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El Niño and Saharan dust are suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity, leading to one of the quietest seasons in years due to unfavorable conditions.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be below normal due to a rapidly strengthening El Niño, with forecasters predicting fewer named storms and hurricanes.
NOAA predicts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season due to El Niño, but warns that even quiet years can produce catastrophic storms. The agency is deploying AI weather models developed with Google DeepMind to improve hurricane track predictions.