Evidential Rule Learning for Interpretable Classification with Abstention
摘要
Introduces Fast Evidential Rule Learning (FERL), a method for interpretable classification that produces evidential outputs and can abstain when uncertain, with theoretical stability guarantees and strong empirical results across tabular and concept-bottleneck benchmarks.
arXiv:2608.05859v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Interpretable classification often requires more than accurate predictions for real-life deployment: models should be transparent about the evidence behind their decisions and abstain when they cannot decide reliably. We introduce Fast Evidential Rule Learning (FERL), a method that learns interpretable, accurate fuzzy rule models whose outputs are evidential. Unlike post-hoc calibration, FERL's belief, plausibility, and abstention capabilities arise directly from the fuzzy memberships in a single deterministic pass, with no auxiliary head, held-out set, or repeated inference. Our theoretical analysis further shows that FERL is Lipschitz stable, which means that its evidential outputs vary smoothly with the input. Against state-of-the-art rule learners, FERL is statistically significantly more accurate across a 30 tabular-dataset benchmark ($+2.6\%$ average accuracy over the second best). Its native set predictions attain the best utility-discounted accuracy among credal classifiers ($u_{65}/u_{80}=0.80/0.83$ vs.\ $0.79/0.80$ for the naive credal classifier), at higher set coverage ($0.92$ vs.\ $\le0.82$). FERL also matches dedicated out-of-distribution detectors on tabular near-OOD detection ($77.7$ vs.\ $77.4$ AUROC for the strongest baseline). Under detector-class-disjoint concept-bottleneck evaluation, its it is within $2.3$ AUROC points of the strongest dedicated detector on both CUB and AwA2, while attaining the best AwA2 AUPR-Out ($68.3$) and novel-class rejection ($57.2$), while being able to name which attributes are anomalous.
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# Evidential Rule Learning for Interpretable Classification with Abstention
Source: [https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859)
Javier Fumanal\-IdocinSchool of Computer Scienceand Electronic EngineeringUniversity of Essex, Colchester CO4 3SQ, UKj\.fumanal\-idocin@essex\.ac\.ukJavier Andreu\-PerezSchool of Computer Scienceand Electronic EngineeringUniversity of Essex, Colchester CO4 3SQ, UKj\.andreu\-perez@essex\.ac\.uk
###### Abstract
Interpretable classification often requires more than accurate predictions for real\-life deployment: models should be transparent about the evidence behind their decisions and abstain when they cannot decide reliably\. We introduce Fast Evidential Rule Learning \(FERL\), a method that learns interpretable, accurate fuzzy rule models whose outputs are evidential\. Unlike post\-hoc calibration, FERL’s belief, plausibility, and abstention capabilities arise directly from the fuzzy memberships in a single deterministic pass, with no auxiliary head, held\-out set, or repeated inference\. Our theoretical analysis further shows that FERL is Lipschitz stable, which means that its evidential outputs vary smoothly with the input\. Against state\-of\-the\-art rule learners, FERL is statistically significantly more accurate across a 30 tabular\-dataset benchmark \(\+2\.6%\+2\.6\\%average accuracy over the second best\)\. Its native set predictions attain the best utility\-discounted accuracy among credal classifiers \(u65/u80=0\.80/0\.83u\_\{65\}/u\_\{80\}=0\.80/0\.83vs\.0\.79/0\.800\.79/0\.80for the naive credal classifier\), at higher set coverage \(0\.920\.92vs\.≤0\.82\\leq 0\.82\)\. FERL also matches dedicated out\-of\-distribution detectors on tabular near\-OOD detection \(77\.777\.7vs\.77\.477\.4AUROC for the strongest baseline\)\. Under detector\-class\-disjoint concept\-bottleneck evaluation, its it is within2\.32\.3AUROC points of the strongest dedicated detector on both CUB and AwA2, while attaining the best AwA2 AUPR\-Out \(68\.368\.3\) and novel\-class rejection \(57\.257\.2\), while being able to name which attributes are anomalous\.
## 1Introduction
Decision trees and rule lists remain the reference models whenever a prediction has to be justified to a human: a leaf is a conjunction of conditions, and the path that reaches it, the explanationRudin \([2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib46)\)\. This transparency, however, usually comes at a price\. Tree\-based classifiers such as CARTBreiman et al\. \([1984](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib8)\)and C4\.5Quinlan \([1993](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib43)\)must grow large to be accurate, and a single leaf returns a hard class label or local class distribution with only a limited account of how much evidence supports the decision\. This makes standard tree probability estimates biased towards overconfident values\(Provost and Domingos,[2003](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib41)\)\. Rules are also uninformative when learned directly over unstructured inputs such as image pixels, so they require neuro\-symbolic approaches, e\.g\., concept bottleneck models \(CBMs\)\(Koh et al\.,[2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib27)\)\. Because of these problems, post\-hoc explanation methods such as LIME\(Ribeiro et al\.,[2016](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib44)\), SHAP\(Lundberg and Lee,[2017](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib34)\), and Grad\-CAM\(Selvaraju et al\.,[2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib47)\)remain an alternative for building explanations, but they also have problems: they explain an already existing predictor and can be unfaithful to its actual decision\(Adebayo et al\.,[2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib2); Taimeskhanov et al\.,[2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib53)\)and they might give a poor estimation of the global reasoning process of the explained model\(Rudin,[2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib46)\)\. Which is why interpretable\-by\-design models are preferable when possible\.
For high\-stakes domains interpretability alone is not enough: a model must also report realistic, reliable confidence in each decision\(Hüllermeier and Waegeman,[2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib23)\)\. A popular approach to do this is to calibrate the model predictions, or use a score that quantifies the uncertainty in each decision\. Post\-hoc calibrators can be model\-agnostic, like temperature scalingGuo et al\. \([2017](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib21)\), Dirichlet calibration\(Kull et al\.,[2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib28)\), isotonic regressionZadrozny and Elkan \([2002](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib64)\)and conformal predictionsAngelopoulos and Bates \([2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib5)\)\. There are also specific alternatives for trees, such as per\-leaf calibration\(Leathart et al\.,[2017](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib30); Johansson et al\.,[2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib24)\), that adjust the prediction probability, although not the amount of evidence supporting it\(Amini et al\.,[2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib4)\)\. These techniques also tend to degrade under distribution shift\(Ovadia et al\.,[2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib39)\), which is problematic for real\-life deployment\. Reliability can also be built into the prediction\. Sampling\-based methods such as MC\-dropout\(Gal and Ghahramani,[2016](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib20)\)and deep ensembles\(Lakshminarayanan et al\.,[2017](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib29)\)estimate uncertainty but require repeated inference, while deterministic uncertainty methods \(DUMs\) capture*epistemic*uncertainty in a single pass, using distance\-aware\(Mukhoti et al\.,[2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib36)\)or evidential\(Amini et al\.,[2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib4)\)scores\. The evidential approaches come from belief\-function theoryShafer \([1976](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib49)\); Smets and Kennes \([1994](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib51)\)\. Popular approaches in this direction are evidential deep learningSensoy et al\. \([2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib48)\); Amini et al\. \([2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib4)\)and Dempster–Shafer \(DS\) neural networksDenœux \([2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib15)\)\. Evidential fuzzy rule classifiers use the possibility semantics of fuzzy membershipsDubois and Prade \([1988](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib17)\)as evidence\(Shiraishi et al\.,[2025](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib50)\)\. There are, however, some problems in existing DUMs\. They need spectral fine\-tuning of the neural architecture to avoid feature collapse, and because the score depends on the geometry of a learned representation, they only reliably detect geometric novelty\. This means that they tend to assign deceptively low uncertainty to a near\-OOD input that overlaps the training manifold\. Besides, they report a scalar with no symbolic account of*why*a case is doubtful\.
In this work, we introduce Fast Evidential Rule Learning \(FERL\), a fuzzy rule\-tree learner where each node emits a DS mass function in which the firing strength of a rule becomes the mass placed on its class distribution, and whatever does not fire becomes mass on ignorance\. This makes every prediction carry a point label, a graded confidence, and a set\-valued prediction\. FERL is, to our knowledge, the first model that is at once an interpretable rule learner, a credal classifier with abstention and an OOD detector, in a single deterministic pass\. This makes FERL a compelling way to add interpretability, reliability, and principled abstention to tabular classification and to neuro\-symbolic pipelines\.
As a summary, our contributions are as follows:
- •A native evidential and accurate rule learner\.We introduce FERL, a fuzzy rule tree whose DS evidence is read directly off the fuzzy memberships, computing belief, plausibility, credal prediction sets, and abstention in a single pass, with no separate calibration model, held\-out set, or repeated forward passes\.
- •A closed\-form account of construction and evidential prediction\.We analytically characterise both the learned fuzzy tree and its evidence sources: fuzzy splits weakly decrease Gini impurity, conserve in\-support routing mass, and give a local stability certificate controlled by their band widths\. The induced mass functions admit a closed form, interval\-dominance prediction reduces to an ignorance\-margin rule, and repeated Dempster combination of nested nodes monotonically shrinks ignorance\.
- •Broad empirical evaluation\.We benchmark FERL on 30 tabular classification datasets spanning diverse sizes, domains, and feature dimensions\. We also benchmark FERL on 2 image datasets with annotated concepts within a concept\-bottleneck image benchmark\. In this setting, FERL operates on concept vectors rather than raw pixels, so its rules and abstention decisions are expressed in human\-understandable attributes\. FERL OOD performance matches dedicated OOD detectors while naming the anomalous attributes, and stays informative under off\-support distribution shift, where it becomes more prone to abstain as its prediction sets widen\.
