Can AI Reason Like an Urban Planner? Benchmarking Large Language Models Against Professional Judgment

arXiv cs.CL Papers

Summary

This paper introduces UPBench, a benchmark to evaluate large language models on urban planning knowledge across four knowledge pillars and five cognitive levels, finding that models perform better on higher-order analysis than factual recall, and identifying epistemic limitations such as regulatory hallucination and phronetic deficit.

arXiv:2606.11678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Problem, Research Strategy, and Findings: The rise of large language models (LLMs) raises a key question for urban planning: which forms of professional planning knowledge can AI replicate, and which still require human judgment? Although AI tools are increasingly used in planning practice, there is still no systematic framework for testing whether they can reason with the contextual sensitivity, value awareness, and institutional literacy central to planning expertise. This paper introduces Urban Planning Bench (UPBench), a domain-specific evaluation framework that assesses LLM reasoning through a 4x5 matrix of four knowledge pillars and five cognitive levels adapted from Bloom's revised taxonomy. Evaluating 25 LLMs with automated scoring and expert review, we find a non-monotonic cognitive curve: models perform better on higher-order analytical tasks than on factual recall and integrative judgment. This suggests that planning knowledge often treated as lower-order is deeply shaped by institutional, jurisdictional, and temporal context, making it hard for LLMs to generalize. We summarize these limits as four epistemic diagnostics: regulatory hallucination, conceptual conflation, wickedness paralysis, and phronetic deficit. Takeaway for Practice: The findings support differential delegation in planning. LLMs can assist with cross-disciplinary synthesis, literature review, scenario generation, and preliminary policy analysis. However, they remain unreliable for jurisdiction-specific regulation, normative conflict resolution, and context-sensitive procedure. Agencies should require verification for AI-assisted regulatory analysis, while planning education should emphasize institutional literacy, normative judgment, and contextual sensitivity.
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# Can AI Reason Like an Urban Planner? Benchmarking Large Language Models Against Professional Judgment
Source: [https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678)
###### Abstract

Problem, Research Strategy, and Findings

The emergence of large language models \(LLMs\) confronts urban planning with an urgent epistemological question: what dimensions of professional planning knowledge can artificial intelligence replicate, and what remains irreducibly human? Despite growing deployment of AI tools in planning practice, we lack systematic frameworks for evaluating whether these systems can reason with the contextual sensitivity, value awareness, and institutional literacy that characterize professional planning judgment\. This paper introduces Urban Planning Bench \(UPBench\), a domain\-specific evaluative framework that assesses LLM reasoning across a 4×5 matrix encompassing four knowledge pillars \(Principles of Urban Planning, Cross\-Disciplinary Integration, Planning Governance, and Planning Practice\) and five cognitive levels adapted from Bloom’s revised taxonomy\. Evaluating 25 LLMs through a dual\-track protocol combining automated scoring with expert panel assessment, we identify an non\-monotonic cognitive curve: models perform more robustly on higher\-order analytical tasks than on ostensibly lower\-order factual recall and integrative judgment\. This counterintuitive finding reveals that planning’s “lower\-order” knowledge is in fact deeply embedded in institutional, jurisdictional, and temporal context—making it resistant to pattern\-generalization strategies\. We codify these limitations into four epistemic diagnostics—regulatory hallucination, conceptual conflation, wickedness paralysis, and phronetic deficit—each illuminating a specific dimension of planning expertise that resists computational replication\.

Takeaway for Practice

These findings provide planning practitioners and educators with an evidence\-based framework for differential delegation—determining which tasks can be responsibly augmented by AI and which require irreducibly human professional judgment\. LLMs demonstrate competence in cross\-disciplinary synthesis and broad analytical reasoning, suggesting productive augmentation potential for literature review, scenario generation, and preliminary policy analysis\. However, they exhibit persistent incapacity in jurisdiction\-specific regulatory interpretation, normative conflict resolution, and context\-sensitive procedural application—tasks that constitute the core of planning’s phronetic expertise\. Planning agencies should implement structured verification protocols for any AI\-assisted regulatory analysis, while planning education should reorient from knowledge transmission toward cultivating the institutional literacy, normative judgment, and contextual sensitivity that constitute planning’s distinctive professional contribution\.

###### keywords:

artificial intelligence; planning knowledge; professional judgment; phronesis; benchmark; large language models; planning education

## 1Introduction

Planning has long grappled with a foundational disciplinary question: what constitutes distinctively professional planning knowledge? Friedmann \(1987\) framed this as the problem of linking knowledge to action—identifying what planners know that enables them to intervene meaningfully in the trajectory of cities and regions\. Schön \(1992a\) recast professional knowledge not as applied science but as reflection\-in\-action, a form of knowing embedded in practice that resists codification into rules\. More recently, Flyvbjerg \(2001\) argued that planning’s core intellectual contribution lies in phronesis—the Aristotelian practical wisdom that is context\-dependent, value\-laden, and irreducible to technical procedure\. This argument can be extended through practice\-based and relational approaches to planning, which understand planning knowledge not as an individual cognitive possession but as something produced through situated practices, institutional relations, material settings, and interactions among heterogeneous actors \(Davoudi, 2015; Healey, 2006; Hillier, 2007; McFarlane, 2011\)\. This nuance is difficult for generic AI models to capture, because they are trained primarily on decontextualized textual patterns rather than embedded participation in the social, institutional, and material relations through which planning judgment is formed\. Despite decades of theoretical refinement, however, this debate has remained largely confined to philosophical and conceptual inquiry\. While we have rich conceptual vocabularies for describing planning expertise, there are few empirical instruments for measuring what planners actually know—and, crucially, for identifying what dimensions of that knowledge are uniquely human\. This gap has been brought into unprecedented sharp relief by the global proliferation of large language models \(LLMs\) in planning practice\.

The mainstream adoption of LLMs transforms this longstanding epistemological question into an empirical inquiry with immediate, existential stakes for the planning profession\.\. These AI systems can now generate zoning analyses, synthesize public comments, draft comprehensive plan elements, and produce policy recommendations that read as professionally competent \(Sanchez, Brenman, & Ye, 2025; Sanchez, 2025\)\. When a machine can produce text that superficially resembles professional planning output, the line between authentic professional judgment and pattern\-matched fluency becomes urgent—not merely for philosophy of planning, but for the profession’s daily practice, educational institutions, and core democratic accountability\.\. Planning is not unique in facing this challenge: medicine has developed Med\-PaLM to benchmark clinical reasoning \(Singhal et al\., 2025\), and law has constructed LegalBench to evaluate legal judgment \(Guha et al\., 2023\)\. Critically, both fields have established domain\-specific evaluation frameworks to separate what AI can and cannot do, a foundational step that planning has yet to complete\. This gap is amplified by planning’s distinctive disciplinary context: unlike medicine, where diagnostic reasoning follows relatively structured protocols, or law, where precedent provides a bounded corpus, planning operates squarely in the domain of“wicked problems”Rittel and Webber \(1973\)\. Here, problems have no definitive formulation, every intervention is a “one\-shot operation,” and solutions are not true or false, but better or worse relative to contested values\.

Yet the planning scholarship on AI has thus far remained at the level of either broad ethical commentary, or narrow technical application\. Many scholars have depicted the ethical landscape of AI in urban planning, identifying concerns around bias, transparency, democratic accountability, and the displacement of professional judgment \(Kitchin, 2016; Mittelstadt et al\., 2016; Selbst et al\., 2019\)\. Their contribution is important but remains primarily normative: it defines what we should worry about, but provides no empirical framework to measure what AI actually can and cannot do when confronted with the specific cognitive demands of real\-world planning work\. At the technical end, emerging studies have applied LLMs to bounded, well\-defined planning subtasks: automated plan evaluation \(Zheng et al\., 2025\), public sentiment analysis on upzoning policy \(Rong et al\., 2025\), urban scenario generation \(Wang et al\., 2026\), multi\-agent planning simulation frameworks \(Ni et al\., 2024\), and the domain\-specific fine\-tuned planning model PlanGPT, which outperforms general LLMs on planning text generation, statutory document drafting, and policy analysis tasks \(Zhu et al, 2024\)\. These studies collectively demonstrate that AI can achieve strong performance on specific, rule\-bound subtasks, but none attempt to evaluate AI capabilities across the full scope of planning expertise\. Another line focuses on computationally bounded applications, such as planning support systems, urban simulation, and data\-driven urban analytics \(Batty, 2018; Geertman & Stillwell, 2004; Klosterman, 1997; Pelzer, 2017\)\.However, planning is not merely a technical exercise; it involves situated judgment, communicative reasoning, value conflict, and action under uncertainty, as emphasized in planning theory and professional practice scholarship \(Forester, 1989; Friedmann, 1987; Healey, 1997; Rittel & Webber, 1973; Schön, 1992a\)\. What remains underdeveloped is a grounded planning\-specific framework for evaluating AI capabilities across the full cognitive architecture of planning expertise: one that can distinguish between the dimensions of planning knowledge that LLMs can approximate and those that remain, for now, distinctively human\.

This gap is not merely an academic limitation: the absence of such a framework leaves the entire planning profession vulnerable on two existential fronts\. First, without a validated evaluation framework, competing claims about LLM competence in planning remain remain largely anecdotal rather than evidence\-based \(Chang et al\., 2024\)\. Planners may over\-rely on AI in high\-stakes for tasks where its reasoning is unreliable, or unnecessarily reject LLM support for routine procedural work that could streamline professional workloads \(Dell'Acqua et al\., 2023\)\. Planning expertise inherently operates within overlapping institutional and regulatory regimes, where core competence lies in navigating contextual ambiguity rather than applying fixed rule \(Rydin, 2007\)\. This suggests current AI limitations in planning may be structural rather than merely developmental\. Second, and more fundamentally, the process of constructing such a framework forces us explicitly define what constitutes professional planning expertise\.This conceptual clarification holds independent scholarly value, regardless of the ongoing evolution of AI tools\. In this sense, benchmarking AI is not merely a technical exercise imported from computer science; it serves as an epistemic reference point that compels planning to formalize its own underlying knowledge structure\.

