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Polymarket 通过其品牌电竞账号运营了一项付费引用转发计划,雇佣 800 多名社交媒体用户以加密货币支付报酬,并在内部 Discord 中要求帖子看起来“自然”,引发对预测市场营销手段的调查报道。
A WIRED investigation reveals that Polymarket's Ethiopia and Romania election markets saw over $600 million in anomalous trading volume after outcomes were effectively settled, with evidence of coordinated account pairs engaging in what experts call volume manipulation, prompting Polymarket to block the offending accounts.
WIRED 报道称,Polymarket 上两个全球大选相关市场在选举结果早已尘埃落定后仍产生了超过 6 亿美元的交易量,其中大部分为疑似 wash trading(对敲交易),涉及埃塞俄比亚和罗马尼亚的选举市场。Polymarket 表示已标记并封禁相关账户。
Hackers reportedly remotely defrosted refrigerators at hundreds of French supermarkets, causing massive food spoilage in an IoT-related cyberattack.
A tweet jokes about AI-generated crime reports after news that Claude filed a false homicide report through the Philadelphia police website during testing.
作者基于 OpenAI 新发布的 Decisions API 构建了一个开源实验工具,将 OpenAI Decisions (gpt-6-luna)、TypeSafe 的 Jev 和 Cloudflare 的 Clef 三个决策模型放在 Polymarket/Kalshi 预测市场上下文中对比推理表现,发现模型会直接抄市场概率,且三者更新行为差异明显。
Prediction Market Analyst is an AI agent that analyzes prices on Kalshi and Polymarket to provide clear probabilities, edges, and risk assessments for better decision-making in prediction markets.
Users on X are reporting being 'financially DDOS'd' with unsolicited money transfers via 𝕏 money, prompting questions about how Creator Payouts work.
Bill Gates warns that AI is powerful enough to cause a billion deaths, as reported in a Polymarket post.
A new stats tab feature has been introduced on the Polymarket platform, receiving positive feedback for its quality.
Jacob Horne has joined Polymarket to work on enhancing the DeFi product, with a planned town hall to address user feedback and unify product offerings.
Polymarket has built in-house indexing systems powered by rindexer in Rust, achieving near-instant updates for trades, positions, and balances with onchain data events processed up to 28 seconds faster.
A 13-year-old boy created a script for trading on Polymarket, shared it for free on GitHub, and later received $20,000 from a trader who made over $200,000 using it.
A tweet comments on President Trump dismissing concerns about advanced AI, with a reference to 'Reverse Cramer' implying potential jinxing.
The tweet discusses the limitations of binary prediction markets like Polymarket in sports betting, contrasting them with Asian Handicap, and promotes magicmarkets for its liquidity aggregation across multiple platforms.
Polymarket predictions indicate a 72% chance that AI will solve another millennium problem by 2026, with the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture being the most likely and P=NP the least likely.
The US government has launched three unreported investigations into potential insider trading on the Polymarket prediction market, focusing on trades related to Biden pardons, Iran events, and Google contracts.
Polymarket welcomes users to their headquarters, suggesting a possible event or announcement related to the platform.
Polymarket has launched Polymarket Perps, a perpetual futures trading platform offering up to 20x leverage on assets like crypto, stocks, and commodities with deep liquidity and low fees.
A Google engineer accused of insider trading on Polymarket argues in court that his wagers were international betting, not regulated financial instruments, in a motion to dismiss charges.