## 2Related Work
#### Interpretable trees and rule learners\.
CARTBreiman et al\. \([1984](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib8)\)and C4\.5Quinlan \([1993](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib43)\)are the canonical greedy trees, and RIPPERCohen \([1995](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib10)\)is another classic algorithm that produces compact ordered rule lists\. Fuzzy rule learners soften crisp thresholds using fuzzy logic: decision trees replace hard splits with membership functionsOlaru and Wehenkel \([2003](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib37)\); Fumanal Idocin and Andreu\-Perez \([2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib18)\); Hühn and Hüllermeier \([2009](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib22)\)\. Recent work uses gradient\-based and neural optimisation for rule\-learning\(Omran et al\.,[2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib38); Qiao et al\.,[2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib42); Wang et al\.,[2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib58),[2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib59); Dierckx et al\.,[2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib16); Fumanal\-Idocin et al\.,[2025](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib19); Xu et al\.,[2026](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib63)\)\. All of these approaches rely heavily on the Straight\-Through estimator\(Bengio et al\.,[2013](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib6)\)to mitigate the problem of non\-differentiable argmax operations in rule\-based reasoning\. Modern non\-neural literature also focuses on scalability: FIGSTan et al\. \([2022](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib54)\)grows a sum of shallow trees to stay as small as possible, and rule sampling\(Pellegrina and Vandin,[2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib40)\)tries to obtain the smallest size with guarantees\. FERL closes both gaps: it learns accurate classifiers across different rulebase\-complexity levels and trains efficiently to handle scale to large datasets\.
#### Evidential and credal classification\.
Dempster–Shafer theoryDempster \([1967](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib12)\); Shafer \([1976](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib49)\)models partial and conflicting evidence with belief functions, with a long history in classification, from the evidentialkk\-NN ruleDenoeux \([1995](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib13)\)to evidential neural networksSensoy et al\. \([2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib48)\)\. In deep learningUlmer et al\. \([2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib55)\), such methods predict Dirichlet \(or belief\) parameters in a single pass, grounded in subjective logicJøsang \([2016](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib25)\)\. Quantified ignorance supports abstention above a threshold\(Xin et al\.,[2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib62); Mao et al\.,[2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib35)\)\. FERL shares this single\-pass procedure but computes evidence using interpretable fuzzy rules rather than a black\-box network, following the established connection between graded membership and belief functions: a source firing with strengthϕ\\phiinduces a Bayesian mass discounted by1−ϕ1\-\\phiSmets and Kennes \([1994](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib51)\)\.
Credal classifiers reason with sets of probabilities: the naive credal classifierCorani and Zaffalon \([2008](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib11)\)and credal decision trees built on the imprecise Dirichlet modelAbellán and Moral \([2003](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib1)\)return non\-dominated classes, evaluated by utility\-discounted accuracyZaffalon et al\. \([2012](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib65)\)\. Recent work uses credal sets to quantify decision uncertainty as well\(Lienen and Hüllermeier,[2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib32); Wang et al\.,[2025](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib57)\)\. Unlike existing tree\-based credal classifiers, FERL produces set\-valued outputs natively from fuzzy memberships rather than imprecise leaf\-frequency estimates, mitigating the miscalibration of tree\-based inference\.
## 3Method
#### Notation\.
We address multiclass classification withCCclasses, and write the label set as the frame of discernmentΘ=\{1,…,C\}\\Theta=\\\{1,\\dots,C\\\}\. Training data areNNlabelled samples\{\(xi,yi\)\}i=1N\\\{\(x\_\{i\},y\_\{i\}\)\\\}\_\{i=1\}^\{N\}, each withddfeatures and a labelyi∈Θy\_\{i\}\\in\\Theta\. FERL grows a fuzzy treeTTwith nodesoo; each internal split pairs a feature with a fuzzy set of membershipμ\(⋅\)∈\[0,1\]\\mu\(\\cdot\)\\in\[0,1\], and memberships multiply along a root\-to\-oopath into a firing strengthϕo\(x\)∈\[0,1\]\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)\\in\[0,1\]\. Every node stores a consequent class distributionpo∈\[0,1\]Cp\_\{o\}\\in\[0,1\]^\{C\},∑cpo\(c\)=1\\sum\_\{c\}p\_\{o\}\(c\)=1, estimated from the soft weighted samples it covers\. At inference, evidence is combined over a node setA\(x\)A\(x\): all active nodes in the compact variant, or the active leaves in the deep variant\. We writeK=maxx\|A\(x\)\|K=\\max\_\{x\}\|A\(x\)\|for the largest number of evidence sources combined for one input\. Eacho∈A\(x\)o\\in A\(x\)contributes a Dempster–Shafer massmom\_\{o\}onΘ\\Theta, and the combined, normalised massmm\(normaliserZZ\) yields a beliefBel\(c\)\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c\), a plausibilityPl\(c\)\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\), and an ignorance massm\(Θ\)m\(\\Theta\)\. The pignistic transformBetP\\mathrm\{BetP\}gives the point labely^=argmaxcBetP\(c\)\\hat\{y\}=\\arg\\max\_\{c\}\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(c\), and interval dominance gives the credal \(set\-valued\) predictionS\(x\)⊆ΘS\(x\)\\subseteq\\Theta, an abstention whenS\(x\)=ΘS\(x\)=\\Theta\. The tree complexity is governed by a rule budgetRR\(terminal leaves, equivalent to rules, withR≤R\\leqmax\_rules\) and a total numberJJof stored nodes, together with a maximum depthDD, a patience on non\-improving splits, and a minimum gainδ\\delta\. A learned split additionally places its threshold atθ\\thetawith a linear fuzzy decision boundary of half\-widthhh\. Features not observed in a root\-to\-nodeoopath are denoted as “free” with respect tooo\.
### 3\.1Building the Fuzzy Tree
FERL grows a classification tree in which every internal split assigns a feature together with one fuzzy set that defines the condition on that feature\. This involves two procedures:
- •The parameters for each split are computed using a bootstrapping procedure that allows us to find fuzzy partitions with statistical robustness with respect to the gain function\.
- •We crop the fuzzy sets’ support to avoid spurious firing in non\-explored regions, which detects geometric OOD, and store in each node the necessary parameters to do near\-OOD detection\.
#### Learning the Fuzzy Splits\.
FERL works with two possible gain functions: the Complete Classification Index \(CCI\), which measures the gain in correctly classified soft mass obtained by replacing a node with a candidate split; and weighted Gini impurity \(WGI\)\. CCI works very well for small tree variants, but it is more costly to compute than WGI, which is the preferred metric for deeper variants\. Growth is greedy up to a budget on the number of rules and the depth, which allows us to target different interpretability\-performance aims\.
For small FERL trees, we pre\-fix the possible fuzzy partitions, using intuitive semantics\. In these cases, this results in an optimal trade\-off between interpretability and performance\. For deeper variants, this approach does not scale\. So, we repeatedly bootstrap and find the standard Gini\-optimal cut in each resample\. The resulting empirical distribution of cut locations determines the following fuzzy partition:
μθ,h\(xf\)=min\(1,max\(0,θ\+h−xf2h\)\),\\mu\_\{\\theta,h\}\(x\_\{f\}\)\\;=\\;\\min\\\!\\left\(1,\\ \\max\\\!\\left\(0,\\ \\frac\{\\theta\+h\-x\_\{f\}\}\{2h\}\\right\)\\right\),\(1\)wherexfx\_\{f\}is the value of the candidate feature,θ\\thetathe median of the per\-resample optimal cut locations\{cb\}b=1B\\\{c\_\{b\}\\\}\_\{b=1\}^\{B\}, andhhis a robust measure of their spread:
h=γ⋅MAD,MAD=medianb\|cb−θ\|,h\\;=\\;\\gamma\\cdot\\mathrm\{MAD\},\\qquad\\mathrm\{MAD\}\\;=\\;\\mathrm\{median\}\_\{b\}\\,\\lvert c\_\{b\}\-\\theta\\rvert,\(2\)withγ\>0\\gamma\>0a width multiplier\. The other branch receives then the complementary membership1−μθ,h\(xf\)1\-\\mu\_\{\\theta,h\}\(x\_\{f\}\)\. The condition is thus fully active forxf≤θ−hx\_\{f\}\\leq\\theta\-h, off forxf≥θ\+hx\_\{f\}\\geq\\theta\+h, and behaves linearly across the interval\[θ−h,θ\+h\]\[\\theta\-h,\\theta\+h\]\.
#### Bounded\-Support Memberships and Geometry\-Awareness
A point far outside the training range that activates a leaf at full strength can result in false node confidence\. To solve this, we soft\-bound the support of each fuzzy membership function to the feature range the node actually observed in training, decaying it to zero beyond a small marginϵ\\epsilon\. This makes out\-of\-distribution points that fall outside the observed range on some feature have their leaf activations collapse towards zero, which raises the model’s ignorance\. This mechanism is exact: as shown in the supplementary material, the routing mass lost to the support bounds decomposes node by node, each term naming the split feature responsible, and if every leaf firing vanishes the combined evidential output is provably vacuous\. However, this procedure cannot detect a near\-OOD point that stays within the observed data manifold\. For instance, when the sample belongs to a novel class that overlaps the training set\. To solve this, we model the behaviour of*unsplit*features in every node: each of them fits a diagonal Gaussian weighted by the fuzzy memberships to its root\-to\-node path over the features absent from it\. Since the firingϕo\\phi\_\{o\}depends onxxonly through the features tested on that path, this is precisely a model of the unsplit features given the split ones:
p\(xfree\(o\)\|ϕo\)≈𝒩\(μo,diag\(σo2\)\)\.p\\big\(x\_\{\\mathrm\{free\}\(o\)\}\\,\\big\|\\,\\phi\_\{o\}\\big\)\\;\\approx\\;\\mathcal\{N\}\\\!\\big\(\\mu\_\{o\},\\ \\mathrm\{diag\}\(\\sigma^\{2\}\_\{o\}\)\\big\)\.\(3\)The diagonal covariance keeps every unsplit feature’s contribution separable, so we can then detect which attributes are anomalous at any path\. At test time we compute the firing\-weighted average of the diagonal Mahalanobis distance per node\. These feature scores show how atypical a sample is where the tree was not looking\.
