintelligence becomes better at improving itself.