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The author discusses a past podcast episode where they explored AI's potential negative impacts on employment and the economy, concluding with optimism, and seeks feedback for a follow-up.
Bryan Johnson expresses distrust in AI risk assessments and chooses optimism, betting on a more extraordinary future worth fighting for.
This article explores why tech CEOs like Mark Zuckerberg, Marc Andreessen, Sam Altman, and Dario Amodei are publishing manifestos to promote optimistic visions of AI and shape industry discourse.
A tweet by Garry Tan argues that AI-driven economic growth is a positive development, while quoting Andrew Ho's view that AI is humanity's best hope and not an extinction-level risk.
This paper introduces OptimismBench, a benchmark that uses inverted pairs to detect directional bias in language model probability judgments. It finds that most models exhibit optimism bias, and that alignment (post-training) amplifies this tilt, with model identity dominating language effects.
A study on uncensored LLMs (Gemma and Qwen) shows that removing censorship makes them more optimistic in stock market predictions, but not more accurate. The effect varies by model family.
Meta published a feel-good AI ad set to David Bowie's apocalyptic song 'Five Years,' sparking debate about the ironic use of dystopian music to promote optimism about AI.
Demis Hassabis, in a very short essay, predicts that AGI may be only a few years away and proposes a pragmatic approach to AI governance, including establishing a frontier AI standards body modeled on FINRA, with model review, evaluation, and anti-cheating design, while calling on society to prepare for new economic models in a post-scarcity world.
This paper proposes Absolute Thompson Sampling (ATS), a modification of Thompson Sampling that ensures optimism in expectation by using absolute exploration noise, enabling a simpler UCB-style regret analysis while maintaining computational efficiency. It achieves regret matching existing TS bounds, and introduces an ensemble variant that converges to UCB behavior.
A survey indicates that respondents in key U.S. allied countries increasingly view China as the global leader in AI, while American optimism about AI continues to decline.
A newly minted VC investor recounts his visit to Andreessen Horowitz, reflecting on the firm's 'American Dynamism' manifesto and its resonance with the e/acc movement, while noting the Art Deco decor and expressing interest in investing.
Jeff Bezos predicts that AI will lead to labor shortages, expressing an optimistic view on the impact of artificial intelligence on the workforce.
Sam Altman shares a personal anecdote about OpenAI Codex completing coding tasks automatically while he was away, expressing optimism for the future of AI automation.