We're underwriting AI-native companies on agent telemetry, not just cash flows - here's what we're learning

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Summary

The article describes a new underwriting approach for AI-native companies that incorporates agent telemetry alongside traditional cash flow analysis, sharing insights from this method.

Every lender I've talked to underwrites AI companies like they're SaaS. MRR, churn, burn multiple. But an AI-native company's P&L looks nothing like SaaS - your costs are inference, your employees are agents, your revenue scales with usage not seats. So we're trying something different. We underwrite upto $100k on two things: your cash flows AND your AI telemetry. Agent usage patterns, inference economics, revenue per agent/workflow - the stuff that actually shows whether the business works. A few things we've learned so far: - Agent telemetry often predicts repayment better than the balance sheet does - Most AI-native companies can't get traditional debt at all, even with real revenue - "How much revenue does each agent generate" is a question almost nobody can answer today, and it's the most useful one Curious how founders here think about this. If your agents generate the revenue, what should a lender actually be looking at? Happy to answer questions about the underwriting side.
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