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A Unified Framework for Probability Estimation of Data-Dependent Events

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-11-02 Cached

A unified framework for estimating the probability of data-dependent events, covering missing mass, adaptive data analysis, and test-error estimation, with new hybrid Good–Turing style estimators and bounds based on VC dimension and mutual information.

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#good-turing

Rarity of Singletons Matters & Supplementary Materials

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-10-19 Cached

本文提出一种针对小样本场景下缺失质量与未见物种计数估计的“脆弱性感知”正则化框架,通过严格凹的熵-KL优化提供闭式解,作为对 Good-Turing 等经典估计器的轻量级修正,在长尾、单例主导的小样本场景中显著提升稳定性。

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