predict-then-optimize

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Smart predict-then-robustly-optimize

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-07-27 Cached

This paper proposes a robust variant of smart predict-then-optimize that accounts for feature perturbations, providing a convex surrogate with theoretical guarantees and demonstrating superior performance over standard methods.

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#predict-then-optimize

Learning Predictive Ambiguity Sets for Decision-Focused Distributionally Robust Optimization

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-07-14 Cached

Proposes learned predictive ambiguity sets (LPAS) for distributionally robust optimization, where a deep contextual model outputs a nominal scenario distribution, state-dependent Wasserstein radius, and ground metric, trained with decision loss and calibration. Applied to portfolio optimization on S&P 500 data, the method achieves higher returns and Sharpe ratio with reduced conservatism compared to fixed-radius baselines.

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