@realCaigu: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said a heavy statement in a 2-hour interview: We are approaching the end of the exponential curve. He gave three judgments. First, Anthropic's internal models can already complete "100% of today's coding tasks..."

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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said in an interview that we are approaching the end of the exponential curve, internal models can already complete 100% of coding tasks, and predicts a 90% probability of a 'country of geniuses in a datacenter' within 10 years.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said a very heavy statement in a 2-hour interview: We are approaching the end of the exponential curve. He gave three judgments. First, Anthropic's internal models can already complete "100% of today's coding tasks". Second, within 10 years there is a 90% probability of a "country of geniuses in a datacenter", i.e., a country of geniuses in a datacenter. Third, and this is what even Dwarkesh couldn't help but ask: since AGI is so close, why does he still need to buy more datacenters? Save this one, look back in 2028, see who was right.
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Cached at: 06/16/26, 07:41 PM

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei made a striking statement in a 2-hour interview: We are nearing the end of the exponential curve.

He offered three observations. First, Anthropic’s internal models can already handle “100% of today’s coding tasks.” Second, there is a 90% probability that within 10 years, a “country of geniuses in a datacenter” will emerge—a nation of geniuses housed in a data center.

Third, and this is the point even Dwarkesh couldn’t help pressing: if AGI is already this close, why does he keep buying more datacenters? Save this one—look back in 2028 to see who was right.

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