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Certifying What Helps Customer-Return Timing: A Screen-and-Confirm Test for Conditioning Signals, and Why Decay Is Nearly Enough

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-08-13 Cached

This paper introduces a screen-and-confirm protocol to certify whether conditioning signals improve temporal point process models of customer return timing, finding that continuous-time decay is nearly sufficient and added conditioning is redundant or harmful.

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