### 3\.2Building Evidential Outputs
In FERL, each fuzzy activation is treated as a piece of evidence: we turn each activated nodeoointo a Dempster–Shafer mass function on the label setΘ=\{1,…,C\}\\Theta=\\\{1,\\dots,C\\\}: the node places massϕo\(x\)po\(c\)\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)\\,p\_\{o\}\(c\)on classccand residual mass1−ϕo\(x\)1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)on the whole frameΘ\\Theta\. A node that fires weakly contributes mostly ignorance, and a node that fires strongly commits to its class distribution\. Combining the masses of the active nodes with Dempster’s rule of combination returns a beliefBel\(c\)\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c\)and a plausibilityPl\(c\)\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)for every class\. A point prediction is read from the pignistic transform of the combined mass, and a set\-valued prediction is obtained by interval dominance: classccis part of the final prediction whenPl\(c\)≥maxc′Bel\(c′\)\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)\\geq\\max\_\{c^\{\\prime\}\}\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c^\{\\prime\}\)\. The prediction set contracts to a singleton when one class dominates, expands when several classes are plausible, and covers the whole frame when no evidence reliably separates any of them, which naturally results in an abstention\.
An important idea in FERL inference is focusing on*which*nodes to combine\. Dempster’s rule treats all nodes as independent bodies of evidence, which they are not\. In a compact tree, this is not problematic, as the few internal nodes along a path carry complementary evidence\. In fact, we find that internal nodes can be used to regularise the overconfident estimations of the leaves\. In a deep tree, the nodes are numerous and strongly correlated, and combining all of them drives ignorance to zero\. So, in that case, we only combine the leaves\. Because a sample’s path activates only a handful of leaves, the combined mass retains a meaningful ignorance term, and this term turns out to be a locally adaptive metric for genuinely hard regions\.
Figure 1:FERL evidential output\.FERL naturally expresses doubt about its predictions, computed using Eq\.[4](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S3.E4)\. In \(a\), the belief in the dominant class is clear, so the result is a singleton\. In \(b\), conflicting evidence shows that the plausibility of class c2is bigger than belief in the dominant class, so the prediction set includes both classes\. Finally, in \(c\) the evidence is not decisive for any class, so FERL abstains\.#### Analytical Form of the Evidential Output
We writeϕo=ϕo\(x\)\\phi\_\{o\}=\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)for brevity\. Each node is a reliability\-discounted Bayesian mass function:
mo\(\{c\}\)=ϕopo\(c\),mo\(Θ\)=1−ϕo\.m\_\{o\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)=\\phi\_\{o\}p\_\{o\}\(c\),\\qquad m\_\{o\}\(\\Theta\)=1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\.Before normalisation, the combined mass has only the following non\-zero terms:
m~\(Θ\)=∏o∈A\(x\)\(1−ϕo\),\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)=\\prod\_\{o\\in A\(x\)\}\(1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\),m~\(\{c\}\)=∏o∈A\(x\)\(1−ϕo\+ϕopo\(c\)\)−∏o∈A\(x\)\(1−ϕo\)\.\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)=\\prod\_\{o\\in A\(x\)\}\\left\(1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\+\\phi\_\{o\}p\_\{o\}\(c\)\\right\)\-\\prod\_\{o\\in A\(x\)\}\(1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\)\.After division byZ=m~\(Θ\)\+∑cm~\(\{c\}\)Z=\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)\+\\sum\_\{c\}\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\), these quantities give the normalised massmm\. The normaliserZZis the total mass Dempster’s rule assigns to non\-empty focal sets\. Dividing byZZredistributes it and restores∑cm\(\{c\}\)\+m\(Θ\)=1\\sum\_\{c\}m\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+m\(\\Theta\)=1\. HenceBel\(c\)=m\(\{c\}\)\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c\)=m\(\\\{c\\\}\)andPl\(c\)=m\(\{c\}\)\+m\(Θ\)\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)=m\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+m\(\\Theta\), and interval dominance simplifies to
S\(x\)=\{c:m\(\{c\}\)≥maxjm\(\{j\}\)−m\(Θ\)\}\.S\(x\)=\\\{c:\\ m\(\\\{c\\\}\)\\geq\\max\_\{j\}m\(\\\{j\\\}\)\-m\(\\Theta\)\\\}\.\(4\)This credal set prediction chooses classes whose mass lies within the residual ignorance of the best\-supported class, and the set prediction expands as the model lacks evidence for the decision \(Figure[1](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S3.F1)\)\. This expression also clarifies the dependence problem in trees\. Combining an existing singleton class\-plus\-ignorance massmmwith an additional node whose ignorance isa=1−ϕa=1\-\\phigives
m′\(Θ\)=m\(Θ\)aZ′,Z′=a\+m\(Θ\)\(1−a\)\+∑cm\(\{c\}\)ϕp\(c\)\.\\begin\{array\}\[\]\{rcl\}m^\{\\prime\}\(\\Theta\)&=&\\frac\{m\(\\Theta\)a\}\{Z^\{\\prime\}\},\\\\ Z^\{\\prime\}&=&a\+m\(\\Theta\)\(1\-a\)\+\\sum\_\{c\}m\(\\\{c\\\}\)\\phi p\(c\)\.\\end\{array\}\(5\)SinceZ′≥aZ^\{\\prime\}\\geq a, adding a non\-vacuous source cannot increase residual ignorance\. In a deep tree, all\-node Dempster combination repeatedly discounts ignorance with correlated evidence\. This accounts for why we exclude the internal nodes from the final decision in the deep variant, and also suggests the use of selective node combinations or other decision rules in order to obtain good ignorance measures while exploiting the nested structure of the tree\. For our experimentation in the main paper, we have used the standard DS combination rule on the leaf nodes, as its empirical performance proved superior to other alternatives\. However, we also study in our Supplementary materials other possible alternatives\.
### 3\.3Analysis of Output Stability
Contrary to crisp trees, FERL output is a continuous function of the input\. This allows FERL to make more committed decisions in “clear” splits, while being more conservative in “dubious” ones\. We show how this works in the following proof\. Letλ\\lambdabe the largest slope of any fuzzy membership used in the tree, letK=maxx\|A\(x\)\|K=\\max\_\{x\}\|A\(x\)\|bound the number of combined nodes, and letDDbe the maximum depth\.
###### Proposition 1\(Lipschitz stability\)
The unnormalised evidential massesm~\(\{c\}\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)andm~\(Θ\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)are Lipschitz inxxwith constantO\(KDλ\)O\(KD\\lambda\)\. Consequently, on the regionΩτ=\{x:Z\(x\)≥τ\}\\Omega\_\{\\tau\}=\\\{x:Z\(x\)\\geq\\tau\\\}where the normaliser is bounded below, the pignistic output is Lipschitz,
∥BetP\(⋅∣x\)−BetP\(⋅∣x′\)∥1≤κKDλτ∥x−x′∥∞,\\\|\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(\\cdot\\mid x\)\-\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(\\cdot\\mid x^\{\\prime\}\)\\\|\_\{1\}\\;\\leq\\;\\frac\{\\kappa\\,K\\,D\\,\\lambda\}\{\\tau\}\\,\\\|x\-x^\{\\prime\}\\\|\_\{\\infty\},for a constantκ\\kappadepending only on the number of classesCC\.
*Proof sketch\.*Each firing strength is a product of at mostDDsingle\-featureλ\\lambda\-Lipschitz memberships, and each mass a product and difference of at mostKKsuch bounded factors, givingO\(KDλ\)O\(KD\\lambda\); the quotient rule applied toBetP\(c\)=\(m~\(\{c\}\)\+m~\(Θ\)/C\)/Z\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(c\)=\\big\(\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)/C\\big\)/ZonZ≥τZ\\geq\\tauthen has this bound\. The full proof, and a tighter per\-path refinement of the constant, are given in the supplementary material\.
The bound shows the impact of tree architecture in the final output: stability improves when fewer evidence sources are combined \(smallerKK\), paths are shallower \(smallerDD\), and fuzzy memberships are smoother \(smallerλ\\lambda\)\. The rule budgetRRcontrols this indirectly by limiting the available leaves and hence the number of sources that can enterA\(x\)A\(x\)\.
## 4Experiments
### 4\.1Setup
#### Tabular data\.
We evaluate on thirty tabular classification datasets from the UCI repositoryKelly et al\. \([2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib26)\), spanning binary and many\-class problems with numeric and categorical features, up to 64 features and 19k samples\. Results are reported by stratified five\-fold cross\-validated means\. Within each outer training fold, we reserve25%25\\%for conformal calibration and fit every predictor on the remainder\. Classification performance is measured in accuracy, and model complexity based on the number of leaves per tree \(equivalent to rules in a rulebase\)\. We report the area under the risk–coverage curve \(AURC\) for selective classification, and for set\-valued prediction we report determinacy \(fraction of singleton outputs\), empirical set coverage, mean set size, and utility\-discounted accuracy at the standardu65u\_\{65\}andu80u\_\{80\}discount levelsZaffalon et al\. \([2012](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib65)\)\.
