@VraserX: My controversial take is that a major AI slowdown would be justified if a frontier lab could show a credible and immedi…

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Summary

The author argues that a major AI slowdown should only be justified if a frontier lab demonstrates credible evidence of immediate catastrophic capability, rather than being based on hypothetical future dangers.

My controversial take is that a major AI slowdown would be justified if a frontier lab could show a credible and immediate catastrophic capability. What I don’t support is slowing broad AI progress because somebody can imagine a hypothetical danger twenty years away. The evidence threshold should be extremely high, but it shouldn’t be infinite.
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My controversial take is that a major AI slowdown would be justified if a frontier lab could show a credible and immediate catastrophic capability.

What I don’t support is slowing broad AI progress because somebody can imagine a hypothetical danger twenty years away.

The evidence threshold should be extremely high, but it shouldn’t be infinite.

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