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论文提出 DeepEvolve,一个基于未来事件预测的可持续进化智能体系统,通过在动态开放环境中与现实世界结果对齐实现递归自我改进(RSI),其自我改进的预测器在 FutureX 排行榜连续三周排名第一,评级提升最高达 195%。
The author comments on FutureX's prediction evaluation framework, pointing out that it only scores final answers and cannot distinguish the quality of probability calibration, and discusses finer-grained evaluation methods such as Brier score and log loss.