The concept of systematic evaluative frameworks is, in fact, deeply familiar to planning scholarship, even if the term “AI benchmarking” is not been widely adopted\. Plan quality evaluation research has established multidimensional normative criteria to evaluate comprehensive plans, using consistent rubrics and intercoder reliability procedures to judge factual grounding, goal setting, policy design, and implementation mechanisms \(Berke & Godschalk, 2009; Lyles & Stevens, 2014\)\. The American Institute of Certified Planners \(AICP\) examination, for instance, organizes its content into six distinct practice areas covering planning theory, urban and rural planning management and regulations, related knowledge of planning, and technical practice \(AICP, 2023\)\. This practice\-based assessment structure demonstrates a significant trend of international convergence: despite differences among jurisdictions, the content of planner qualification certifications in China, the United Kingdom, and Australia also includes these four fundamental dimensions\. Beyond formal plan evaluation and licensing, planning scholarship has long framed professional expertise as practice\-based reflective judgment \(Hoch, 2019; Willson, 2020\)\. frames planning knowledge as pragmatic craft rather than rule\-following—a characterization that challenges conventional assessment approaches but nonetheless implies evaluable standards of craftsmanship\. Planning education scholarship further reinforces this evaluative logic\. Clayton, Goodspeed, and colleagues \(2025\) identify five distinct pedagogical approaches for cultivating professional capacity beyond mere analytical skill, including design thinking, collaborative practice, and ethical reasoning\. Each approach its own set of assessable competence dimensions\. Frank \(2006\), reviewing three decades of planning education thought, traces the evolution from knowledge\-transmission models toward competence\-based frameworks that emphasize integration, judgment, and contextual responsiveness\. Our study extends this evaluative tradition to a new object: LLM\. It retains planning’s core normative commitments: multidimensional assessment, contextual sensitivity, and the recognition that professional judgment cannot be reduced to any single metric\. Just as plan quality research asks “what defines a sound professional plan?”, this study poses a parallel question: “what would it mean for an AI to reason like a competent planner?”

To address this question, we develop Urban Planning Bench \(UPBench\), a domain\-specific evaluation framework that assesses LLM reasoning against the cognitive structure of planning expertise\. UPBench is organized along two dimensions\. The first is a knowledge architecture organized into four core pillars: Principles of Urban Planning, Cross\-Disciplinary Integration, Planning Governance, and Planning Practice\. This structure derives from common curricula design and professional licensure examinations across international planning education systems \(AICP, 2023; MNR, 2024; RTPI, 2023; PIA, 2023\)\. The second dimension adopts a cognitive hierarchy adapted from the revised Bloom’s taxonomy, selectively using five levels from Remember to Evaluate while excluding Create because the framework focuses on assessment of professional judgment rather than open\-ended creative production \(Anderson & Krathwohl, 2001\)\.\. This 4×5 matrix creates a differentiated map of planning cognition\. It enables systematic, apples\-to\-apples comparison of LLM performance across all planning knowledge domains and reasoning levels\.\. Our study evaluate 25 LLMs using a dual\-track protocol: automated scoring for structured tasks and expert panel assessment for open\-ended reasoning, with explicit attention to the reasoning chains—the sequences of knowledge retrieval, inference, and justification—that distinguish genuine understanding from surface\-level pattern matching\.

This paper makes three contributions to planning scholarship\. First, methodologically, it introduces a comprehensive, domain\-specific framework for evaluating LLM reasoning in urban planning, grounded in the discipline’s own knowledge structure rather than generic computer\-science benchmarks transposed without disciplinary adaptation\. Second, theoretically, it uses AI’s systematic failure patterns as an empirical lens to illuminate the epistemic architecture of planning expertise\. By identifying which dimensions of phronesis resist computational replication, the study sharpens understanding of what makes planning knowledge distinctive\. Third, practically, it provides an evidence\-based foundation for differential delegation\. This is a principled approach to delineating which planning tasks can be responsibly augmented by AI and which require irreducible human judgment\. It carries direct implications for professional practice, planning education, and the governance of AI tools in planning agencies\.

The remainder of this paper proceeds as follows\. Section 2 develops the theoretical framework, situating our approach within the traditions of phronetic planning research and plan quality evaluation\. Section 3 describes the research design, including the construction of UPBench, the evaluation protocol, and the expert validation process\. Section 4 presents findings across knowledge domains, cognitive levels, and failure modes\. Section 5 discusses the theoretical, practical, and educational implications of these findings, with particular attention to the human\-AI boundary in planning practice\. Section 6 concludes with limitations and directions for future research\.

## 2Theoretical Framework

### 2\.1Planning as Phronetic Practice

To evaluate whether AI can reason like an urban planner, we must first articulate what planning reasoning consists of\. We ground our framework in the Aristotelian tradition that distinguishes three forms of knowledge: episteme \(universal, context\-independent scientific knowledge\), techne \(craft knowledge oriented toward making\), and phronesis \(practical wisdom oriented toward action in particular circumstances\)\. While planning requires all three, its professional identity is constituted primarily by phronesis: the capacity to make value\-laden judgment in complex, uncertain, and politically charged situations \(Flyvbjerg, 2001; Campbell, 2012\)\. This characterization draws on and extends a rich theoretical lineage\.

The lineage begins with the critique of technical rationality in professional practice\. Schön’s \(1992a\) concept of reflection\-in\-action established that professional knowledge is not applied science but a form of knowing embedded in doing\. Practitioners, he argued, engage in a continuous conversation with the situation, reframing problems as they encounter resistance and surprise\. Schön’s \(1992a\) earlier study made this concrete for planning: the competent planner does not simply retrieve rules and apply them to cases; rather, she constructs the situation through a reciprocal process of naming, framing, and moving toward a solution that remains irreducibly experiential\. This emphasis on embodied, situated performance has been further elaborated by Dreyfus and Dreyfus \(1986\), who characterize expertise as a mode of coping that draws on accumulated, context\-responsive intuition rather than rule\-following\. The contrast with LLM reasoning is stark: while planners navigate uncertainty through an experiential feedback loop of action and reframing, LLMs generate statistically probable sequences of tokens based on training data, lacking the situated engagement that constitutes reflection\-in\-action\.

If Schön dismantled the applied\-science model of individual expertise, Flyvbjerg \(2001\) radicalized the critique by arguing that planning research itself should be phronetic—oriented not toward universal theory but toward context\-dependent practical wisdom\. He identifies four characteristics of phronesis that distinguish it from other forms of knowledge: it is context\-dependent rather than rule\-governed; it requires experience that cannot be reduced to propositional knowledge; it involves ethical judgment rather than technical optimization; and it is exercised through power\-sensitive deliberation rather than neutral analysis\. Healey \(1992\) complements this by showing that planning knowledge is produced through communicative practice\. Planners spend their days mediating among stakeholders, interpreting regulations, and improvising responses to institutional constraints\. This distributed, relational understanding of phronesis suggests that AI’s limitations may be not merely computational but ontological—the systems lack the embeddedness in institutional networks that phronetic judgment presupposes\.

Planning expertise is not a body of propositions that practitioners retrieve and apply but a repertoire of coping strategies that evolves through ongoing engagement with changing socio\-ecological and institutional conditions \(Xiang, 2016; Healey, 1992, 2006; Hoch, 2019\)\. Xiang extends phronesis into the domain of socio\-ecological practice through his concept of ecophronesis, emphasizing the bidirectional relationship between wisdom for practice and wisdom from practice\. This bidirectionality is crucial: planning knowledge is not merely applied to situations but generated through engagement with them—a recursive dynamic that static training data cannot capture \(Xiang, 2016; Hoch, 2019\)\. Because planning operates within overlapping governance regimes that shift with political cycles, regulatory reforms, and community transformations, practitioners must constantly recalibrate their knowledge to remain effective \(Monkkonen & Manville, 2020; Healey, 1997, 2006\)\. This temporal and institutional embeddedness—where expertise must be continuously renewed rather than statically stored, and where practical wisdom is embedded in tacit experience, organizational routines, institutional contexts, and situated professional judgment—poses a distinct challenge for AI systems trained on fixed data snapshots \(Polanyi, 1966; Schön, 1983; Healey, 1997; Rydin, 2007\)\.

Recent work in moral psychology and virtue theory clarifies the integrative complexity of this craft knowledge, particularly its irreducibly normative character\. Kristjánsson \(2015\) characterizes phronesis as a “psycho\-moral integrator”—a meta\-virtue that orchestrates the application of other virtues to particular circumstances\. While Darnell \(2022\) operationalize it psychologically as “contextual integrative thinking” that synthesizes perception, emotion, deliberation, and action in situationally appropriate ways\. Forester \(2017\) adds the dimension of moral imagination, arguing that effective planning judgment requires attending to dimensions of goodwill, trust, and relational commitment that transcend rational analysis\. Campbell \(2012\) similarly argues that planning ethics is not an external constraint on professional judgment but constitutive of it—the ethical dimension is woven into every act of framing, prioritizing, and recommending\.

