Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment

arXiv cs.CL Papers

Summary

这篇论文提出一个用于可解释自杀风险评估的框架,包含风险评估、证据定位和心理社会因素识别三个模块,并在 IEEE BigData 2026 Explainable Suicide Risk Detection Challenge 中报告了相应的 F1 结果。

arXiv:2610.08842v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Identifying suicide risk from social networking services (SNS) posts is important for detecting suicide-related signals in online environments. However, risk classification alone provides limited insight into the textual evidence and psychosocial factors behind a prediction. Based on the IEEE BigData 2026 Explainable Suicide Risk Detection Challenge, this study presents a framework consisting of Risk Assessment, Evidence Grounding, and Factor Identification. Risk Assessment uses length-based routing to accommodate posts of different lengths. Evidence Grounding identifies supporting phrases and uses a Risk-Evidence constraint to maintain consistency with the Risk prediction. For Factor Identification, two verifiers are used. The Taxonomy Verifier focuses on factor semantics, whereas the Evidence-Aware Verifier uses factor-specific lexical-semantic cues to select informative positive training units. Their prediction probabilities are combined to produce the final factor predictions. The three tasks are evaluated using task-specific F1 score measures. Risk Assessment achieved a Weighted F1 of 0.8088, Evidence Grounding achieved a test Macro row F1 of 0.7605, and Factor Identification achieved a Macro F1 of 0.5562. The results show that the framework can provide risk predictions, along with supporting textual evidence and fine-grained information on psychosocial factors. Overall, the proposed framework extends suicide-risk assessment beyond risk-level prediction and provides a more interpretable analysis of SNS posts.
Original Article
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# Beyond Risk Prediction: Evidence Grounding and Psychosocial Factor Verification for Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment
Source: [https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08842](https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08842)
[View PDF](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.08842)[HTML \(experimental\)](https://arxiv.org/html/2610.08842v1)

> Abstract:Identifying suicide risk from social networking services \(SNS\) posts is important for detecting suicide\-related signals in online environments\. However, risk classification alone provides limited insight into the textual evidence and psychosocial factors behind a prediction\. Based on the IEEE BigData 2026 Explainable Suicide Risk Detection Challenge, this study presents a framework consisting of Risk Assessment, Evidence Grounding, and Factor Identification\. Risk Assessment uses length\-based routing to accommodate posts of different lengths\. Evidence Grounding identifies supporting phrases and uses a Risk\-Evidence constraint to maintain consistency with the Risk prediction\. For Factor Identification, two verifiers are used\. The Taxonomy Verifier focuses on factor semantics, whereas the Evidence\-Aware Verifier uses factor\-specific lexical\-semantic cues to select informative positive training units\. Their prediction probabilities are combined to produce the final factor predictions\. The three tasks are evaluated using task\-specific F1 score measures\. Risk Assessment achieved a Weighted F1 of 0\.8088, Evidence Grounding achieved a test Macro row F1 of 0\.7605, and Factor Identification achieved a Macro F1 of 0\.5562\. The results show that the framework can provide risk predictions, along with supporting textual evidence and fine\-grained information on psychosocial factors\. Overall, the proposed framework extends suicide\-risk assessment beyond risk\-level prediction and provides a more interpretable analysis of SNS posts\.

## Submission history

From: Tianle Hu \[[view email](https://arxiv.org/show-email/9b489cb6/2610.08842)\] **\[v1\]**Wed, 30 Sep 2026 12:07:01 UTC \(436 KB\)

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