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When Can Conformal Risk Control Certify LLM Outputs? Bounds, Impossibility, and Adaptation for Structured Generation

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-06-30 Cached

This paper characterizes when conformal risk control can certify structured LLM outputs, proving impossibility bounds and analyzing certification hierarchies across different bounds. Empirical validation on six open-weight models shows that hard configurations are uncertifiable at low risk levels but practical certification is achievable at relaxed targets.

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