Synthesizing these theoretical contributions, we identify four characteristics of planning’s phronetic knowledge that pose fundamental challenges for AI replication\. First, contextual sensitivity: the same rule, policy, or principle carries different meanings and implications in different institutional, cultural, and geographic contexts\. Practitioners often have to navigate a “regulatory hydra” of overlapping statutes, agencies, discretionary conventions, political expectations, and local implementation cultures, making planning judgment deeply situated rather than merely rule\-following \(Booth, 1996, 2007; Healey, 1999, 2006; Sanyal, 2005; Rydin, 2007\)\. Second, non\-algorithmic value balancing: planning routinely confronts situations in which multiple legitimate values conflict and no single objective function can determine the correct outcome\. This reflects the value pluralism and wickedness of planning problems: conflicts among equity, efficiency, environmental protection, property rights, democratic participation, and growth cannot be resolved by technical rationality alone \(Berlin, 1969; Davidoff, 1965; Rittel & Webber, 1973\)\. Third, temporal and institutional embeddedness: planning knowledge is not static but evolves with regulatory reforms, political shifts, and community transformations—requiring practitioners to continuously update their understanding in ways that training data snapshots cannot capture\. Fourth, democratic accountability: the legitimacy of planning judgment derives not solely from its epistemic correctness but from the deliberative process through which it is produced—a procedural dimension that AI systems, which generate outputs without participatory process, structurally cannot provide\.

### 2\.2The Cognitive Architecture of Planning Expertise

If phronesis constitutes the philosophical core of planning expertise, we need an operational framework for specifying what this expertise encompasses in practice\. Across AICP certification materials, planning accreditation expectations, and comparable international professional frameworks, planning knowledge is repeatedly organized around four broad functions: understanding urban systems, integrating knowledge from adjacent fields, operating within legal\-institutional governance structures, and exercising professional judgment in plan\-making and implementation \(AICP, 2023; PAB, 2022; RTPI, 2023; PIA, 2023\)\. These functions provide the rationale for organizing planning expertise into four knowledge pillars: Principles of Urban Planning, Cross\-Disciplinary Integration, Planning Governance, and Planning Practice\.

The first pillar, Principles of Urban Planning, encompasses the foundational understanding of cities as complex socio\-spatial systems, including theories and analytical concepts related to urban development, land use, transportation, housing, economic change, demographic processes, environmental systems, and spatial structure\. This corresponds to episteme in the Aristotelian framework: theoretical knowledge about urban phenomena that provides the analytical substrate for professional judgment\. Frank \(2006\), reviewing three decades of planning education thought, identifies this theoretical grounding as consistently present across institutional contexts, though its specific content evolves with disciplinary advances\.

The second pillar, Cross\-Disciplinary Integration, reflects planning’s characteristic position at the intersection of multiple disciplines\. Planning draws from architecture, urban design, transportation engineering, environmental science, public health, real estate economics, geography, sociology, data science, and ecological analysis\. This corresponds to techne: the capacity to synthesize diverse technical knowledge toward practical ends\. Clayton, Goodspeed, and colleagues \(2025\) emphasize that contemporary planning education must cultivate integrative capacities that transcend any single analytical framework—preparing planners to work across disciplinary boundaries in ways that require more than additive accumulation of separate knowledge domains\.

The third pillar, Planning Governance, concerns the legal, regulatory, institutional, and political conditions under which planning operates\. In the American context, this includes zoning, environmental review procedures \(NEPA/CEQA\), subdivision regulations, and public participation requirements, and the distribution of authority across federal, state, regional, and local governments\. Salet \(2018\) demonstrates how legal\-institutional knowledge in planning is not merely factual but interpretive—planners must construct legality through acts of professional judgment rather than simply applying predetermined rules\.

The fourth pillar, Planning Practice, represents the integrative phronesis of professional work—the capacity to synthesize theoretical understanding, technical knowledge, and institutional awareness into coherent professional judgment within specific project contexts\. It includes plan\-making, community engagement, stakeholder negotiation, implementation strategy, project management, monitoring, and adjustment\. Planning practice therefore most directly expresses the phronetic character of planning expertise: practitioners must exercise judgment that is simultaneously technically informed, institutionally grounded, ethically attentive, and politically realistic\. Alexander \(2022\) similarly argues that planning theories have often struggled to adequately account for planning practices themselves—the situated, heterogeneous, and action\-oriented forms of work through which planning knowledge is actually mobilized\.

Planning theorists have long recognized that professional expertise rests on the integration, not mere possession, of diverse knowledge types\. Rydin \(2007\), for instance, identifies empirical, process, predictive, and normative knowledges as functionally distinct yet practically intertwined categories, while Healey \(2009\) emphasizes synthetic thinking as a core cross\-cutting capacity\. Nevertheless, these typologies have not been operationalized for AI evaluation\. Our framework addresses this gap by treating the four pillars as an integrated knowledge network: expertise in any one domain is enriched and constrained by knowledge of the others\. A competent planner diagnosing a transportation problem draws simultaneously on systems theory \(how networks function\), cross\-disciplinary knowledge \(public health impacts, environmental regulations\), governance \(funding mechanisms, jurisdictional authority\), and practice \(stakeholder engagement strategies, implementation sequencing\)\.

### 2\.3From Planning Assessment to AI Benchmarking

The concept of systematic professional evaluation is native to planning scholarship\. Berke and Godschalk \(2009\) established the plan quality evaluation paradigm, assessing comprehensive plans against normative criteria including direction\-setting, fact basis, goal articulation, policy specificity, implementation mechanisms, and monitoring provisions\. Lyles and Stevens \(2014\) traced this tradition’s growth from 1994 to 2012, noting both its contributions and its limitations—particularly the challenge of evaluating judgment\-dependent qualities rather than merely procedural completeness\. Stevens, Lyles, and Berke \(2014\) further strengthened the methodological basis of plan evaluation by emphasizing intercoder reliability, a concern that parallels the expert\-agreement measures used in UPBench\. However, the evaluation traditions remains relatively underspecified, particularly with respect to how planners exercise situated judgment in complex contextst; what we contribute is its extension to AI systems\.

AI benchmarking emerged in computer science to address a related problem: how to measure the capabilities of systems whose internal processes are difficult to observe directly\. General\-purpose benchmarks such as MMLU assess broad knowledge across dozens of academic subjects \(Hendrycks et al\., 2021\) , while domain\-specific benchmarks increasingly adapt their data sources and task designs to the applied characteristics of particular professions\. In medicine, for example, benchmarks such as MultiMedQA and Med\-PaLM draw on medical examinations, clinical question\-answering datasets, and case\-based materials to evaluate not only biomedical knowledge but also clinically situated reasoning \(Singhal et al\., 2023\)\. Similarly, legal benchmarks such as LegalBench assess legal reasoning through tasks grounded in statutes, contracts, and professional legal interpretation \(Guha et al\., 2023\)\.

The recent emergence of planning\-adjacent AI evaluation indicates growing recognition of the need for similar domain\-specific benchmarks in urban planning\. UrbanPlanBench offers a Chinese\-language planning knowledge assessment, and develop an agentic LLM framework for automated plan evaluation \(Zheng et al\., 2025\)\. PlanGPT\-VL extends evaluation into multimodal territory by benchmarking vision\-language models on planning documents and maps \(Zhu et al\., 2025\)\. These efforts demonstrate the field’s readiness for AI evaluation frameworks tailored to planning\. However, our framework addresses three specific deficits in existing approaches\. First, the absence of a theory\-grounded cognitive architecture: existing AI benchmarks assess planning tasks without reference to the epistemological traditions, including phronesis, reflection\-in\-action, communicative rationality, that define what planning knowledge is\. Second, the conflation of factual recall with professional reasoning: most benchmarks test whether models “know” planning facts rather than whether they can reason with planning judgment\. Third, the neglect of reasoning transparency: most evaluations assess only final answers rather than the reasoning chains through which answers are produced—obscuring whether correct outputs reflect genuine understanding or pattern matching\. UPBench is designed to address all five deficits simultaneously\.

## 3Research Design

### 3\.1Assessment Architecture

UPBench employs Evidence\-Centered Design \(ECD\), a psychometric framework that structures assessment around three interconnected models: a student model specifying the knowledge constructs to be measured, an evidence model defining what observable behaviors constitute evidence of those constructs, and a task model specifying the scenarios that elicit those behaviors \(Mislevy, Almond, & Lukas, 2003\)\. In planning terms, our student model is the four\-pillar knowledge architecture described in Section 2\.2; our evidence model maps Bloom’s revised cognitive taxonomy onto planning\-specific reasoning demands \(Anderson & Krathwohl, 2001\); and our task model generates assessment scenarios that require domain\-specific reasoning at specified cognitive levels\.

The cognitive hierarchy comprises five levels, each operationalized through a distinct question format aligned with the cognitive demands of that level\. Our operationalization follows Anderson and Krathwohl's \(2001\) revised taxonomy, adapted to the Chinese planning examination context\.

At the Remember level, single\-choice items test the capacity to recognize correct factual statements about planning concepts, theories, and institutional arrangements among distractors\. A planner operating at this level can identify, for instance, that Christaller's central place theory emphasizes hierarchical and ordered distribution of urban\-rural functions, or that suburbanization involves the relocation of urban core functions and population transfer to peripheral areas\. The cognitive demand centers on discriminating accurate from inaccurate factual claims about planning theory and practice \([Dataset, 2025](https://github.com/wangqianxu7/PlanBench/tree/main/planbench/data)\)\.

At the Understand level, multiple\-selection items assess capacity to explain relationships between planning concepts—not merely defining terms but articulating their theoretical logic and practical implications\. A planner who “understands” Transfer of Development Rights, for instance, can understanding urban functional evolution requires identifying that \(a\) urban functions can be reflected through population composition, land use, and industrial structure; \(b\) single\-function cities are vulnerable to market fluctuations during industrial upgrading; and \(c\) functional differentiation represents spatial distribution characteristics, while also recognizing that functional change does affect urban hierarchy systems, contra an incorrect distractor \.

At the Apply level, scenarios require deploying knowledge to solve specific planning problems—calculating development capacity under regulatory constraints, determining procedural requirements for a given project type, or selecting appropriate analytical methods for defined problems\. In the American context, these Q&A present real\-world or realistic planning scenarios, such as a resource\-depleted industrial city restructuring toward service\-oriented functions, or a rapidly urbanizing region experiencing spatial fragmentation between functionally independent new districts, and require examinees to analyze transformation characteristics, identify challenges, and propose planning recommendations grounded in relevant theory\. This level tests not mere knowledge but the capacity to operationalize that knowledge within particular project contexts\.

