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Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence from Polymarket

Hacker News Top · 2026-05-21

This paper analyzes prediction market data from Polymarket to determine which traders win and lose, providing evidence on market efficiency and participant behavior.

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#winners

@NousResearch: The Hermes Agent Creative Hackathon sponsored by @Kimi_Moonshot has ended! Finalists were selected by Nous and Kimi sta…

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-05-13

The Hermes Agent Creative Hackathon, sponsored by Kimi Moonshot, has concluded with finalists selected from 227 submissions based on creativity, usefulness, and presentation.

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