instability

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#instability

The Illusion of Robustness: Aggregate Accuracy Hides Prediction Flips under Task-Irrelevant Context

arXiv cs.CL · 2026-07-15 Cached

This paper reveals that while large language models appear robust to task-irrelevant context at the aggregate level, their predictions can flip on individual examples, with performance degrading on some and improving on others, highlighting tail risks that aggregate accuracy conceals.

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#instability

Quantifying the Sources of Instability in LLM-Based Stance Analysis of Public Discourse

arXiv cs.CL · 2026-07-14 Cached

This paper proposes a diagnostic framework to separate preprocessing pipeline instability from measurement method instability in LLM-based stance analysis of public discourse, finding that cross-method disagreement is larger and more systematic than pipeline effects, and that aggregate metrics can mask these instabilities.

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#instability

Why Multi-Step Tool-Use Reinforcement Learning Collapses and How Supervisory Signals Fix It

arXiv cs.CL · 2026-06-25 Cached

This paper investigates why multi-step tool-use reinforcement learning (RL) often collapses or yields limited gains, identifying probability spikes in control tokens as a key cause. It shows that interleaving supervised fine-tuning with RL improves stability and explores various supervisory signals to guide robust training.

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