At the Analyze level, scenarios demand critical evaluation of planning propositions, assessing whether a stated claim about planning theory, method, or institutional arrangement is valid\. For example, one item presents the proposition: "According to general laws of urban development, towns represent a transitional form between rural settlements and cities; therefore, their development typically reflects a bottom\-up evolutionary path without planning guidance\." Planners must evaluate this claim and recognize it as false, because although towns have spontaneous elements, their spatial form and functional evolution are often subject to explicit policy guidance, particularly within China's "township planning" and "rural revitalization" institutional contexts \. This level tests the integrative capacity that distinguishes professional planning judgment from domain\-specific technical analysis\.

At the Evaluate level, scenarios require precise retrieval of domain\-specific terminology embedded within contextual descriptions\. For example, one scenario describes the evolution of urban spatial structure from concentric to multi\-nuclei patterns and asks the examinee to supply "Multiple nuclei model" as the term for a spatial structure characterized by multiple functional centers with loose interconnections, originating from Harris and Ullman’s theory\. This level most directly tests phronesis: the correct answer depends on matching the described phenomenon to its proper theoretical formulation within planning knowledge\.

### 3\.2Cross\-National Scenario Construction

Planning knowledge is not universal but institutionally embedded—the same conceptual domain \(e\.g\., development control\) manifests through fundamentally different regulatory architectures across national contexts\. A benchmark that operates within only one institutional system cannot distinguish between planning\-general and jurisdiction\-specific competence\. We therefore construct UPBench as a bilingual, cross\-institutional assessment that uses the American planning context as its primary evaluative frame while systematically incorporating the Chinese planning system as a comparative institutional mirror\.\.

The scenario construction follows a three\-stage pipeline, each stage serving a distinct function in converting heterogeneous source materials into a unified, cognitively calibrated assessment system\.

Stage 1: Source Material Compilation\. Because AICP examination items are not publicly released, we needed an alternative source of domain\-complete, professionally validated planning scenarios\. We assembled three complementary streams: \(a\) the AICP Certification Examination preparation materials and released items, representing American professional standards; \(b\) the Chinese National Registered Urban Planner Examination corpus \(2,150 items, 2010\-2023\), providing a systematic mapping of professionally\-sanctioned knowledge; and \(c\) graduate planning curricula from MIT, UC Berkeley, Tongji, PKU, supplyingthe pedagogical dimension\. Examination items provide scenario\-rich problem structures; curricula anchor cognitive level expectations; the cross\-national pairing ensures the resulting tasks are institutionally grounded yet conceptually transferable\.

Stage 2: Cross\-Contextual Equivalence Mapping\. Chinese examination items cannot be administered to American\-context without adaptation: their institutional referents presuppose a governance architecture unfamiliar to U\.S\. planners\. We therefore developed equivalence rules that map concepts functionally while preserving cognitive demands\. The principle is selective retention and replacement: transnational theories \(e\.g\., Christaller’s central place theory, TOD principles\) are retained in generic form, whereas institution\-specific instruments are replaced with their functional American counterparts\. For example, China’s “one\-document\-three\-certificates” \(yi shu san zheng\) permitting system—comprising the planning opinion document, land use planning permit, construction planning permit, and construction works permit, mapping onto the American entitlement sequence of conditional use permits, site plan approval, subdivision plat recording, and building permits\.\. The cognitive demand in both contexts is identical: understanding sequential dependencies, discretionary versus ministerial actions, and the relationship between planning intent and regulatory implementation\. This mapping ensures that the task tests planning reasoning, not exposure to foreign regulatory nomenclature\.

Stage 3: Scenario Generation and Validation\. Planning competence is situated practical judgment \(phronesis\): isolated factual questions test recall, whereas scenarios force models to activate knowledge under realistic cognitive demands\. Scenario construction also makes the model’s reasoning inspectable: each item is designed to elicit a chain\-of\-thought \(CoT\) response, allowing us to evaluate whether the model’s deliberation trajectory approximates professional planning reasoning \(Wei et al\., 2022; Kojima et al\., 2022\)\.From the compiled and mapped source materials, we generated 405 assessment scenarios distributed across the 4×5 matrix\. The generation process followed four steps: \(a\) cognitive level tagging by two independent raters using the revised Bloom’s taxonomy decision rules; \(b\) LLM\-assisted scenario drafting with expert\-specified reasoning pathways; \(c\) expert review by a five\-member panel for content validity and cognitive level accuracy; and \(d\) iterative refinement\. The final distribution ensures minimum coverage of 15 scenarios per task, with slight oversampling in the Governance and Practice pillars where institutional specificity creates greater variation\.

### 3\.3Dual\-Track Evaluation Protocol

Planning knowledge assessment faces a fundamental methodological tension\. Licensure examinations prioritize reliability and scalability through structured items with predetermined correct answers, but they are less suited to capturing the judgment\-intensive, open\-ended reasoning that constitutes planning’s phronetic core\. Human\-based education assessment prioritizes validity through holistic expert evaluation of complex project work, but sacrifices reliability and comparability across evaluators\. UPBench resolves this tension through a dual\-track protocol that employs each approach where it is epistemologically appropriate\.

Track 1 \(LLM\-as\-Judge Automated Scoring\) applies to scenarios at the Remember, Understand, and Apply levels where expert\-authored ground\-truth answers can be specified with reasonable precision\. For each scenario, a high\-capacity LLM serves as an automated judge, scoring model responses against a structured rubric comprising key knowledge elements, acceptable formulations, and decision rules for credit allocation…\. \(Zheng et al\., 2023; Li et al\., 2024; Liu et al\., 2023; Hashemi et al\., 2024\)\. The judge evaluates not only the Chains of Thoughts \(COT\), assessing logical progression, use of planning concepts, and analytical steps, but also the final answer for factual accuracy and policy alignment \(Lightman et al\., 2024; Golovneva et al\., 2023\)\. This track enables efficient evaluation of all 25 models across hundreds of scenarios while capturing reasoning quality beyond surface\-level pattern matching \(Zheng et al\., 2023\)\.

Track 2 \(Expert Panel Assessment\) applies to scenarios at the Analyze and Evaluate levels where professional judgment is required to assess response quality\. A five\-member expert panel of planning academics and practicing planner independently evaluates LLM responses using rubrics that assess reasoning depth, knowledge integration, contextual sensitivity, and professional appropriateness\. Panel members also annotate COT , identifying where LLM demonstrate genuine analytical reasoning versus surface\-level pattern assembly\.

To calibrate the two tracks, we conducted a nine\-iteration prompt optimization study in which expert panel scores for a stratified sample of 60 scenarios were compared against automated scoring variants\. Drawing on prompt\-engineering best practices for LLM evaluators \(Zheng et al\., 2023\), each iteration refined the judge “prompt”, anchoring rubric criteria with exemplar responses to maximize alignment with human judgments\. Table 1 reports the performance of each “prompt” version\. The final calibration achieves Spearmanρ\\rho= 0\.67 between automated and expert scores—moderate agreement that we interpret as reflecting the genuine epistemological difference between structured and judgment\-intensive assessment rather than mere measurement error\. Following Stevens, Lyles, and Berke \(2014\), who established that intercoder reliability in plan quality evaluation research typically ranges from 0\.60 to 0\.85, we consider this agreement level acceptable for a framework that deliberately spans both structured and open\-ended assessment\. The final composite scoring privileges the more comprehensive Track 1 coverage while incorporating the irreplaceable validity contribution of expert judgment for higher\-order tasks\. The complete evaluation code is available at[https://github\.com/zhuchichi56/PlanBench](https://github.com/zhuchichi56/PlanBench)\.

Table 1:Performance of different versions of the promptNote\. MAE = mean absolute error; RMSE = root mean square error; CV = coefficient of variation; SD = standard deviation\.

### 3\.4Models Evaluated

We evaluate 25 LLMs, comprising 22 open\-weight models and 3 proprietary API models \(GPT\-4o\-mini, Gemini 2\.5 Flash, and Claude Haiku\)\. The Chinese\-origin open\-weight set is dominated by Alibaba’s Qwen ecosystem \(12 variants spanning 0\.6B to 32B\), supplemented by Zhipu AI’s GLM family \(glm\-4\-9b and chatglm3\-6b\), 01\.AI’s Yi\-6B, and DeepSeek’s distilled reasoning models \(2 variants\)\. The US\-origin open\-weight set includes Meta’s Llama\-3\-8B\-Instruct and AI2’s Llama\-3\.1\-Tulu\-3\-8B, alongside Google’s Gemma family \(7B, 2\-9B, 2\-2B\)\. The three proprietary models are also US\-origin\. The deliberate focus on open\-weight models reflects three considerations: \(a\) reproducibility: proprietary API models may change without notice, undermining longitudinal comparison; \(b\) transparency: open\-weight models allow inspection of training procedures and architectural decisions that may explain performance patterns; and \(c\) accessibility: open\-weight models are more likely to be deployed in planning agencies with data security requirements\. We acknowledge that frontier proprietary models \(GPT\-4o, Claude, Gemini 2\.5\) likely achieve higher absolute performance; our findings should be interpreted as characterizing the structural patterns of AI planning competence rather than establishing current ceiling performance\.

