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Let Confidence Change, Not the Prediction: Prediction-Preserving Repair for Post-hoc Calibration

Hugging Face Daily Papers · 2026-09-02 Cached

This paper proposes CORD, a post-fit adapter for post-hoc calibration that repairs probability vectors to preserve original top-1 predictions while maintaining calibration quality, achieving zero TPCR and improved metrics on datasets like CIFAR and ImageNet.

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#probability-estimation

Estimating Rare Events in Language Models with Proper Evaluation

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-07-22 Cached

This paper introduces GA-AMLS, a rare-event Monte Carlo method adapted to language model activation spaces, and SPB Loss, a proper scoring rule for asymmetric penalties, demonstrating improved estimation of rare harmful outputs.

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