The gap between closed and open models might be much smaller than commonly assumed, because we don’t know what closed model providers do *in addition to* model inference
Summary
The article argues that comparing closed and open AI models may be unfair because closed model providers like Anthropic can supplement their model output with techniques such as RAG, prompt preprocessing, or hidden expert models, making benchmark comparisons apples-to-oranges.
Similar Articles
Open and closed models are on different exponentials (8 minute read)
The article analyzes the economic divergence between open and closed AI models, arguing that premium closed models will maintain high margins through superior intelligence (especially for coding agents), while open models follow a different trajectory of commoditization and efficiency.
Open vs Closed AI Models: How the Gap Collapsed in 2025-2026 and Where It's Heading
The article examines how the performance gap between open and closed AI models has narrowed dramatically from early 2025 to mid-2026, highlighted by DeepSeek's open model release and the subsequent market impact. It discusses the roles of Chinese labs in driving the open frontier and the implications for the industry.
How far behind are open models? (17 minute read)
An analysis from LessWrong examining the performance gap between open-source and proprietary AI models.
Open weights aren't catching up to closed models by copying them, but they're winning because of how the whole AI stack is quietly modularising
The article argues that open-weight AI models are catching up to closed ones not via distillation but due to the modularisation of the AI stack—stable interfaces (Transformer architecture, OpenAI-compatible APIs, agentic harnesses) allow innovations to diffuse rapidly across the ecosystem, shrinking the capability gap while keeping a massive price advantage, potentially leading to a commoditisation of frontier AI.
@rohanpaul_ai: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Open-Source AI Models. "I don't think open source works the same way in AI that it has wo…
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei argues that open-source AI is a red herring, stating that model quality matters more than openness since large models require cloud inference and are not truly free or accessible like traditional open-source software.