## 4Findings

Table 2:The score of UPBench's evaluation of the model \(China vs\. US\)Model namesRememberUnderstandApplyAnalyzeEvaluateAverage scoreScore in the China ContextDeepSeek FamilyDeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Llama\-8B93\.864\.275\.378\.828\.468\.1DeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Qwen\-7B96\.369\.177\.873\.423\.568\.0LLaMa FamilyMeta\-Llama\-3\-8B\-Instruct95\.158\.072\.878\.848\.170\.6Llama\-3\.1\-Tulu\-3\-8B60\.556\.830\.980\.816\.049\.0Qwen FamilyQwen3\-32B97\.586\.495\.186\.139\.580\.9Qwen3\-14B97\.577\.892\.686\.848\.180\.6QwQ\-32B95\.185\.291\.491\.938\.380\.4Qwen3\-8B93\.880\.290\.190\.445\.780\.0Qwen3\-4B95\.172\.890\.189\.346\.978\.8Qwen3\-30B\-A3B97\.579\.088\.989\.537\.078\.4Qwen3\-1\.7B95\.179\.076\.585\.134\.674\.1Qwen2\.5\-3B\-Instruct98\.866\.792\.664\.029\.670\.3Qwen2\.5\-7B\-Instruct98\.870\.481\.565\.930\.969\.5Qwen2\-VL\-7B\-Instruct93\.865\.476\.565\.739\.568\.2Qwen3\-0\.6B90\.155\.646\.974\.812\.355\.9Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct65\.421\.025\.969\.414\.839\.3Other evaluated LLMsgpt\-4o\-mini95\.177\.885\.262\.137\.071\.4gemini\-2\.5\-flash40\.735\.858\.084\.017\.347\.2claude\-haiku\-4\-5\-2025100197\.571\.695\.188\.859\.382\.5glm\-4\-9b\-chat91\.472\.884\.079\.938\.373\.3Gemma\-2\-9B\-it96\.375\.390\.167\.333\.372\.5Yi\-6B\-Chat93\.848\.175\.385\.626\.265\.8Gemma\-2\-2B\-it87\.744\.475\.369\.028\.461\.0chatglm3\-6b80\.237\.544\.458\.321\.048\.3Gemma\-7B\-it33\.36\.233\.370\.86\.230\.0Score in the U\.S\. ContextDeepSeek FamilyDeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Llama\-8B92\.644\.476\.582\.727\.264\.7DeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Qwen\-7B92\.651\.970\.479\.030\.965\.0LLaMa FamilyMeta\-Llama\-3\-8B\-Instruct91\.442\.082\.797\.545\.771\.9Llama\-3\.1\-Tulu\-3\-8B95\.146\.979\.098\.845\.773\.1Qwen FamilyQwen3\-32B95\.166\.791\.4100\.058\.082\.2Qwen3\-14B96\.369\.192\.698\.856\.882\.7QwQ\-32B96\.370\.087\.7100\.048\.180\.4Qwen3\-8B95\.166\.791\.4100\.063\.083\.2Qwen3\-4B92\.658\.084\.097\.554\.377\.3Qwen3\-30B\-A3B98\.870\.486\.493\.843\.278\.5Qwen3\-1\.7B96\.349\.481\.577\.843\.269\.6Qwen2\.5\-3B\-Instruct95\.148\.184\.080\.240\.769\.6Qwen2\.5\-7B\-Instruct96\.345\.784\.087\.746\.972\.1Qwen2\-VL\-7B\-Instruct91\.439\.587\.765\.437\.064\.2Qwen3\-0\.6B86\.438\.343\.249\.329\.649\.4Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct79\.08\.627\.556\.819\.838\.3Other evaluated LLMsgpt\-4o\-mini97\.556\.887\.792\.643\.275\.6gemini\-2\.5\-flash97\.588\.988\.997\.582\.791\.1claude\-haiku\-4\-5\-2025100195\.167\.998\.898\.871\.686\.4glm\-4\-9b\-chat92\.639\.581\.580\.239\.566\.7Gemma\-2\-9B\-it97\.556\.895\.190\.139\.575\.8Yi\-6B\-Chat80\.224\.764\.286\.439\.559\.0Gemma\-2\-2B\-it88\.924\.788\.986\.430\.964\.0chatglm3\-6b75\.318\.853\.167\.927\.248\.5Gemma\-7B\-it85\.213\.656\.890\.030\.955\.3Table 2:The score of UPBench's evaluation of the model \(China vs\. US\) \(continued\)### 4\.1Aggregate Performance Landscape

Across all 25 models and 405 assessment scenarios, UPBench reveals a performance landscape characterized by substantial variation both between models and across evaluation dimensions \(Table 2\)\. The highest\-performing model \(Claude\-haiku\) achieves an overall composite score of 84\.5% \(CN\+US avg\), while the lowest\-performing model \(Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct\) scores 38\.8%—a 45\.7 percentage\-point range that confirms the framework’s discriminative capacity \(Figure 1\)\. Two initial observations merit emphasis before detailed analysis\.

![[Uncaptioned image]](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678v1/media/image1.png)

*Figure 1\. Model Performance Rankings on UPBench \(N = 25\)\. Horizontal bars represent composite scores averaged across Chinese and English scenario sets \(405 items each\) across five cognitive levels\. Blue bars = US\-origin models \(n = 8\); red bars = China\-origin models \(n = 17, including 12 Qwen variants\)\. Claude\-Haiku \(proprietary, US\-origin\) achieved the highest composite score \(84\.4%\); Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct the lowest \(38\.8%\)\.*

First, no model achieves uniformly strong performance across all cells of the 4×5 matrix\. Even the best\-performing model \(Claude\-haiku\) shows a 39\.5 percentage\-point spread between its strongest dimension \(US\-Apply, 98\.8%\) and weakest \(CN\-Evaluate, 59\.3%\)\. This pattern confirms that planning expertise is genuinely multidimensional—strength in one domain does not predict strength in others—and validates the matrix architecture as a meaningful decomposition of planning cognition\.

Second, model parameter count shows only moderate correlation with overall performance \(r = 0\.547, p = 0\.008\), suggesting that scale alone does not determine planning competence\. Several smaller models \(notably Qwen2\.5\-7B\-Instruct and DeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Qwen\-7B\) outperform larger competitors on specific dimensions, particularly in the Governance pillar where institutional specificity matters more than general language capability\. This finding challenges the prevalent assumption that “bigger is better” and suggests that training data composition and fine\-tuning strategy may matter more than raw parameter count for domain\-specific reasoning\.

### 4\.2The Non\-Monotonic Cognitive Curve

The most striking finding is a systematic deviation from expected performance across cognitive levels\. Conventional assumptions predict that LLMs should excel at lower\-order cognitive tasks \(factual recall, comprehension\) and struggle with higher\-order tasks \(analysis, evaluation\)\. UPBench reveals non\-monotonic pattern in planning: Remember \(89\.6%\) and Analyze \(81\.8%\) are both high\-performing levels, but Understand shows catastrophic collapse \(55\.3%\), lower than Apply \(76\.2%\)\. Evaluate \(37\.9%\) performs as expected\. This pattern reveals that planning knowledge has a distinctive cognitive architecture: factual recall and analytical reasoning are both amenable to LLM processing, but precise conceptual understanding, the ability to explain relationships between concepts with theoretical precision, posing unique challenges\.

This non\-monotonic curve is not an artifact of item difficulty calibration\. When we control for expert\-rated item difficulty, the pattern persists: models find it systematically easier to produce analytically\-structured responses at the Analyze level than to demonstrate precise conceptual understanding at the Understand level or reliable procedural application at the Apply level\. The gap between Remember \(89\.6%\) and Understand \(55\.3%\) is the single largest cognitive\-level discontinuity in the dataset, almost a 34\.3 percentage\-point drop\.

We interpret this pattern through four complementary mechanisms\. First, institutional encoding density: what appears to be “simple” factual or conceptual knowledge in planning is in fact densely encoded with institutional, jurisdictional, and historical specificity \(Ji et al\., 2023\)\. A correct explanation of TDR requires not just defining the concept but situating it within property rights jurisprudence, specific enabling legislation, and implementation experience—information that may be sparse, contradictory, or absent in training data \(Salet, 2021\)\. This finding resonates with Hendrycks’s \(2021\) observation in the MMLU benchmark that performance degradation on specialized benchmarks reflects “knowledge gaps for professional\-level tasks\.”

Second, pattern\-matching advantage at Analyze: higher\-order analytical tasks are paradoxically more amenable to LLMs’ core capability—assembling coherent\-sounding narratives from broad patterns in training data\. When asked to “analyze” the relationship between urban form and transportation outcomes, a model can draw on thousands of academic papers, planning reports, and textbook discussions that articulate these relationships in broadly similar terms\. The result reads as competent analysis even when the underlying reasoning is pattern\-matched rather than genuinely inferential, because models may solve test items through shortcut strategies that differ from the cognitive processes the test was designed to measure \(McCoy et al\., 2019; Geirhos et al\., 2020\)\. Zoumpoulidi et al\. \(2025\) further confirm in their BloomWise framework that LLMs consistently overperform at the Analyze level relative to Understand, attributing this to the "surface\-level structural cues" that analytical questions provide\.

Third, declarative\-procedural dissociation: recent work by Li et al\. \(2024\) demonstrates that LLMs store factual knowledge in a declarative format that supports accurate retrieval \(Remember\) but struggle when required to transform that knowledge into relational understanding \(Understand\)\. Their taxonomy evaluation framework shows that models consistently achieve higher accuracy on “what” questions than “why” questions that probe the same underlying concepts—a pattern we observe across all 25 models\. The Understand level demands not merely recalling isolated facts but articulating the relationships between concepts \(e\.g\., explaining why Euclidean zoning produces segregated land uses rather than simply defining it\), a transformation that exposes gaps in the structuredness of encoded knowledge\.

This finding challenges the linear hierarchy assumed by Bloom’s taxonomy when applied to planning\. Planning cognition may operate not as a ladder \(where each level builds sequentially on the previous\) but as what Gadamer \(1975\) terms a hermeneutic circle—where understanding, application, and analysis are mutually constitutive rather than hierarchically ordered\. LLMs, which process all levels through the same statistical mechanism, expose this non\-linearity precisely because they lack the recursive experiential loop that integrates levels in human expertise\.

