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#clinical-prediction

Predicting Live Birth After Fresh Embryo Transfer in IVF/ICSI: Differential ICM/Trophectoderm Morphology Encoding and a Hybrid Attention--Logistic Regression Ensemble

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 5d ago Cached

该论文提出了一种针对小型临床表格数据的混合注意力网络+逻辑回归(HAN+LR)集成模型,用于在鲜胚移植前预测IVF/ICSI活产,在616个周期的数据集上取得0.710的AUC-ROC,优于TabPFN和文本序列化语言模型基线,并提出对滋养层细胞差异化加权的胚胎形态编码方法。

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#clinical-prediction

ECG Mirage: Revealing and Mitigating the Underutilisation of ECGs in Vision-Language Models for Clinical Prediction

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-09-21 Cached

The study identifies 'ECG Mirage' in vision-language models for clinical prediction, where models underutilize ECG data despite apparent multimodal capability, and proposes visual prompt tuning as an efficient mitigation strategy.

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#clinical-prediction

M2G-LLM: Enhancing Clinical Prediction via Multimodal Graph Reasoning and LLM Context Injection

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-21 Cached

This paper introduces M2G-LLM, a framework that enhances Large Language Models with multimodal graph reasoning via Graph Neural Networks to improve clinical prediction tasks using electronic health records.

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#clinical-prediction

Reinforcement Learning over Patient Trajectories for Clinical Reasoning in EHR Foundation Models

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-14 Cached

This paper proposes a reinforcement learning fine-tuning framework to enhance clinical reasoning in EHR foundation models by treating them as generative policies over patient trajectories, showing that RL fine-tuning improves performance and enables smaller models to surpass larger ones in data-limited scenarios.

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#clinical-prediction

DR-LabStack: Design and Implementation of a Clinician-Facing Web System for Diabetic Retinopathy Prediction

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-11 Cached

DR-LabStack is a React–Flask web system that integrates four pretrained diabetic retinopathy prediction models into a common clinician-facing interface, demonstrating a reusable workflow for heterogeneous ML models.

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#clinical-prediction

PhenoBench: Mapping What a Deeply Phenotyped Human Cohort Can Tell Us

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-10 Cached

PhenoBench is an executable benchmark for evaluating AI models on clinical tasks using a deeply phenotyped human cohort, demonstrating limited aggregate improvements of foundation models over standard methods.

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#clinical-prediction

The Ceiling Is in the Channel: Auditing Learner Gaps and Measurement Frontiers in Clinical Prediction

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-09-03 Cached

This paper introduces a framework to audit clinical prediction models by distinguishing between learner inefficiencies and measurement limitations, validated on multiple cohorts to guide whether to improve models or data collection.

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#clinical-prediction

ATHENA: Knowledge-guided agentic neural architecture search for AutoFormer-based electronic health record modeling

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-08-25 Cached

ATHENA is a knowledge-guided agentic neural architecture search framework that automates Transformer-based electronic health record modeling by reusing architecture knowledge across hospitals to reduce manual tuning.

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#clinical-prediction

Learning Under Treatment-Induced Label Indeterminacy with Expert Annotations of Counterfactual Outcomes: A Case Study in Neurological Prognostication

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-14 Cached

This paper addresses the problem of treatment-induced label indeterminacy in clinical prediction, using post-cardiac-arrest neurological prognostication as a case study. The authors propose a framework that incorporates expert annotations of counterfactual outcomes and highlight tradeoffs between accuracy on certain versus uncertain cases.

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#clinical-prediction

MiGHT-EHR: A Multi-task Graph Transformer for Heterogeneous Temporal Electronic Health Records

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-10 Cached

This paper introduces MiGHT-EHR, a multi-task graph transformer for heterogeneous temporal EHR data, jointly modeling clinical entities, temporal trajectories, and task dependencies. It outperforms state-of-the-art methods on MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV across drug recommendation, length-of-stay, mortality, and readmission prediction.

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#clinical-prediction

Patients-like-me: A Variational LM--GNN Framework for Explainable Clinical Prediction

arXiv cs.CL ↗ · 2026-08-06 Cached

This paper proposes Patients-like-me (PLM), a unified LM–GNN framework that integrates local patient semantics with global cohort structure for explainable clinical prediction. It introduces a Variational Expectation-Maximization algorithm and demonstrates state-of-the-art results on MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV with reference-patient explanations.

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#clinical-prediction

Federated generative event models for tokenized electronic health records

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-05 Cached

This arXiv paper evaluates federated training of tokenized generative event models (GEMs) on ICU EHR data from three health systems, showing that federated learning preserves most centralized performance and improves cross-site transportability compared to conventional supervised models.

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#clinical-prediction

CT-HEG: A Bidirectional, Timestamp-Attributed Event Graph for ICU In-Hospital Mortality Prediction - An Architectural Ablation Study

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-05 Cached

Introduces CT-HEG, a continuous-time heterogeneous EHR graph schema for ICU mortality prediction, with an ablation study showing bidirectional connectivity and time-attentive edge features matter; surprisingly, a simplified homogeneous graph outperformed the full heterogeneous model on the MIMIC-IV cohort.

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#clinical-prediction

xMICD: Explainable Representation of Multiple ICD Codes

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-04 Cached

This paper introduces xMICD, a method that combines ICD code groupings with pre-trained embedding similarities to create low-dimensional, clinically interpretable patient representations, achieving predictive performance comparable to embedding-based approaches.

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#clinical-prediction

What Is Missing in Surgical Risk Stratification and Outcome Prediction: A Scoping Review of End-to-End Machine Learning Approaches

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-03 Cached

A scoping review of 190 studies characterizing end-to-end machine learning pipelines for surgical risk stratification and outcome prediction using EHR data, identifying methodological gaps in preprocessing, evaluation, and explainability.

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#clinical-prediction

A Knowledge-Injection Framework for Zero-Shot Adaptation of LLMs to Delirium Prediction

arXiv cs.CL ↗ · 2026-07-24 Cached

Presents a lightweight knowledge-injection framework for zero-shot ICU delirium prediction that augments structured EHR data summaries with external clinical knowledge at inference time, improving AUROC by up to 8.57 percentage points on LLaMA models without fine-tuning.

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#clinical-prediction

Large Language Models as Unified Multimodal Learners for Clinical Prediction

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-07-20 Cached

The paper proposes converting multimodal patient data (text, labs, vitals) into a single natural language sequence and fine-tuning LLMs for clinical prediction, achieving comparable or better performance than specialized fusion architectures across three tasks.

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#clinical-prediction

Understanding Structured Health Data through Interaction-Aware Mixture-of-Experts

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-15 Cached

The paper studies interaction-aware mixture-of-experts for post-stroke rigidity prediction using multi-level views of structured health records, showing that while performance gains are minimal, routing attribution reveals systematic importance differences across views, highlighting view construction as key to interpretability.

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#clinical-prediction

Multimodal Routing for Interpretable, Robust, and Auditable Clinical Prediction

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-14 Cached

This paper proposes an explicit multimodal routing framework for clinical prediction using EHR data, enabling interpretable, robust, and auditable reasoning across structured variables, clinical notes, and chest X-rays via discrete unimodal, bimodal, and trimodal routes with inference-time route masking for missing modality simulation.

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#clinical-prediction

How Should Transformers Encode Numeric Values in Electronic Health Records?

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-03 Cached

This paper systematically compares discrete, continuous, and hybrid value encoding strategies for transformers in electronic health record data, finding that hybrid token-based approaches with binning provide robust performance and are recommended as a practical default.

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