Policy experts: Europe stuck between "rock and a hard place" on launch

Ars Technica Papers

Summary

Policy experts highlight that Europe faces high space launch costs and a strategic dilemma, choosing between lower-cost US technology or expensive, poorly scalable domestic options to remain competitive.

<p>A decade ago, SpaceX began to land the first stages of the Falcon 9 rocket with some regularity, but it's only within the last five years that the company has begun flying the rocket dozens and then hundreds of times a year.</p> <p>As a result, SpaceX has very rapidly become responsible for more than three-quarters of all mass launched into orbit. Much of this is the company's Starlink satellites, but due to cost and the lack of alternatives, SpaceX has also stepped up to launch payloads from all comers, including direct competitors such as Amazon, Northrop Grumman, AST Space Mobile, OneWeb, and more.</p> <p>New research is beginning to quantify just how much the introduction of the Falcon 9 rocket, the adoption of reuse, and the vehicle's high cadence have upended the global launch market.</p><p><a href="https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/08/policy-experts-europe-stuck-between-rock-and-a-hard-place-on-launch/">Read full article</a></p> <p><a href="https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/08/policy-experts-europe-stuck-between-rock-and-a-hard-place-on-launch/#comments">Comments</a></p>
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Cached at: 08/14/26, 09:34 PM

# Policy experts: Europe stuck between "rock and a hard place" on launch Source: [https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/08/policy-experts-europe-stuck-between-rock-and-a-hard-place-on-launch/](https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/08/policy-experts-europe-stuck-between-rock-and-a-hard-place-on-launch/) ## Launch costs disparity SpaceX has also made significant gains in controlling costs compared to other nations\. A decade ago, the United States and Europe had similar launch costs\. Today, according to publicly available data, launch costs in Europe are now three times higher than for comparable payloads in the United States\. The researchers estimate that the average cost of sending a kilogram of payload to orbit in the United States is now $3,225, compared to higher costs elsewhere: Japan \($5,287\), China \($5,809\), Russia \($6,682\), and Europe \($9,897\)\. India is higher still at nearly $15,000 a kilogram\. [![](https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/1-s2.0-S0165176526003782-gr3_lrg-1024x654.jpg)](https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/1-s2.0-S0165176526003782-gr3_lrg.jpg) Average cost per kg to orbit by country in 2025\. Credit: Economics Letters Average cost per kg to orbit by country in 2025\.Credit: Economics Letters “The very high figure for India might be counterintuitive as it stands in stark contrast with the narrative of the country’s frugal space program,” the authors write\. “However, this is a result of focusing on small rocket sizes, which implies that, albeit being low by international standards, fixed costs get amortized over a limited payload\.” The key factors in bringing down costs are larger rockets, increased cadence, and reuse of launch vehicles\. ## “Poorly scalable domestic technology” As for what other countries should do about this, the researchers assert that nations in Europe and elsewhere that decide to rely solely on their domestic rockets for launch needs will see their costs go up, which could slow their efforts to expand space\-based operations such as satellite constellations\. This leaves policymakers in a difficult position\. “Looking specifically at Europe, for now the continent is stuck between a rock and a hard place, having to choose between continuing to depend on lower\-cost American launch technology and relying on expensive, poorly scalable domestic technology to expand its strategic presence in space,” the authors write\. Ultimately, to remain competitive, spacefaring nations will need to develop better and more modern launch capabilities\. The United States is far and away the current leader of reusable launch, and virtually all new commercial rockets under development incorporate some aspect of reuse\. Chinese firms are similarly pushing forward with this technology\. To date, Europe’s efforts have been slow and stodgy\. For example, a European Space Agency program to demonstrate small, suborbital hops called Themis was originally supposed to perform low\-altitude hop tests by 2022\. So far, the vehicle has yet to get off the ground\.

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