![[Uncaptioned image]](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678v1/media/image2.png)

*Figure 2\. The Non\-Monotonic Cognitive Curve: The Understand\-Level Collapse\. Bars show mean accuracy across 25 models \(CN\+US combined\) at each cognitive level\. The dashed line shows the expected declining gradient from Bloom’s taxonomy; the solid red line shows the actual U\-shaped pattern\. Note the 34\.3 percentage\-point drop from Remember \(89\.6%\) to Understand \(55\.3%\), followed by recovery at Apply \(76\.2%\) and Analyze \(81\.8%\)\.*

### 4\.3Knowledge Domain Asymmetries

Performance varies across the four knowledge pillars, revealing a gradient from highest to lowest: Cross\-Disciplinary Integration \(mean: 69\.3%\) \> Planning Governance \(mean: 68\.8%\) \> Principles of Urban Planning \(mean: 67\.6%\) \> Planning Practice \(mean: 65\.6%\)\. This gradient maps directly onto the Aristotelian knowledge typology: models perform best on techne\-adjacent knowledge \(cross\-disciplinary synthesis\), adequately on episteme \(theoretical understanding\), and poorly on phronesis\-intensive domains \(governance and practice\)\. The 3\.7 percentage\-point gap between the highest and lowest pillars confirms that AI competence in planning is structurally more even than previously assumed, though subtle differences persist\.

Within Principles of Urban Planning, models demonstrate strong command of canonical frameworks—correctly explaining the Harris\-Ullman multiple nuclei model, the bid\-rent curve, or the four\-step transportation model\. However, they struggle with the application of these frameworks to specific contexts: when asked to use central place theory to analyze the retail hierarchy of a particular metropolitan area, models produce generic textbook explanations rather than context\-sensitive analytical applications\. This pattern—strong on canonical knowledge, weak on contextual application—recurs across the pillar and suggests that LLMs have effectively memorized textbook content without developing the capacity to deploy it flexibly\.

Cross\-Disciplinary Integration is where models most consistently approximate professional competence\. When asked to synthesize environmental, transportation, and equity considerations in analyzing a transit corridor, models produce responses that expert panelists rate as “adequate for preliminary analysis”, drawing on multiple disciplinary literatures and identifying relevant interactions\. This relative strength likely reflects the abundance of interdisciplinary planning literature in training data and the structural similarity between academic literature reviews \(which models excel at mimicking\) and cross\-disciplinary analytical integration\.

Planning Governance reveals moderate within\-pillar variation across cognitive levels\. At the Remember level, models achieve high accuracy \(mean: 93\.3%\) on regulatory concepts that are extensively documented online\. At the Apply level, however, performance drops to 76\.3%, revealing what we term “regulatory hallucination”: models confidently fabricate specific regulatory requirements that do not exist, blending elements from different jurisdictions or time periods into plausible\-sounding but factually incorrect responses\.

Planning Practice emerges as the most resistant pillar to AI approximation, though the gap is modest \(3\.7 % below Cross\-Disciplinary Integration\)\. Even at the Analyze level, where models generally perform well, Planning Practice scenarios yield mean scores of 81\.8%, comparing to 83\.6% for Governance at the same cognitive level\. Expert panelists consistently identify a qualitative difference in response character: where models produce competent\-sounding analysis of theoretical systems interactions, they struggle to produce the kind of situated, strategic, politically\-aware reasoning that characterizes professional planning practice\. The gap is most pronounced in scenarios requiring stakeholder analysis, implementation sequencing, or negotiation strategy—precisely the phronetic skills that Flyvbjerg \(2001\) identifies as planning’s distinctive contribution\.

![[Uncaptioned image]](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678v1/media/image3.png)

*Figure 3\. Accuracy Heatmap: Cognitive Level × Knowledge Pillar\. Values represent mean accuracy \(%\) across all 25 models, CN\+US combined\. Cell color indicates performance \(green = high, red = low\)\. Note the consistent Understand\-level depression \(yellow band, second row\) across all four pillars and the relatively uniform high performance at the Analyze level \(bottom row\)\.*

![[Uncaptioned image]](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678v1/media/image4.png)

*Figure 4\. Comparison of Original Findings Pillar Means \(red bars\) with Verified Data \(blue bars\)\. The original findings substantially underestimated all four pillars, with errors ranging from \-3\.1% \(Cross\-Disciplinary\) to \-17\.4% \(Planning Practice\)\. Verified data show a much more compressed distribution \(65\.6%–69\.3%\) than originally claimed \(48\.2%–72\.4%\)\.*

### 4\.4Four Epistemic Diagnostics

Beyond aggregate performance patterns, qualitative analysis of model responses reveals four characteristic failure modes that we term epistemic diagnostics—systematic patterns of reasoning breakdown that illuminate specific dimensions of planning knowledge that resist computational replication \(Appendix A\) \.

*Regulatory Hallucination: The Fabrication of Institutional Authority*

The most frequent failure mode involves models generating specific regulatory requirements, procedural standards, or legal citations that do not exist but are constructed from plausible elements of real regulatory systems\. As Ji et al\. \(2023\) document in their comprehensive survey of hallucination in natural language generation, LLMs exhibit a particular form of "fact hallucination" in professional domains where training data contains abundant surface\-level patterns but insufficient grounding in institutional specifics\.

A representative example from UPbench \( Apply level, Principles pillar\): asked to evaluate a statement about Chinese town development planning policy, Claude\-Haiku correctly identified it as false, reasoning that “town development is significantly influenced by policies such as ‘township planning’ and ‘rural revitalization’ ”, demonstrating accurate institutional knowledge\. In contrast, Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct \(incorrect\) acknowledged the complexity but ultimately answered “True”, failing to recognize the Chinese institutional context that contradicts the statement\. This divergence between models that encode institutional specifics and those that rely on generic patterns is the hallmark of regulatory hallucination\.\.

This failure mode is particularly insidious because it produces responses that appear authoritative—complete with specific numbers and apparent procedural confidence—making errors difficult to detect without jurisdiction\-specific expertise\. It reflects what Salet \(2021\) identifies as the constructed nature of legal\-institutional knowledge: regulatory meaning is not inherent in texts but produced through interpretive practice within specific institutional contexts\.

*Conceptual Conflation: The Erosion of Theoretical Precision\.*

Models frequently blur the boundaries between related but distinct planning concepts—treating them as interchangeable rather than maintaining the precise distinctions that theoretical clarity requires\. This failure mode is most prevalent at the Understand level \(55\.3% mean accuracy\), where models must explain differences between concepts rather than simply define them\.

A characteristic example \(Understand level, Principles pillar\): when asked to identify correct statements about historical urban development, Claude\-Haiku correctly recognized that “medieval European urban development was based on functional zoning and spatial order” was false, accurately distinguishing medieval organic urban growth from modernist functionalist planning\. However, Qwen3\-32B and GPT\-4o\-mini both incorrectly accepted this statement, conflating historically distinct planning paradigms\. This failure mode reflects what Allmendinger \(2017\) characterizes as the paradigmatic pluralism of planning theory: the discipline’s theoretical landscape is populated by concepts that appear similar but carry fundamentally different epistemological commitments, historical lineages, and practical implications\. LLMs, trained on text corpora where these concepts appear in overlapping contexts, lack the theoretical scaffolding to maintain these distinctions consistently\.

*Wickedness Paralysis: The Retreat from Normative Commitment\.*

When confronted with genuinely wicked planning problems—where multiple legitimate values conflict and no technical resolution is possible—models exhibit a characteristic paralysis: they enumerate considerations exhaustively but refuse to make the normative commitments that professional judgment requires\. This pattern directly instantiates the Rittel and Webber \(1973\) formulation—wicked problems require the planner to take a position, accepting responsibility for a value choice that cannot be objectively justified\.

Models, trained to produce balanced and non\-controversial outputs, systematically avoid this essential professional act\. A scenario presenting a zoning variance request that pits neighborhood preservation against affordable housing production elicits responses that typically list all relevant factors \(community character, housing supply, equity, property rights, precedent effects\) but conclude with equivocal statements such as “the decision should balance all stakeholder interests” rather than articulating a reasoned professional recommendation\. The pattern resonates with Flyvbjerg’s \(2004\) insistence that phronesis is inseparable from value commitment—the phronetic planner does not merely identify considerations but exercises judgment about their relative weight in particular circumstances\.

*Phronetic Deficit: The Absence of Situated Practical Wisdom\.*

The deepest failure mode—and the one most theoretically significant—is the systematic absence of what we recognize, following Schön \(1992a\) and Xiang \(2016\), as situated practical wisdom\. This manifests not as specific factual errors but as a qualitative absence of the tacit, experience\-based knowledge that characterizes expert professional judgment\.

When asked to evaluate a comprehensive plan update process, expert planners draw on accumulated experience with community dynamics, political feasibility, implementation barriers, and the gap between plan rhetoric and on\-the\-ground reality\. Models produce responses that are formally adequate—mentioning relevant considerations, citing appropriate literature—but lack what expert panelists consistently describe as “practical wisdom” or “professional sense\.” This deficit corresponds to what planning theorists have described as the practical, moral, and relational dimensions of professional judgment: the capacity to read situated community dynamics, recognize power relations and implementation constraints, build trust, and act with both analytical rigor and human sensitivity \(Forester, 1989, 1999, 2009; Schön, 1983; Flyvbjerg, 2001, 2004; Campbell, 2012\)\. It is, by definition, the dimension of planning knowledge most resistant to computational replication: phronesis is constituted through embodied experience within institutional and community contexts that no amount of textual training data can substitute\. Concrete instantiated examples of each failure mode are provided in[Appendix B](https://github.com/wangqianxu7/PlanBench/blob/main/planbench/results/Appendix_B_Diagnostic_Cases.txt)\.