#### Image data\.
We use concept\-bottleneck models \(CBMs\)Koh et al\. \([2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib27)\)on Caltech–UCSD Birds \(CUB\)Wah et al\. \([2011](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib56)\)and Animals with Attributes 2 \(AwA2\)Xian et al\. \([2019](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib61)\)\. A neural concept detector maps each image to a vector of probabilities for human\-named attributes, and FERL, CART, and logistic regression are then fit as alternative classification heads over exactly the same detector\-predicted vectors\. This makes FERL rules, confidence, and abstention refer to attributes rather than image pixels\. We evaluate accuracy and OOD capabilities in this setting for a standard symbol\-extractor–FERL pipeline\.
### 4\.2Baselines
#### FERL configurations\.
We use three different variants of FERL:*compact*uses a maximum of 15 rules and has a precomputed fuzzy partition where the conditions map to semantically intuitive concepts \(“low”, “medium” and “high”\);*medium*uses a maximum of 50 rules;*deep*uses a maximum of 200 rules and combines only the leaves of its tree\. The three variants also sit at three points of the stability dial of Section[3\.3](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S3.SS3): from compact to deep, larger rule and depth budgets permit largerKKandDD, trading the stability constant of Proposition[1](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#Thmproposition1)for accuracy\.
#### Comparison methods\.
We compare against modern and classic interpretable trees and rule learners\. For crisp tree methods:CARTBreiman et al\. \([1984](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib8)\),C4\.5Quinlan \([1993](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib43)\), andFIGSTan et al\. \([2022](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib54)\)\. For fuzzy rule\-based classifiers, we compare against Fuzzy\-rule baselines:FURIAHühn and Hüllermeier \([2009](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib22)\)and Fuzzy\-UCS \(FUCS\) that also uses Dempster–Shafer inferenceShiraishi et al\. \([2025](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib50)\)\. For neural and sampling\-based rule learners:RRLWang et al\. \([2021](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib58)\),RL\-NetDierckx et al\. \([2023](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib16)\),NeuRulesXu et al\. \([2026](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib63)\)\. To compare with sampled rule lists we implementedSamRuLePellegrina and Vandin \([2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib40)\)\. We also include a logistic regression \(LR\) as a non\-rule\-based interpretable baseline\. For dedicated credal and evidential classifiers: the naive credal classifier \(NCC\)Corani and Zaffalon \([2008](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib11)\), credal decision trees \(CDT\) and their C4\.5 variantAbellán and Moral \([2003](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib1)\), and evidential deep learning \(EDL\)Sensoy et al\. \([2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib48)\)\(which is non\-explainable\)\. For set\-valued comparison,MLP\-Conformalapplies deterministic, tie\-conservative split\-conformal adaptive prediction sets \(APS\) atα=0\.1\\alpha=0\.1Romano et al\. \([2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib45)\)to the softmax output of a one\-hidden\-layer, 64\-unit multilayer perceptron\. For the sake of comparison, we also include random forest \(RF\)Breiman \([2001](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib7)\)and gradient boosting \(GB\)Chen and Guestrin \([2016](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib9)\)as two non\-interpretable, highly performant classifiers\.
## 5Results
### 5\.1Tabular Data
#### Accuracy and Model Complexity
Table[1](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.T1)reports accuracy, model size, and selective\-risk AURC for all methods\. The compact FERL tree attains77\.877\.8accuracy with fewer than six rules, already competitive with a full C4\.5 tree \(78\.278\.2\) that is more than forty times larger, and above it on selective risk\. The medium FERL tree using bootstrapping to learn the fuzzy partition lifts accuracy to79\.279\.2at about forty rules\. It surpasses most more complex rule\-learners while matching CART \(79\.879\.8\), even when it is an order of magnitude smaller\. The deep FERL variant reaches83\.283\.2, becoming the best tree/rule\-based method both in accuracy and AURC\. However, the distance with respect to non\-interpretable ensemble classifiers is still significant\. It is also remarkable that modern rule learners struggle to compete with CART\. NeuRules is the strongest one, matching FERL\-medium’s accuracy \(79\.379\.3vs\.79\.279\.2\) with a smaller rule count but at higher selective risk \(14\.114\.1vs\.12\.712\.7AURC\)\. RRL \(77\.977\.9\) and RL\-Net are particularly complex for the accuracy they achieve, and while SamRuLe’s sampled rule lists stay compact, they fall well below FERL\-compact\. FUCS reaches78\.5978\.59only with rule bases in the thousands\. Figure[3](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.F3)shows the evolution of accuracy and model complexity for all the rule learners involved\.
A Friedman test across the 30 tabular datasets rejects equal performance among the thirteen interpretable methods for both accuracy and AURC \(p<0\.001p<0\.001in both cases\)\. FERL\-deep obtains the best average rank on both metrics \(accuracy rank 2\.97, AURC rank 2\.57\), while Figure[2](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.F2)shows the Nemenyi post\-hoc comparison for accuracy\. Complementary Holm\-corrected Wilcoxon signed\-rank tests across datasets find FERL\-deep statistically indistinguishable in accuracy only from LR and better than every other rule learner \(allp<0\.01p<0\.01\)\. The complete pairwise accuracy and AURC results, together with a per\-dataset analysis, are provided in the supplementary material\.
#### Training and Inference Cost
Timing every method in one process on one CPU, and taking medians over the thirty datasets, FERL\-deep fits in0\.260\.26s: among rule learners only CART \(0\.0020\.002s\) and FIGS \(0\.170\.17s\) fit faster, while NeuRules \(4\.84\.8s\), SamRuLe \(12\.912\.9s\), FUCS \(140\.4140\.4s\) and RL\-Net \(146\.8146\.8s\) are one to three orders of magnitude slower\. The margin is largest at inference: FERL scores a fold in1\.51\.5ms against16\.816\.8ms for FURIA and744744ms for FUCS, the other DS fuzzy rule learner\.
Table 1:Accuracy and selective\-risk AURC\.Computed over thirty tabular benchmarks \(mean±\\pmstd over datasets, 0–100 scale\)\. “Size” is the number of leaves for trees and rules for rule sets\. Bold marks the best result for an interpretable model and underlined the best one for a non\-interpretable model\.Figure 2:Critical\-difference diagram of accuracy ranks on the tabular benchmark\.The diagram uses the Nemenyi post\-hoc test; methods joined by a bar are not significantly different\. Lower rank is better\.Figure 3:Accuracy vs\. model size\.The x\-axis corresponds to the log scale of the number of nodes in each tree/rule based classifier, the y axis corresponds to the accuracy obtained by each model\.
#### Evaluation of Prediction Sets
Table[2](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.T2)evaluates both native set\-valued outputs and post\-hoc conformal sets under the utility\-discounted accuracy\(Zaffalon et al\.,[2012](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib65)\)\. FERL\-deep obtains the highest utility at both reference discount levels \(u65=0\.795u\_\{65\}=0\.795,u80=0\.827u\_\{80\}=0\.827\)\. Best coverage is obtained by MLP\-Conformal, which reaches0\.9520\.952, at the cost of the largest prediction sets on average\. NCC is the one that obtains the smallest prediction sets\. However, this determinism reflects an overconfident bias, as its performance is lower than most rule\-learners\. Results here show that FERL is capable of very good coverage \(close to conformal\) while producing significantly smaller sets, without falling into the overconfident estimates of NCC and CDT\.
Table 2:Native and conformal set\-valued prediction\.Mean±\\pmstd over the thirty tabular datasets\. Determinacy is the singleton fraction, coverage is empirical, and size is the mean set cardinality\. Conformal uses significance atα=0\.1\\alpha=0\.1;u65u\_\{65\}/u80u\_\{80\}are utility\-discounted accuracies\.
#### Out\-of\-Distribution Detection
We compare FERL’s OOD residual against three dedicated post\-hoc OOD detectors: class\-conditional Mahalanobis distanceLee et al\. \([2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib31)\),kk\-nearest\-neighbour distanceSun et al\. \([2022](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib52)\), and Isolation ForestLiu et al\. \([2008](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib33)\)\. The experiment setting is leave\-one\-class\-out on the multiclass datasets from the tabular benchmark\. In this case, rules are still firing so naive ignorance is uninformative\. Table[3](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.T3)shows that FERL\-deep’s OOD residual signal is marginally better than the strongest dedicated competitor \(77\.777\.7vs\.77\.477\.4forkkNN distance\) and clearly ahead of Mahalanobis and Isolation Forest, and that it does so with the lowest standard deviation across datasets of any method, i\.e\. it is the most consistent detector of the comparison\. FERL\-medium is also capable of surpassing class\-conditional Mahalanobis and Isolation Forest\. The same ranking holds when fixing a threshold\. Accepting95%95\\%of retained\-class inputs, FERL\-deep rejects the largest fraction of novel\-class inputs \(36\.5%36\.5\\%\), ahead of every dedicated detector\.
Table 3:OOD\-detection: AUROC and rejection\.*Reject*is the fraction of held\-out novel\-class inputs rejected at a threshold fixed to accept95%95\\%of retained\-class inputs\.
### 5\.2Concept Bottleneck Integration
We integrate FERL with a CBM by replacing its classification head and training on the symbol detector’s output\. In the following, we compare it against another tree\-based method, CART, and LR, which is the reference model used in CBMs for the explainability of its weights\.
