I don't see how governments and companies around the world will now not switch to open weight models in the medium term.

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Summary

The author argues that governments and companies will increasingly switch to open-weight AI models to avoid US government control over access, noting that open models are only slightly behind closed ones and move at a pace more suited to real-world bureaucracy.

With open weights at least you can host the model yourself and the US administration can't shut off access. And historically open models are only a couple of months behind closed ones which might be a lot in the AI industry but it's not that relevant in "the real world" where everything works much slower due to bureaucracy and whatnot.
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