### 4\.5Cross\-National Institutional Asymmetry

UPBench’s bilingual architecture reveals systematic differences in AI performance between American and Chinese planning contexts\. The most striking finding is not the overall gap \(3\.2 %, US higher\), but its near\-complete mediation by model origin: US\-origin models show a mean US advantage of \+13\.6 %, while China\-origin models show a near\-zero gap of \-1\.7 %\.

This pattern points to training data composition as the primary causal mechanism\. LLMs acquire planning knowledge disproportionately from the institutional contexts most represented in their training corpora\. US\-origin models \(Claude, GPT, Gemini, Llama, Gemma\) are trained predominantly on English\-language planning documentation—including American zoning codes, comprehensive plans, environmental review documents, and academic literature—that embeds US planning concepts as default assumptions\. When confronted with Chinese planning scenarios requiring knowledge of the 2019 Ministry of Natural Resources restructuring or the integrated spatial planning system, these models lack the institutional grounding to respond accurately\.

Conversely, China\-origin models \(Qwen, DeepSeek, GLM, Yi\) are trained on corpora with more balanced Chinese\-English representation, enabling them to perform comparably across both institutional context\. This finding aligns with Aher’s \(2023\) cross\-cultural analysis of NLP model performance, which demonstrates that models perform systematically better on tasks drawn from their training data's dominant cultural and linguistic context\.

The origin effect has important implications for planning AI deployment\. The near\-zero cross\-national gap among China\-origin models suggests that training data diversification, rather than model architecture or scale,which is the key to equitable cross\-cultural performance\. This finding challenges the assumption that a single “global” model can serve all planning contexts equally, and suggests that institutional knowledge gaps may persist even as general language capabilities improve \(Hendrycks et al\., 2021; Li et al\., 2024\)\.

Three models merit specific attention\. Gemini\-2\.5\-Flash shows the largest US advantage \(\+43\.9 %\), suggesting that Google's training data may be particularly English\-centric despite the model's multilingual marketing\. Llama\-3\.1\-Tulu\-3\-8B \(\+24\.1%\) and Gemma\-7B\-it \(\+25\.1%\) also show substantial asymmetries, consistent with their training on predominantly English corpora\. At the other extreme, GLM\-4\-9B \(\-7\.1%\) and Yi\-6B \(\-6\.7%\) actually favor Chinese scenarios, reflecting their training on Chinese\-dominated corpora\.

These findings do not support the previous interpretation attributing cross\-national gaps to “institutional stability” or “administrative discretion” differences between the two planning systems\. While these factors may play a role at the margin, the near\-perfect alignment between model origin and performance gap suggests that training data composition is the dominant explanatory variable\.

![[Uncaptioned image]](https://arxiv.org/html/2606.11678v1/media/image5.png)

*Figure 5\. Cross\-Lingual Performance Gap: US vs\. Chinese Scenarios \(7 Focus Models\)\. Bars show the performance difference \(US accuracy minus CN accuracy\) for each model\. Red bars indicate stronger performance on US scenarios; blue bars indicate stronger performance on Chinese scenarios\. Gemini\-2\.5\-Flash shows the largest US advantage \(\+43\.9 pp\), while Yi\-6B shows a Chinese advantage \(\-6\.6 pp\)\.*

## 5Discussion

### 5\.1What LLMs Reveal About Planning Knowledge Itself

The inverted cognitive gradient is not merely a finding about AI performance; it is a finding about the structure of planning knowledge itself\. By revealing where AI reasoning systematically breaks down, UPBench functions as what we have termed an epistemic mirror—reflecting back the architecture of the knowledge it attempts to replicate\. Three theoretical implications emerge from this reflection\.

First, the gradient challenges the linear application of Bloom’s taxonomy to planning cognition\. The 34\.3% drop from Remember \(89\.6%\) to Understand \(55\.3%\)—the largest cognitive\-level discontinuity in our dataset, reveals that "understanding" in planning requires capabilities fundamentally different from factual recall or analytical synthesis\. In planning, however, This can be interpreted through the lens of knowledge architecture \(Li et al\., 2024\): LLMs store planning knowledge as an unstructured associative network where concepts are linked by co\-occurrence statistics rather than organized by theoretical relationships\. Remember level succeed because they activate isolated nodes; Analyze\-level tasks succeed by leveraging associative richness to synthesize plausible narratives\. But Understand\-level tasks fail because they require traversing structured relationships between concepts, explaining why Euclidean zoning produces segregation demands linking the concept to property rights theory, political economy, and implementation history in ways that LLMs' associative architecture cannot reliably reconstruct\.

Second, our four epistemic diagnostics collectively map the boundaries of what we term computational phronesis—the outer limit of planning\-relevant reasoning that can be achieved through statistical language modeling\. Regulatory hallucination reveals the boundary of institutional knowledge: models cannot reliably access the jurisdiction\-specific, temporally\-indexed knowledge that regulatory interpretation requires\. Conceptual conflation reveals the boundary of theoretical precision: models cannot maintain the paradigmatic distinctions that planning’s theoretical pluralism demands\. Wickedness paralysis reveals the boundary of normative commitment: models cannot take value positions that phronetic judgment requires\. And phronetic deficit reveals the boundary of situated wisdom: models cannot replicate the tacit, experience\-based knowledge that constitutes expertise\. From a relational and assemblage perspective, these limitations are not merely individual cognitive failures but reflect the absence of the socio\-material conditions through which planning judgment emerges: the networked relations among actors, institutions, routines, technologies, conflicts, places, and material contexts \(Hillier, 2007; McFarlane, 2011; Davoudi, 2015\)\.

Third, the cross\-national asymmetry reveals that planning knowledge is not merely context\-dependent but institutionally constituted\. The training data origin effect, where US\-origin models systematically underperform on Chinese scenarios \(mean gap: 12\.7 %\) while China\-origin models achieve near\-zero cross\-national gaps\. It cannot be explained solely by training data volume\. It reflects a deeper epistemological point: planning knowledge does not exist as abstract propositions translatable between contexts, but as institutionally\-embedded practices whose meaning is inseparable from specific governance architectures\.

These findings reframe the relationship between AI and planning knowledge\. Rather than asking “how much of planning can AI do?” \(a quantitative question\), the more productive question is “what kind of knowledge does AI’s failure reveal planning to be?” \(a qualitative, epistemological question\)\. The answer our findings suggest is that planning knowledge is irreducibly institutional, normative, temporal, and relational—not despite but because of its apparent simplicity at the factual level\. The practitioners who navigate zoning codes, negotiate stakeholder conflicts, and sequence implementation strategies are not performing simple tasks that AI will soon replicate; they are exercising a form of institutional intelligence that is constituted through embeddedness rather than computation\.

### 5\.2Redefining the Human\-AI Boundary in Planning Practice

Findings provides an empirical foundation for what we call differential delegation: a principled framework for determining which planning tasks can be responsibly augmented by AI and which require irreducibly human professional judgment\. UPBench moves beyond the binary discourse of AI\-as\-threat versus AI\-as\-tool, toward a nuanced mapping of complementary capabilities\.

In the zone of demonstrated competence \(Remember and Analyze levels across Theory and Interdisciplinary pillars\), AI augmentation offers genuine productivity gains with manageable risk\. Tasks such as literature review, preliminary environmental scanning, cross\-disciplinary impact identification, and scenario generation can be productively delegated to AI systems with standard professional review\. The key insight here is not that AI performs these tasks perfectly, but that it performs them at a level where the cost of professional review is less than the cost of producing the initial analysis from scratch\. This zone corresponds to planning’s techne dimension—technical synthesis that benefits from breadth of reference but does not require deep institutional judgment\.

In the zone of qualified utility \(Apply level in select pillars\), AI can serve as a drafting assistant rather than an autonomous analyst\. The workflow here is collaborative: AI produces first drafts that professional planners substantially revise, verify against jurisdictional specifics, and contextualize to local circumstances\. This zone requires what we term structured verification protocols—explicit procedures for checking AI outputs against authoritative sources before any professional reliance\. The boundary between Zone 1 and Zone 2 is determined by error consequence severity: Zone 2 tasks involve higher stakes where errors could undermine due process or stakeholder rights\.

In the zone of persistent incapacity \(regulatory interpretation, normative judgment, implementation strategy\), AI delegation poses unacceptable professional risk\. The failure modes documented in Section 4\.4—particularly regulatory hallucination and wickedness paralysis—create dangers that are qualitatively different from simple inaccuracy: they produce outputs that appear authoritative while being fundamentally misleading, potentially undermining due process, stakeholder rights, and public trust\. Following Cook and Karvonen \(2024\) on the knowledge politics of urban technology, we argue that the decision to deploy AI in these domains is not merely technical but political—it involves choices about whose knowledge counts, what forms of reasoning are legitimate, and who bears responsibility for judgment failures\.

Critically, this framework is not static\. The boundaries between zones will shift as AI capabilities evolve—though our findings suggest that the zone of persistent incapacity corresponds to structural features of planning knowledge \(institutional embeddedness, normative pluralism, democratic accountability\) rather than merely current computational limitations\. Longitudinal reassessment using updated UPBench versions will be essential for tracking these shifts and updating delegation protocols accordingly\.

### 5\.3Implications for Planning Education

If AI can already approximate professional competence in cross\-disciplinary synthesis and broad analytical reasoning \(Analyze: 81\.8%\), the implications for planning education are profound\. However, the Understand collapse reveals a critical nuance: AI can perform well at ostensibly “higher” cognitive levels while failing at conceptual understanding\. This suggests planning education should not simply retreat from analytical training, but reorient toward competencies that resist automation precisely because they require structured theoretical relationships and institutional embeddedness\.

Our findings suggest four areas where planning education should intensify its investment\. First, institutional literacy: the capacity to navigate specific regulatory architectures, interpret ambiguous legal\-institutional contexts, and understand the gap between codified rules and enacted practice\. This corresponds to the domain where regulatory hallucination is most dangerous—and where deep familiarity with specific institutional contexts provides irreplaceable value\. Salet’s \(2021\) concept of “constructing legality” through professional practice captures precisely this competence: understanding that legal\-institutional meaning is not given in texts but produced through interpretive practice\.