#### Accuracy Results\.
Table[4](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.T4)reports the accuracy for different classification heads on CUB\-20, CUB\-200, and AwA2 using the same symbol extractor\. We found that per\-concept calibration is particularly important on CUB: FERL\-deep improves from77\.67%77\.67\\%to86\.28%86\.28\\%on CUB\-20 and from59\.38%59\.38\\%to65\.18%65\.18\\%on CUB\-200\. With calibrated concepts it slightly exceeds CART on both tasks, making it the strongest tree\-based CBM head in this comparison\. Still, standard LR remains the strongest predictor\. The nature of this advantage comes from the fact that the LR is effectively using more concepts for each decision\. We can see that its advantage disappears when limiting the number of concepts used to the same as FERL\. This shows that although the largest LR weights have been typically used as a way to interpret the final decision of the CBM, it is actually a large number of symbols that are required to acquire good performance\. On AwA2, all methods perform similarly around95%95\\%accuracy, and the calibration offered no additional gains\.
Table 4:Concept\-bottleneck accuracy\.“Raw” and “calib\.” show the effect of per\-concept isotonic calibration on the symbol extractor\. “Concept\-restricted LR” is an LR head restricted to the same number of concepts as the FERL tree\.
#### OOD Detection\.
We next evaluate whether the same concept\-level representation supports detection of classes that are entirely unseen at deployment\. For each dataset, we partition the classes into five folds and remove the held\-out fold before training both the image\-to\-concept detector and the classification heads\. Per\-concept isotonic calibration, FERL fitting, and OOD\-threshold selection use retained\-class data only, and held\-out\-class test images are used only for final evaluation\. Mahalanobis distance,kkNN distance, and Isolation Forest receive exactly the same calibrated concept vectors as FERL\. We first average the five held\-out\-class folds within each detector seed and then report mean and standard deviation over three detector seeds\.
Table[5](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#S5.T5)shows that FERL’s native residual score is competitive with dedicated OOD detectors without adding a separate detector\. On CUB\-200, FERL reaches68\.268\.2AUROC and31\.031\.0AUPR\-Out, within2\.32\.3and2\.42\.4points, respectively, of the strongest dedicated result\. On AwA2, it reaches86\.286\.2AUROC, within2\.02\.0points ofkkNN, while obtaining the best AUPR\-Out \(68\.368\.3\) and the highest unseen\-class rejection at the retained\-class validation threshold \(57\.2%57\.2\\%\)\. This operating\-point advantage is not uniform: FERL’s AwA2 FPR95 is75\.875\.8, compared with54\.254\.2–54\.354\.3for Mahalanobis andkkNN\. Thus, the residual is also a competitive near\-OOD signal at no additional cost within a CBM scheme\.
Table 5:Detector\-class\-disjoint open\-world CBM detection\.Best results per dataset and metric are bold\.
## 6Conclusion
We presented FERL, a fast and scalable fuzzy rule\-learning method in which Dempster–Shafer evidence is the product of the fuzzy memberships that define the rules, and where each node split is computed using bootstrapped samples that create robust fuzzy partitions\. FERL provides a high\-performance interpretable classifier with set\-valued prediction, abstention, and OOD detection, and can target different accuracy–complexity trade\-offs through its rule budget\. In a 30\-dataset tabular benchmark, the medium\-sized FERL tree is competitive with classical and recent rule learners while using fewer rules than most of them, and the deep FERL tree surpasses every other single rule learner with statistical significance\. Its native residual also matches or closely approaches dedicated OOD detectors without fitting a separate detector\. Within a CBM, FERL remains competitive as a classification head and carries the same OOD mechanism into a detector\-class\-disjoint open\-world setting: it stays within2\.32\.3AUROC points of the strongest dedicated detector on CUB and AwA2, while attaining the best AwA2 AUPR\-Out and unseen\-class rejection\. These results show that a single concept\-level FERL head can provide auditable rules, evidential abstention, and attribute\-level novelty diagnostics without an auxiliary uncertainty model\.
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## Supplementary Material
## Appendix ATree Construction Guarantees and a Confidence\-Certified Band
The learned FERL tree uses the same greedy search pattern as a classical tree, but its fuzzy routing allows us to characterise its behaviour in different ways than a crisp tree like CART or C4\.5\. This section discusses these, while reasoning why they are relevant for FERL’s behaviour\.
### A\.1Guaranteed Gini Improvement
Consider a node with non\-negative incoming sample weightswiw\_\{i\}, total weightW=∑iwi\>0W=\\sum\_\{i\}w\_\{i\}\>0, and class distributionpp\. A complementary fuzzy split has left membershipsμi∈\[0,1\]\\mu\_\{i\}\\in\[0,1\]and right memberships1−μi1\-\\mu\_\{i\}\. LetWL=∑iwiμiW\_\{L\}=\\sum\_\{i\}w\_\{i\}\\mu\_\{i\},WR=∑iwi\(1−μi\)W\_\{R\}=\\sum\_\{i\}w\_\{i\}\(1\-\\mu\_\{i\}\),α=WL/W\\alpha=W\_\{L\}/W, and letpL,pRp\_\{L\},p\_\{R\}be the corresponding child class distributions\. WriteG\(q\)=1−∥q∥22G\(q\)=1\-\\lVert q\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}for Gini impurity\.
#### Proposition 1 \(descent of the construction objective\)\.
For every complementary fuzzy split with non\-empty children,
G\(p\)−αG\(pL\)−\(1−α\)G\(pR\)=α\(1−α\)∥pL−pR∥22≥0\.G\(p\)\-\\alpha G\(p\_\{L\}\)\-\(1\-\\alpha\)G\(p\_\{R\}\)=\\alpha\(1\-\\alpha\)\\lVert p\_\{L\}\-p\_\{R\}\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}\\geq 0\.\(6\)The decrease is strict exactly when both children have positive weight and their class distributions differ\.
#### Proof\.
Complementarity givesWL\+WR=WW\_\{L\}\+W\_\{R\}=Wandp=αpL\+\(1−α\)pRp=\\alpha p\_\{L\}\+\(1\-\\alpha\)p\_\{R\}\. Expanding the squared norm of this convex combination givesα∥pL∥22\+\(1−α\)∥pR∥22−∥p∥22=α\(1−α\)∥pL−pR∥22\\alpha\\lVert p\_\{L\}\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}\+\(1\-\\alpha\)\\lVert p\_\{R\}\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}\-\\lVert p\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}=\\alpha\(1\-\\alpha\)\\lVert p\_\{L\}\-p\_\{R\}\\rVert\_\{2\}^\{2\}, which is Equation \([6](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A1.E6)\)\.□\\square
#### Practical Implications\.
This property is relevant to guarantee that our splits will always get Gini improvement no matter the split technique used\. This is different, for example, from CART, where its splitting method guarantees one\-step optimality by checking all possible candidates\.
### A\.2Routing\-Mass Conservation
For a test pointxx, letϕo\(x\)\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)be the firing that reaches nodeoo, withϕroot\(x\)=1\\phi\_\{\\mathrm\{root\}\}\(x\)=1\. The factorγo∈\[0,1\]\\gamma\_\{o\}\\in\[0,1\]penalises the membership for being out of the known data manifold\. At an internal node, writeμo\(x\)\\mu\_\{o\}\(x\)for the left membership and1−μo\(x\)1\-\\mu\_\{o\}\(x\)for the right membership\.
#### Proposition 2 \(support conservation in in\-distribution samples\)\.
If everyγ\\gammaequals one for samplexx, then the leaf firings of a finite binary learned tree form a partition of unity:
∑ℓ∈ℒ\(T\)ϕℓ\(x\)=1\.\\sum\_\{\\ell\\in\\mathcal\{L\}\(T\)\}\\phi\_\{\\ell\}\(x\)=1\.\(7\)
#### Proof\.
The two children ofooreceiveϕoμo\\phi\_\{o\}\\mu\_\{o\}andϕo\(1−μo\)\\phi\_\{o\}\(1\-\\mu\_\{o\}\), whose sum isϕo\\phi\_\{o\}\. Replacing an internal\-node firing by its two child firings therefore preserves the total\. Recursing from the root proves Equation \([7](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A1.E7)\)\.□\\square
Note that in samples where some values are outside the known data manifold, at least someγ\>0\\gamma\>0\. Then, there is a loss of mass in the routing that has this decomposition:
1−∑ℓ∈ℒ\(T\)ϕℓ\(x\)=∑o∈ℐ\(T\)ϕo\(x\)\(1−γo\(x\)\),1\-\\sum\_\{\\ell\\in\\mathcal\{L\}\(T\)\}\\phi\_\{\\ell\}\(x\)=\\sum\_\{o\\in\\mathcal\{I\}\(T\)\}\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)\\bigl\(1\-\\gamma\_\{o\}\(x\)\\bigr\),\(8\)whereℐ\(T\)\\mathcal\{I\}\(T\)is the set of internal nodes andϕo\\phi\_\{o\}is the firing before applyingγo\\gamma\_\{o\}\. This follows by the same argument, because the children now sum toϕoγo\\phi\_\{o\}\\gamma\_\{o\}\.
#### Practical Implications\.
Equation \([8](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A1.E8)\) is what makes geometric novelty attributable to a feature: each summand names the node and split feature responsible for the loss of mass\.
