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Bayesian Distribution System State Estimation with Flow Matching

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-11-02 Cached

The paper proposes PoSE, a Bayesian distribution system state estimation method that uses a flow-matching-trained neural network to learn only the distribution of substation injections, while power flow equations and measurements enter at sampling time via a noise-aware Kalman-type correction, achieving better CRPS and calibrated uncertainty than Gaussian priors and supervised estimators on IEEE 33-bus and Iowa 240-bus feeders.

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#bayesian-deep-learning

Theoretical and Practical Advances in Hierarchical Bayesian Deep Learning Methodology

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-10-15 Cached

该论文提出了多层粒子边缘Metropolis-Hastings(MLPMMH)方法,通过伪边缘推断与跨网络宽度截断层级的耦合SMC相结合,实现分层贝叶斯深度学习中参数与超参数的联合推断,并在理论上证明了O(ε²)的均方误差与O(ε⁻²)的计算复杂度,同时给出可扩展的近似版本S-MLPMMH用于MNIST实验。

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SQS: Bayesian DNN Compression through Sparse Quantized Sub-distributions

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-07 Cached

The paper introduces a unified Bayesian variational framework combining spike-and-slab sparsity and Gaussian mixture quantization for high compression rates in large neural networks with minimal accuracy loss.

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Bayesian uncertainty estimation improves clinical decision making in medical AI agents

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-24 Cached

This paper shows that Monte Carlo dropout provides epistemic uncertainty signals for chest radiograph classifiers, which improves error detection and reduces confident misdiagnoses in clinical decision-support agents when communicated as a binary error-risk flag.

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AI for Social Good: An Investigation of the Causal Relationship Between Environmental Regulations and Their Effects on Air Pollution in London, UK

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-06-16 Cached

This paper develops a Bayesian deep learning framework to estimate the causal effect of air pollution regulations on PM2.5 concentrations in London from 2010 to 2020, finding an average reduction of 1.88 μg/m³ (12.35%).

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#bayesian-deep-learning

Position: The Time for Sampling Is Now! Charting a New Course for Bayesian Deep Learning

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-05-22 Cached

This position paper argues that sampling-based inference in Bayesian neural networks has achieved computational parity with optimization-based methods and is poised to supersede them, offering superior uncertainty quantification and prediction performance.

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bde: A Python Package for Bayesian Deep Ensembles via MILE

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-05-15 Cached

bde is a Python package that brings sampling-based Bayesian Deep Learning to practitioners via the MILE method, combining JAX's speed with scikit-learn's API for tabular supervised learning tasks.

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