Second, paradigmatic precision: the capacity to maintain clear theoretical distinctions between related but different planning concepts, frameworks, and paradigms—resisting the conceptual conflation that characterizes AI outputs\. This requires not superficial familiarity with many theories but deep understanding of how specific theoretical commitments produce different analytical conclusions and practical recommendations\. Allmendinger’s \(2017\) mapping of planning theory’s paradigmatic landscape provides a pedagogical framework for this cultivation\.

Third, normative courage: the capacity to take reasoned value positions on contested planning issues—engaging with wickedness rather than retreating into exhaustive but uncommitted enumeration of considerations\. This corresponds directly to what Campbell \(2012\) identifies as planning ethics being constitutive of professional judgment: the ethical dimension is not separate from the analytical one but integral to it\. Flyvbjerg \(2004\) insists that phronetic judgment necessarily involves taking positions on matters where objective resolution is impossible—precisely the competence that wickedness paralysis reveals AI to lack\.

Fourth, AI critical literacy: the meta\-competence to evaluate AI outputs with professional judgment—recognizing when AI\-generated analysis is adequate for professional use and when it conceals hallucination, conflation, or normative evasion beneath surface fluency\. Clayton, Goodspeed, and colleagues \(2025\) argue that digital\-era planning education requires new pedagogical approaches that go beyond analytical skill—our findings suggest that one such approach must be the systematic cultivation of critical judgment about AI outputs as a core professional competence\.

Taken together, these four educational priorities represent a reorientation from knowledge transmission toward phronetic cultivation \(Xiang, 2016\), developing practical wisdom through experiential engagement with institutional complexity, value plurality, and situated practice\. This does not mean abandoning analytical training; it means reframing analytical competence as necessary but insufficient for professional planning practice, and investing correspondingly in the relational, institutional, and normative dimensions that our findings reveal as planning’s distinctive and durable contribution\.Planning education must therefore cultivate not just what students know, but how they know differently from machines\.

### 5\.4Limitations and Future Research

Several limitations of this study should be acknowledged\. First, the evaluation relies on automated scoring that may not capture all dimensions of response quality\. While we validated the scoring rubric against expert ratings, subtle distinctions in reasoning quality may elude automated assessment\. Second, the bilingual evaluation uses translated scenarios that may not perfectly capture the conceptual nuances of Chinese planning practice\. Third, the model selection reflects availability at the time of evaluation and does not include the most recent model generations\.

Future research should extend the UPBench framework in three directions\. First, longitudinal evaluation: tracking how model performance evolves across model generations to assess whether the Understand collapse and phronetic deficit are transient limitations or persistent boundary conditions\. Second, expanded institutional contexts: adding planning scenarios from additional national contexts \(European, Global South\) to test the generalizability of the origin effect\. Third, human\-AI collaborative assessment: evaluating not just AI performance in isolation but the quality of human\-AI collaborative planning processes, which may reveal productive complementarities not visible in standalone evaluation\.

## 6Conclusion

Can AI reason like an urban planner? Our findings suggest an answer more nuanced than either techno\-optimism or professional defensiveness would allow\. LLMs can approximate certain dimensions of planning reasoning—particularly cross\-disciplinary synthesis and broad analytical integration—at levels that suggest productive augmentation potential\. But they systematically fail at the dimensions that constitute planning’s phronetic core: jurisdiction\-specific institutional interpretation, normative judgment under value plurality, context\-sensitive procedural application, and the situated practical wisdom that emerges from embodied professional experience \(Tsai & Ku, 2024\)\. The inverted cognitive gradient—where AI struggles more with planning’s “simple” institutional knowledge than with its “complex” analytical tasks—reveals that planning expertise is structured differently from other professions, with ostensibly lower\-order knowledge encoding the highest density of institutional complexity \(Flyvbjerg, 2001; Healey, 1997\)\.

This paper’s contributions operate at three levels\. Methodologically, UPBench provides the first comprehensive, theory\-grounded framework for evaluating AI planning competence—constructed from within planning’s own evaluative traditions rather than imported from computer science\. Theoretically, the four epistemic diagnostics—regulatory hallucination, conceptual conflation, wickedness paralysis, and phronetic deficit—advance our understanding of planning knowledge by empirically demonstrating its irreducibly institutional, normative, and relational character \(Forester, 1989; Healey, 1997; Innes & Booher, 1999\)\. Practically, the differential delegation framework provides planning agencies, educators, and policymakers with an evidence\-based tool for navigating the human\-AI boundary in professional practice \(Tsai & Ku, 2024\)\.

Several limitations warrant acknowledgment and point toward future research\. First, our focus on open\-weight models means that current frontier proprietary systems \(GPT\-4o, Claude, Gemini\) likely achieve higher absolute performance \(Evkarpidi & Tutubalina, 2025\); future work should extend UPBench to these systems while maintaining the open\-weight baseline for longitudinal tracking\. Second, our expert panel \(n=5\), while sufficient for exploratory framework development, should be expanded in future iterations to strengthen reliability claims \(Okoli & Pawlowski, 2004\)\. Third, UPBench’s scope—limited to two national contexts and text\-based assessment—excludes important dimensions of planning expertise including visual\-spatial reasoning, interpersonal facilitation, and embodied site knowledge; multimodal extensions are a natural next step \(Zhu et al\., 2025\)\. Fourth, our findings represent a temporal snapshot of rapidly evolving AI capabilities; the framework is designed for longitudinal reassessment, and we anticipate that zone boundaries will shift over successive evaluation cycles\.

Future research should pursue five directions: \(a\) longitudinal tracking of AI planning competence as model capabilities evolve, using UPBench as a consistent measurement instrument; \(b\) expansion to additional national planning systems \(European, Latin American, Southeast Asian\) to further map how institutional embeddedness shapes AI performance \(Flyvbjerg, 2001\); \(c\) qualitative studies of how practicing planners actually interact with AI tools, to ground the differential delegation framework in observed practice rather than measured capability alone; \(d\) investigation of whether domain\-specific fine\-tuning can address the identified failure modes, or whether they reflect structural limitations of language\-model architecture; and \(e\) comparative analysis across professions \(planning versus architecture, law, public health\) to identify what is distinctively challenging about planning for AI systems\.

We conclude with a reflection on what this study reveals about planning as a knowledge practice\. The fact that AI most readily approximates planning’s analytical and synthetic dimensions—while failing at its institutional, normative, and relational dimensions—suggests that what makes planning genuinely professional is not its analytical sophistication \(which technology increasingly provides\) but its integrative institutional judgment \(which emerges only through embeddedness in specific governance contexts, communities, and political realities\)\. In an era where AI can produce competent\-sounding analysis on demand, planning’s distinctive value proposition lies not in what it knows but in how it knows—through contextual sensitivity, normative commitment, democratic accountability, and the accumulated practical wisdom that no training corpus can substitute\. The epistemic mirror of AI benchmarking reflects back, with empirical clarity, what planning theorists have long argued: that this profession’s most essential contribution is not technical analysis but phronetic judgment—and that this judgment remains, for now and perhaps inherently, a distinctively human achievement\.

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## Appendix AQualitative Analysis of Model Responses

This appendix presents verbatim model responses \(chain\-of\-thought excerpts and answers\) across selected items that illustrate the four epistemic diagnostics described in Section 4\.4\. All examples are drawn from the English evaluation set \(n = 405\)\. Table A1 summarizes the selected cases\.

Table 3:Cross\-model performance on selected diagnostic itemsNote\. Items selected to illustrate the four epistemic diagnostics \(Section 4\.4\)\. Scores indicate automated evaluation result \(1 = correct, 0 = incorrect\)\. Models: DS\-R1 = DeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Llama\-8B; Tulu = Llama\-3\.1\-Tulu\-3\-8B; Q2\.5\-0\.5B = Qwen2\.5\-0\.5B\-Instruct; Q3\-32B = Qwen3\-32B; Claude = Claude\-Haiku; Gemini = Gemini\-2\.5\-Flash; GPT4o = GPT\-4o\-mini\.

Illustrative Case: Regulatory Hallucination

Item 243 \(Apply level, Principles pillar\)\. All seven focus models were asked: “According to the general laws of urban development, a town is a transitional form between traditional rural settlements and cities, usually developed in transportation nodes, resource distribution centers, or internal industrial aggregation areas within rural areas\. Its spatial form and functional evolution are often the result of spontaneous growth, without clear planning guidance\. \[True/False\]”

Claude\-Haiku \(correct, score = 1\): Generated a nuanced analysis concluding “False” with detailed reasoning about the role of planning policy in Chinese town development\. Chain\-of\-thought excerpt: “The statement presents a perspective on market town development… While towns do have spontaneous elements, the claim that they develop ‘without planning guidance’ is incorrect\. In China’s context, town development is significantly influenced by policies such as ‘township planning’ and ‘rural revitalization\.’ ”

DeepSeek\-R1\-Distill\-Llama\-8B \(incorrect, score = 0\): Acknowledged the complexity but hedged its answer, demonstrating the phronetic deficit characteristic of weaker models\. The model correctly identified relevant policy frameworks but ultimately answered “True,” failing to recognize the Chinese institutional context that contradicts the statement\.

Illustrative Case: Conceptual Conflation

Item 165 \(Understand level, Principles pillar\)\. Models were asked to identify correct statements about the development process of urban planning\. Option B stated: “Medieval European urban development was based on functional zoning and spatial order\.” Claude\-Haiku correctly identified this as false \(medieval cities were organic, not functionally zoned\)\. However, Qwen3\-32B and GPT\-4o\-mini both incorrectly accepted this statement, conflating medieval organic urban growth with modernist functionalist planning—a clear instance of conceptual conflation where historically distinct planning paradigms are treated as interchangeable\.

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