### A\.3Continuity and Local Prediction Stability
On an in\-support region, we define:
PT\(x\)=∑ℓ∈ℒ\(T\)ϕℓ\(x\)pℓ,P\_\{T\}\(x\)=\\sum\_\{\\ell\\in\\mathcal\{L\}\(T\)\}\\phi\_\{\\ell\}\(x\)p\_\{\\ell\},\(9\)which is a probability vector\. The ramp at nodeoois1/\(2ho\)1/\(2h\_\{o\}\)\-Lipschitz\. For theℓ∞\\ell\_\{\\infty\}input norm andℓ1\\ell\_\{1\}output norm, define
LT=maxπ∈paths\(T\)∑o∈π1ho\.L\_\{T\}=\\max\_\{\\pi\\in\\mathrm\{paths\}\(T\)\}\\sum\_\{o\\in\\pi\}\\frac\{1\}\{h\_\{o\}\}\.\(10\)
#### Proposition 3 \(local robustness certificate\)\.
On any region where the support gates remain one,∥PT\(x\)−PT\(x′\)∥1≤LT∥x−x′∥∞\\lVert P\_\{T\}\(x\)\-P\_\{T\}\(x^\{\\prime\}\)\\rVert\_\{1\}\\leq L\_\{T\}\\lVert x\-x^\{\\prime\}\\rVert\_\{\\infty\}\. Ifc∗=argmaxcPT\(x\)cc^\{\*\}=\\arg\\max\_\{c\}P\_\{T\}\(x\)\_\{c\}is unique and
Δ\(x\)=PT\(x\)c∗−maxc≠c∗PT\(x\)c,\\Delta\(x\)=P\_\{T\}\(x\)\_\{c^\{\*\}\}\-\\max\_\{c\\neq c^\{\*\}\}P\_\{T\}\(x\)\_\{c\},\(11\)then the predicted class is unchanged for every
∥x−x′∥∞<Δ\(x\)2LT\.\\lVert x\-x^\{\\prime\}\\rVert\_\{\\infty\}<\\frac\{\\Delta\(x\)\}\{2L\_\{T\}\}\.\(12\)
#### Proof\.
At a node, the subtree prediction isP=μPL\+\(1−μ\)PRP=\\mu P\_\{L\}\+\(1\-\\mu\)P\_\{R\}\. Since probability vectors are at most22apart inℓ1\\ell\_\{1\}, the change due to the ramp is bounded by2⋅\(1/\(2ho\)\)∥x−x′∥∞2\\cdot\(1/\(2h\_\{o\}\)\)\\lVert x\-x^\{\\prime\}\\rVert\_\{\\infty\}\.
#### Full proof of the pignistic stability bound \(Proposition 1 of the main paper\)\.
LetK=maxx\|A\(x\)\|K=\\max\_\{x\}\|A\(x\)\|be the maximum number of evidence sources combined for one input\. Each membership isλ\\lambda\-Lipschitz and depends on a single feature, so a firing strengthϕo\\phi\_\{o\}, a product of at mostDDof them, hasℓ1\\ell\_\{1\}gradient norm at mostDλD\\lambda\(matching theℓ∞\\ell\_\{\\infty\}norm on the input\) and lies in\[0,1\]\[0,1\]\. The unnormalised massesm~\(\{c\}\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)andm~\(Θ\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)are products and differences of at mostKKfactors of the form1−ϕo\+ϕopo\(c\)∈\[0,1\]1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\+\\phi\_\{o\}p\_\{o\}\(c\)\\in\[0,1\]; a product ofKKfactors, each bounded by one andDλD\\lambda\-Lipschitz, isKDλKD\\lambda\-Lipschitz, hence both masses areO\(KDλ\)O\(KD\\lambda\)\-Lipschitz\. NowBetP\(c\)=\(m~\(\{c\}\)\+m~\(Θ\)/C\)/Z\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(c\)=\\big\(\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)/C\\big\)/Zis a ratio whose numerator isO\(KDλ\)O\(KD\\lambda\)\-Lipschitz and bounded in\[0,1\]\[0,1\], and whose denominatorZ=∑cm~\(\{c\}\)\+m~\(Θ\)Z=\\sum\_\{c\}\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)is itselfO\(CKDλ\)O\(CKD\\lambda\)\-Lipschitz and bounded in\[τ,1\]\[\\tau,1\]onΩτ=\{x:Z\(x\)≥τ\}\\Omega\_\{\\tau\}=\\\{x:Z\(x\)\\geq\\tau\\\}; the quotient rule then bounds each‖∇BetP\(c\)‖1\\\|\\nabla\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(c\)\\\|\_\{1\}byO\(KDλ/τ\)O\(KD\\lambda/\\tau\)up to aCC\-dependent factor, and summing over theCCclasses yields the stated bound with the dependence onCCabsorbed intoκ\\kappa\.□\\square
#### Practical Implications\.
This proposition allows us to do two things\. First, we can know how robust FERL is to noise\. IfLTL\_\{T\}is small we know that small changes are less likely to affect FERL\. Second, we can use this property to know when two samples are going to have the same predictions\. The most straightforward use of this proposition would be to build a cache\-with\-guarantees for FERL in order to save time in inferences for very large datasets or FERL models\.
## Appendix BComputational Complexity
Algorithm 1FERL: fuzzy\-tree growth and evidential inference\.1:Training input:data
\{\(xi,yi\)\}i=1N\\\{\(x\_\{i\},y\_\{i\}\)\\\}\_\{i=1\}^\{N\}, fuzzy partitions, budget
RR, depth
DD, patience, gain function and min\. gain value
δ\\delta
2:initialise
TTwith a single root holding all samples at membership
11
3:while
rules\(T\)<R\\mathrm\{rules\}\(T\)<Rand best achievable coverage
≥\\geqthresholddo
4:for allnodes
ooin
TTwith depth
<D<Ddo
5:score every candidate split of
oo\(feature
×\\timesfuzzy set, or a learned threshold
θ\\thetawith band
hh\) by its gain \{
θ\\theta: bootstrap median,
h=γ⋅h=\\gamma\\cdotMAD\}
6:endfor
7:
\(o⋆,s⋆,g⋆\)←\(o^\{\\star\},s^\{\\star\},g^\{\\star\}\)\\leftarrowsplit with the largest gain
8:if
g⋆≤δg^\{\\star\}\\leq\\deltathen
9:increment patience counter;breakif exhausted
10:endif
11:install
s⋆s^\{\\star\}at
o⋆o^\{\\star\}; update firings
ϕo\\phi\_\{o\}and consequents
pop\_\{o\}
12:endwhile
13:optionally apply cost\-complexity pruning
14:returnfuzzy rule tree
TT
1:Inference input:sample
xx, tree
TT, inference mode \(depending on compact / deep tree\)
2:
A\(x\)←A\(x\)\\leftarrowactive leaves if deep, else all active nodes
3:for all
o∈A\(x\)o\\in A\(x\)do
4:
mo\(\{c\}\)←ϕo\(x\)po\(c\)m\_\{o\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)\\leftarrow\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)\\,p\_\{o\}\(c\);
mo\(Θ\)←1−ϕo\(x\)m\_\{o\}\(\\Theta\)\\leftarrow 1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\(x\)
5:endfor
6:
m~\(Θ\)←∏o∈A\(x\)\(1−ϕo\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)\\leftarrow\\prod\_\{o\\in A\(x\)\}\(1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\)\{Dempster, commonality form\}
7:
m~\(\{c\}\)←∏o∈A\(x\)\(1−ϕo\+ϕopo\(c\)\)−m~\(Θ\)\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)\\leftarrow\\prod\_\{o\\in A\(x\)\}\\\!\\big\(1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\+\\phi\_\{o\}p\_\{o\}\(c\)\\big\)\-\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)
8:normalise by
Z=m~\(Θ\)\+∑cm~\(\{c\}\)Z=\\tilde\{m\}\(\\Theta\)\+\\sum\_\{c\}\\tilde\{m\}\(\\\{c\\\}\)to obtain
mm
9:
Bel\(c\)←m\(\{c\}\)\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c\)\\leftarrow m\(\\\{c\\\}\);
Pl\(c\)←m\(\{c\}\)\+m\(Θ\)\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)\\leftarrow m\(\\\{c\\\}\)\+m\(\\Theta\)
10:
y^←argmaxcBetP\(c\)\\hat\{y\}\\leftarrow\\arg\\max\_\{c\}\\mathrm\{BetP\}\(c\); native set
S\(x\)←\{c:Pl\(c\)≥maxc′Bel\(c′\)\}S\(x\)\\leftarrow\\\{c:\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)\\geq\\max\_\{c^\{\\prime\}\}\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(c^\{\\prime\}\)\\\}
11:return
y^\\hat\{y\}; native set
S\(x\)S\(x\); ignorance
m\(Θ\)m\(\\Theta\)
We analyse the time and space complexity of FERL for both training and inference\. Table[6](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A2.T6)separates the rule count reported in the experiments from the total number of stored nodes and from the number of nodes used as evidence\. We treat one membership evaluation on one feature value asO\(1\)O\(1\)\.
Table 6:Notation used in the complexity analysis\.If split subsampling is enabled andN\>nsN\>n\_\{s\}, thenNs=min\(N,ns\)N\_\{s\}=\\min\(N,n\_\{s\}\); otherwiseNs=NN\_\{s\}=N\. Under the default automatic policy, subsampling is enabled only whenN\>50,000N\>50\{,\}000\. AlsoK≤JK\\leq J; in leaves\-only inference,K≤RK\\leq R\.### B\.1Tree Growth
FERL grows greedily: each iteration scores every possible candidate split at every node, executes the single best split, and repeats until the leaf/rule budgetRR, the depth limitDD, the minimum coverage, or the patience counter is exhausted \(Algorithm[1](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#alg1)\)\. A successful iteration creates one new node, so there are at mostJ−1J\-1successful node creation steps\. We useJJfor counts below\.
Before tree growth, theBBbootstrap resamples are generated once and stored as multiplicity vectors over the split\-scoring observations\. The values of each feature are also sorted once, at a preprocessing cost ofO\(dNslogNs\)O\(dN\_\{s\}\\log N\_\{s\}\)\. Restricting a precomputed feature ordering to a node’s effective region preserves that ordering, while bootstrap multiplicities change only the observation weights and not their order\. Consequently, neither the nodes nor the bootstrap replicates require additional sorting\.
