model-calibration

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#model-calibration

Cactus Hybrid: We taught Gemma 4 to know when it's wrong

Reddit r/LocalLLaMA · 2026-07-22

Google's Gemma 4 model has been enhanced to recognize when it is incorrect, improving its calibration and reliability.

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#model-calibration

Temperature Scaling Is Not Enough: Calibration Gaps Under Human Label Distributions

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-07-16 Cached

This paper investigates the calibration gap that arises when temperature scaling, a common post-hoc calibration method relying on one-hot labels, is applied to models trained with soft label distributions reflecting genuine human disagreement. Experiments across vision and language domains show that temperature scaling calibrated on hard labels consistently underperforms direct soft-label calibration, with larger gaps in language tasks, highlighting risks for safety-critical deployments.

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#model-calibration

DualEval: Joint Model-Item Calibration for Unified LLM Evaluation

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-06-26 Cached

Introduces DualEval, a framework that jointly calibrates model ability and item difficulty/sharpness to unify static benchmark and arena-style evaluation, enabling more reliable rankings and downstream applications like benchmark compression and anomaly detection.

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#model-calibration

LLM Doesn't Know What It Doesn't Know: Detecting Epistemic Blind Spots via Cross-Model Attribution Divergence on Clinical Tabular Data

arXiv cs.AI · 2026-06-20 Cached

This paper explores Large Language Models' inability to recognize their knowledge limits on structured clinical data, proposing a cross-model attribution divergence method to detect epistemic blind spots. The approach improves calibration and accuracy without training by combining few-shot examples and SHAP-derived feature evidence.

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When the Next Step Is Not One Step: Distribution-Aware Execution Modeling for Concurrent Go Programs

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-06-17 Cached

This paper proposes a distribution-aware training approach for modeling next-event predictions in concurrent Go programs, treating scheduler nondeterminism as a signal. Fine-tuning a 7B model on fewer than a thousand traces achieves 36.2% accuracy on production bugs, outperforming Gemini 3.5 Flash zero-shot.

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#model-calibration

When to Trust Tools? Adaptive Tool Trust Calibration For Tool-Integrated Math Reasoning

arXiv cs.CL · 2026-04-20 Cached

This paper introduces Adaptive Tool Trust Calibration (ATTC), a framework that improves tool-integrated reasoning models by enabling them to adaptively decide when to trust or ignore tool results based on code confidence scores. The approach addresses the "Tool Ignored" problem where models incorrectly dismiss correct tool outputs, achieving 4.1-7.5% performance improvements across multiple models and datasets.

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