@rohanpaul_ai: Terence Tao says the math behind today’s LLMs is actually simple. Training and running them mostly uses linear algebra,…

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Terence Tao states that the mathematics underlying modern LLMs is simple, using basic linear algebra and calculus, but the unpredictability of model performance across tasks remains a mystery due to the complex nature of natural language data.

Terence Tao says the math behind today’s LLMs is actually simple. Training and running them mostly uses linear algebra, matrix multiplication, and a bit of calculus, material an undergraduate can handle. We understand how to build and operate these models. The real mystery is why they work so well on some tasks and fail on others, and why we cannot predict that in advance. We lack good rules for forecasting performance across tasks, so progress is largely empirical. A key reason is the nature of real-world data. Pure noise is well understood, perfectly structured data is well understood, but natural text sits in between, partly structured and partly random. Mathematics for that middle regime is thin, similar to how physics struggles at meso-scales between atoms and continua. Because of this gap, we can describe the mechanisms but cannot yet explain capability jumps or give reliable task-level predictions. That mismatch, simple machinery versus hard-to-predict behavior, is the core puzzle. ---- Video from 'Dr Brian Keating' YT Channel (Link in comment)
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Cached at: 05/16/26, 01:19 PM

Terence Tao says the math behind today’s LLMs is actually simple. Training and running them mostly uses linear algebra, matrix multiplication, and a bit of calculus, material an undergraduate can handle. We understand how to build and operate these models.

The real mystery is why they work so well on some tasks and fail on others, and why we cannot predict that in advance. We lack good rules for forecasting performance across tasks, so progress is largely empirical.

A key reason is the nature of real-world data. Pure noise is well understood, perfectly structured data is well understood, but natural text sits in between, partly structured and partly random. Mathematics for that middle regime is thin, similar to how physics struggles at meso-scales between atoms and continua.

Because of this gap, we can describe the mechanisms but cannot yet explain capability jumps or give reliable task-level predictions. That mismatch, simple machinery versus hard-to-predict behavior, is the core puzzle.


Video from ‘Dr Brian Keating’ YT Channel (Link in comment)

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@berryxia: Honestly, only truly brilliant people dare to say such things! An undergraduate student can handle the math training of LLMs! In a recent interview, Terence Tao laid out the core mystery of LLMs directly. The Fields Medal winner, the highest honor in mathematics — often called the Nobel Prize of math — and one of the most top contemporary…

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Terence Tao pointed out that the math behind current LLMs is actually very simple, but the real puzzle lies in the intermediate zone of natural language data, which leads to unpredictable model behavior.

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