For each node–feature pair, the cuts associated with theBBbootstrap replicates are obtained by sweeping the fixed feature ordering and computing cumulative class weights\. Each sweep costsO\(NsC\)O\(N\_\{s\}C\), givingO\(\(B\+1\)NsC\)O\(\(B\+1\)N\_\{s\}C\)per node–feature pair andO\(d\(B\+1\)NsC\)O\(d\(B\+1\)N\_\{s\}C\)per node\. The bootstrap\-generation cost isO\(BNs\)O\(BN\_\{s\}\)\. Therefore, the total training cost is
Tgrowlearned=O\(dNslogNs\+BNs\+Jd\(B\+1\)NsC\)\.T\_\{\\mathrm\{grow\}\}^\{\\mathrm\{learned\}\}=O\\\!\\left\(dN\_\{s\}\\log N\_\{s\}\+BN\_\{s\}\+Jd\(B\+1\)N\_\{s\}C\\right\)\.ForB≥1B\\geq 1, this simplifies to
Tgrowlearned=O\(dNslogNs\+JdBNsC\)\.T\_\{\\mathrm\{grow\}\}^\{\\mathrm\{learned\}\}=O\\\!\\left\(dN\_\{s\}\\log N\_\{s\}\+JdBN\_\{s\}C\\right\)\.
### B\.2Space
The fitted model storesJJnodes with aCC\-vector class distribution and split parameters, plus per\-node diagonal statistics over up toddfree features for the OOD score\. Including the fixed fuzzy partitions, model space is thereforeO\(J\(C\+d\)\+dPmax\)O\\\!\\big\(J\(C\+d\)\+dP\_\{\\max\}\\big\); without the residual statistics it reduces toO\(JC\+dPmax\)O\(JC\+dP\_\{\\max\}\)\. Inference allocates the activation matrix atO\(nJ\)O\(nJ\)and output arrays atO\(nC\)O\(nC\)\.
### B\.3Wall\-Clock Runtime
Table[7](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A2.T7)complements the asymptotic analysis with a fresh wall\-clock scaling comparison\. We fit every method from scratch on ten representative datasets using five seeded stratified train/test splits\. The datasets span178178–5,3005\{,\}300samples,22–5757features, and22–77classes, and are ordered by the size of their input matrix\. FERL\-compact and FERL\-medium remain below0\.150\.15and0\.400\.40seconds, respectively, on every dataset\. FERL\-deep grows more nodes and therefore takes up to2\.652\.65seconds\. On the two largest input datasets \(*segment*and*spambase*\), FERL\-deep is much faster to fit than C4\.5 and FURIA, while CART remains the fastest method overall\.
Table 7:Median fit time in seconds\.Across 5 seeded stratified 70/30 train/test splits\. Datasets are ordered by their size\.
## Appendix CAblation Studies
### C\.1Evidence Sources and Combination Rule
The evidential decision involves two choices: which tree nodes provide evidence and how their masses are combined\. We isolate both choices without refitting the tree\. First, we compare all non\-root nodes with leaves only under Dempster’s rule\. Second, we also compare Dempster’s rule with Denœux’s cautious ruleDenoeux \([2008](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib14)\), which and was designed for non\-distinct evidence sourcesDenoeux \([2008](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib14)\)\. For a leafoowith firingϕo\\phi\_\{o\}and consequentpo\(c\)p\_\{o\}\(c\), its singleton canonical weight is
wo\(c\)=1−ϕo1−ϕo\+ϕopo\(c\)\.w\_\{o\}\(c\)=\\frac\{1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\}\{1\-\\phi\_\{o\}\+\\phi\_\{o\}p\_\{o\}\(c\)\}\.\(13\)The cautious combination usesw\(c\)=minowo\(c\)w\(c\)=\\min\_\{o\}w\_\{o\}\(c\), so repeated or dependent support does not compound\. The pignistic point decision and interval\-dominance setS\(x\)=\{c:Pl\(c\)≥maxjBel\(j\)\}S\(x\)=\\\{c:\\mathrm\{Pl\}\(c\)\\geq\\max\_\{j\}\\mathrm\{Bel\}\(j\)\\\}are otherwise unchanged\.
Table 8:Evidence\-source and combination\-rule ablation for FERL\-deep\.All read\-outs use the same fitted tree\. The first two rows isolate all\-node versus leaves\-only evidence under Dempster’s rule; the last two isolate Dempster versus Denœux’s cautious rule over the same leaves \(30 datasets, 5 folds\)\. All entries except mean set size are on a 0–100 scale\. Lower AURC/ECE is better; higher accuracy, coverage, andu65u\_\{65\}is better\.Table[8](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A3.T8)shows why FERL\-deep uses leaves only\. All\-node Dempster combination drives mean ignorance to0\.07%0\.07\\%and produces99\.88%99\.88\\%singleton sets, so its set coverage \(80\.69%80\.69\\%\) nearly reduces to point accuracy\. Restricting the sources to leaves raises ignorance to22\.93%22\.93\\%and set coverage to92\.31%92\.31\\%, while also increasing accuracy from80\.62%80\.62\\%to83\.18%83\.18\\%and slightly lowering AURC\. This non\-degenerate credal output costs0\.950\.95ECE points and1\.151\.15u65u\_\{65\}points relative to the collapsed all\-node read\-out\.
The cautious rule is more conservative still: relative to Dempster over the same leaves, coverage rises from92\.31%92\.31\\%to96\.78%96\.78\\%and ignorance from22\.93%22\.93\\%to37\.19%37\.19\\%\. However, mean set size grows from1\.701\.70to3\.053\.05, determinacy falls from74\.26%74\.26\\%to24\.04%24\.04\\%, accuracy falls by13\.6013\.60points, and both AURC and ECE worsen\. Leaves\-only Dempster therefore provides the best balance here: it removes direct ancestor–descendant dependence, while cautious combination suppresses useful information\.
### C\.2Bounded\-Support
FERL\-deep bounds each membership using the feature range observed at that node\. The gate equals one within the node\-local training range and decays to zero over a margin of one such range on either side\. Because this gate is applied only during inference, it can be switched on or off for the same fitted tree, isolating the effect of bounded support from tree induction\.
Table 9:Fuzzy bounded\-support ablation\.The fitted tree is unchanged; the gate is toggled only during inference\. ID columns use 30 datasets and 3 folds; geometric\-OOD columns use 7 datasets and 2 seeds\. The bounded row uses the default margin of one node\-local training range\. All entries except mean set size are on a 0–100 scale\. Higher AUROC is better;Φ¯OOD\\bar\{\\Phi\}\_\{\\mathrm\{OOD\}\}is expected to be small for off\-support inputs\.Table[9](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A3.T9)separates in\-distribution behaviour from geometric\-OOD detection\. Across 30 datasets and three folds, enabling the gate changes mean accuracy from82\.00%82\.00\\%to81\.99%81\.99\\%, while set coverage remains90\.65%90\.65\\%and mean set size remains1\.311\.31\. On the seven\-dataset geometric\-OOD study, firing\-based AUROC rises from47\.03%47\.03\\%to99\.29%99\.29\\%and ignorance\-based AUROC from23\.19%23\.19\\%to98\.62%98\.62\\%\. Mean firing remains99\.67%99\.67\\%in distribution but falls to7\.28%7\.28\\%for OOD inputs\. Thus, the bounded gate adds an off\-support signal without materially changing the in\-distribution operating point\. Note that this result concerns geometric support shift only\. It does not imply detection of semantically novel classes that remain within the observed feature support\.
### C\.3Split Criterion: Weighted Gini versus CCI
FERL\-deep uses weighted Gini to select learned thresholds, whereas the compact fixed\-partition variants use the Complete Classification Index \(CCI\)\. We refit FERL\-deep under each criterion using the same five outer folds, the same25%25\\%calibration reserve within each outer\-training fold, and the same maximum depth\. Only the split criterion changes\.
Table 10:Split\-criterion ablation for FERL\-deep\.Weighted Gini vs\. the Complete Classification Index\. For the learned\-threshold deep tree, CCI wins on only 6 of3030datasets and is 0\.71 points lower on average, on both the binary and multiclass subsets \(Pearsonr=−0\.07r\{=\}\-0\.07betweenΔ\\Deltaand class countCC\)\.Weighted Gini obtains83\.23%83\.23\\%mean accuracy, compared with82\.52%82\.52\\%for CCI\. CCI wins on six datasets, ties on one, and loses on 23\. Its mean change is−0\.87\-0\.87points on binary datasets and−0\.46\-0\.46points on multiclass datasets\. The advantage of CCI for compact fixed partitions therefore does not hold to this learned\-threshold, depth\-12 setting, supporting weighted Gini as the FERL\-deep split metric\.
### C\.4Prefixed and Split\-Driven Fuzzy Partitions
FERL can use fixed fuzzy partitions for better interpretability, or when provided by an expert\. This subsection tests when each choice is more suitable\. For that, we fit a FERL\-compact with a fixed partition scheme using trapezoidal fuzzy sets based on the quartiles of the distribution\. Then, we freeze its topology and its node consequents, and optimise only the trapezoidal breakpoints by gradient descent on training cross\-entropy\. We report the change in test accuracy, the change in ECE, and the*partition drift*: the mean per\-set breakpoint movement as a fraction of the feature range\.
Across all tabular datasets tested, the refit changes test accuracy by a mean of\+0\.96\+0\.96points and a median of0\.00\.0and it changes ECE by−0\.002\-0\.002on average\. The partitions barely move: mean drift1\.3%1\.3\\%of the feature range, median0\.2%0\.2\\%\. So, for the smallest configuration tested \(FERL\-compact\), the pre\-computed fixed partition already sits near a local optimum of the membership parameters: globally refitting them, even under favourable model selection, neither reliably helps accuracy nor improves calibration\.
## Appendix DStatistical Comparison on the Tabular Benchmarks
The critical\-difference diagram in the main paper summarises the global accuracy ranking\. Table[11](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A4.T11)provides the complementary pairwise analysis, comparing FERL\-deep with each interpretable and rule\-learning baseline across the 30 tabular datasets\. The tests pair the five\-fold mean for each method within each dataset; cross\-validation folds are not treated as independent observations\. The pairwise results refine this global view: FERL\-deep is statistically indistinguishable in accuracy from LR, but significantly outperforms every other rule learner\.
Table 11:Wilcoxon signed\-rank comparisons on the tabular benchmark\.Pairwise comparison of*FERL\-deep*against every interpretable and rule\-learning baseline across 30 datasets\. Entries are mean paired differences:Δ\\DeltaAcc\.\>0\>0andΔ\\DeltaAURC<0<0favour FERL\. Accuracypp\-values are Holm\-corrected across the comparison family; AURC significance markers use unadjustedpp\-values\.p∗<0\.05\{\}^\{\*\}p<0\.05,p∗∗<0\.01\{\}^\{\*\*\}p<0\.01,p∗∗∗<0\.001\{\}^\{\*\*\*\}p<0\.001\.
## Appendix EWhere FERL Wins and Loses: A Per\-Dataset Study
We examine the aggregate tabular comparison in greater detail by focusing on FERL\-deep, FERL\-medium, LR, and FIGS\. The Wilcoxon comparison in Table[11](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A4.T11)finds no significant accuracy difference between FERL\-deep and LR, despite their different inductive biases\. Table[12](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A5.T12)therefore reports their per\-dataset accuracies, together with those of FERL\-medium and FIGS, sorted by the FERL\-deep−\-LR gap\. This analysis identifies the datasets on which additive linear reasoning is better suited and those on which FERL’s rule\-based nonlinear boundaries are advantageous\.
Table 12:Per\-dataset accuracy on the 30\-dataset tabular benchmark, four representative frontier methods\.Mean over the55folds;nn,ddandCCare the number of samples, raw features and classes\. Rows are sorted byΔ=FERL\-deep−LR\\Delta=\\text\{FERL\-deep\}\-\\text\{LR\}\(\>0\>0favours FERL\)\.#### The delta between FERL\-deep / LR is structured\.
FERL\-deep wins on1717datasets, ties on11and loses on1212; the raw Wilcoxonppis0\.310\.31\. But the sign of the gap is far from random with respect to dataset geometry\. The per\-dataset advantageΔ=FERL\-deep−LR\\Delta=\\text\{FERL\-deep\}\-\\text\{LR\}correlates*negatively*with input dimensionality \(Spearmanρ=−0\.37\\rho=\-0\.37,p=0\.05p=0\.05\): FERL’s edge is largest on the low\-dimensional problems at the top of the table and turns into a deficit on the high\-dimensional ones at the bottom\. It is essentially uncorrelated with sample size \(ρ=0\.11\\rho=0\.11\) and with the number of classes \(ρ=0\.09\\rho=0\.09; multiclass meanΔ=\+1\.9\\Delta=\+1\.9vs\. binary\+2\.2\+2\.2, Mann–Whitneyp=0\.69p=0\.69\), so the split is about the*shape*of the decision boundary, not the size of the task\. This also creates room for improvement in FERL, for example, by doing feature selection beforehand\.
#### FERL wins where the boundary is curved and low\-dimensional\.
The top of the table is dominated by problems whose optimal boundary is strongly nonlinear in a handful of features\. The extreme case is*banana*\(d=2d\{=\}2\): its two interleaved crescent clusters have no useful linear separator, so LR barely clears the base rate \(57\.157\.1\) while FERL\-deep reaches89\.889\.8\. The same mechanism drives*ring*\(\+12\.5\+12\.5; nested\-sphere, quadratic boundary\),*phoneme*\(\+11\.2\+11\.2\), and the small nonlinear multiclass sets*vowel*\(\+13\.1\+13\.1\),*glass*\(\+10\.2\+10\.2\) and*ecoli*\(\+7\.4\+7\.4\), where soft membership lets a single feature contribute graded evidence to several classes at once\.
#### LR wins on oblique, near\-linearly\-separable, high\-dimensional data\.
The reverse also applies\. The archetype is*twonorm*\(Δ=−11\.9\\Delta\{=\}\-11\.9\): its optimal boundary is a single oblique hyperplane in2020dimensions, exactly what LR represents natively \(97\.797\.7\) and exactly what an axis\-parallel partition can only approximate as a high\-variance “staircase”\. The remaining FERL losses share this pattern —*vehicle*\(−7\.7\-7\.7\),*optdigits*\(−5\.2\-5\.2\),*texture*\(−4\.3\-4\.3\)\. These are not FERL\-specific errors, but an intrinsic limitation of any rule learning algorithm\.
## Appendix FCoverage Under Covariate Shift
Here, we test whether the prediction sets react when the test distribution moves away from the calibration distribution, and compare the usefulness of the plausibility score of FERL’s decision against the baseline1−p^y1\-\\hat\{p\}\_\{y\}\. FERL DS\-conformal thresholds true\-class DS plausibility on the calibration fold, while global split conformal thresholds1−p^y1\-\\hat\{p\}\_\{y\}on the same fold\. Both wrap the same trained FERL predictor and are calibrated in\-distribution atα=0\.1\\alpha=0\.1\.
Across seven benchmarks and three seeds, we perturb every test feature independently asxf′=xf\+kσfϵfx^\{\\prime\}\_\{f\}=x\_\{f\}\+k\\sigma\_\{f\}\\epsilon\_\{f\}, whereσf\\sigma\_\{f\}is its training\-set standard deviation,ϵf∼𝒩\(0,1\)\\epsilon\_\{f\}\\sim\\mathcal\{N\}\(0,1\), andk∈\{0,0\.25,0\.5,1,1\.5,2\}k\\in\\\{0,0\.25,0\.5,1,1\.5,2\\\}\. Atk=0k=0, both the FERL DS\-conformal plausibility set and global split conformal attain approximately90%90\\%coverage\. Atk=1k=1, predictive accuracy falls to50\.2%50\.2\\%: global conformal coverage falls to 55\.0% while its mean set size remains nearly fixed at 1\.09, whereas FERL retains 77\.3% coverage by widening its mean set from1\.351\.35to 4\.10 classes \(Figure[4](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A6.F4)\)\.
Figure 4:Prediction\-set behaviour under graded covariate shift\.Mean over seven tabular benchmarks after averaging three seeds per benchmark; shaded bands are1\.961\.96times the standard error across benchmarks\. Both methods begin at the90%90\\%target, but only the FERL DS\-conformal plausibility set expands as the shift grows\.We also evaluate a milder feature\-domain shift on ten benchmarks: training uses the lower half of a held\-out feature’s range and testing uses its upper half, after removing that feature from the predictors\. FERL attains69\.7%69\.7\\%shifted coverage versus66\.7%66\.7\\%for global conformal and wins on eight of ten datasets, with mean set sizes1\.361\.36and1\.031\.03, respectively\.
## Appendix GReproducibility
#### Tabular benchmarks\.
We use thirty datasets from the KEEL repositoryAlcalá\-Fdez et al\. \([2011](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib3)\): They span146146–19,02019\{,\}020instances,66–6464features, and22–1111classes\. Categorical features are one\-hot encoded and feature normalisation is applied\. Every result is a stratified five\-fold cross\-validation\. Tables report the mean and standard deviation over the thirty datasets, all on the0–100100scale\. Table[13](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#A7.T13)lists them alongside their number of instances, input features \(after one\-hot encoding of categoricals\) and classes\.
Table 13:The thirty tabular benchmark datasets used in the main results, with number of instances, input features \(after one\-hot encoding of categoricals\) and classes\.
#### Concept\-bottleneck benchmarks\.
*CUB*: Caltech–UCSD BirdsWah et al\. \([2011](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib56)\)with the concepts ofKoh et al\. \([2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib27)\)over200200classes\. Symbol extractor follows the same architecture as inKoh et al\. \([2020](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib27)\)\.*AwA2*: Animals with Attributes 2Xian et al\. \([2018](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib60)\)with8585binary predicates over5050classes: we use all classes \(not the zero\-shot split\) with a per\-image stratified60/20/2060/20/20partition\.Predicted concepts come from a detector we train ourselves: an ImageNet\-initialised ResNet\-50 with an8585\-way sigmoid head, optimised with BCE for1515epochs \(Adam, learning rate10−410^\{\-4\}, batch6464, cosine schedule\)\.
#### FERL configurations\.
*FERL\-compact*uses quantile three\-set partitions \(implemented as in\(Fumanal Idocin and Andreu\-Perez,[2024](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib18)\)\), with soft inference and the consistent\-CCI split criterion\.*FERL\-deep*and*FERL\-medium*replaces the fixed partition with learned\-threshold splits \(bootstrap with2525resamples\) and grows to at most5050and150150rules, respectively, at maximum depth55and1212respectively as well\.
#### Evaluation protocol\.
Per\-concept calibration is isotonic regression fit on the validation split\. Conformal sets use split conformal atα=0\.1\\alpha=0\.1\. Risk\-controlled abstention calibrates the acceptance threshold with a Bonferroni\-corrected Clopper–Pearson bound atδ=0\.05\\delta=0\.05\. Selective\-risk AURC integrates risk over coverage\. Utility\-discounted accuracy followsZaffalon et al\. \([2012](https://arxiv.org/html/2608.05859#bib.bib65)\)\.
#### Compute and code\.
Symbol Extractors are trained on a single NVIDIA GTX 1080Ti\. FERL experiments run on a conventional CPU\. Code, configurations, and scripts will be regenerated once the paper is published\.相似文章
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