polymarket

An intern in Guangzhou built a trading bot using Claude and netted $63,000 on Polymarket through high-frequency small-spread trades, demonstrating the application of AI-assisted quantitative trading in prediction markets.

A study by Rutgers University statistician Harry Crane estimates that US users funneled between $10.6 and $26.7 billion through Polymarket's banned offshore platform, accounting for about 30% of its trading volume.

A Chinese trader, while showcasing an AI neural network visualization on TikTok, accidentally exposed his cryptocurrency trading wallet used for arbitrage. The wallet had profited $367,000 in the past 30 days, triggering widespread tracking and discussion.

A former Citadel quant trader, after being fired, rebuilt the entire trading algorithm using Claude Fable 5 in 48 hours, and through hedge trading on Polymarket, has profited $430,000. The story highlights a probability-based high-frequency trading strategy and the application of the law of large numbers.

Polymarket and Kalshi have asked influencer partners to remove paid partnership tags from posts that question election results, as the platforms enforce policies against election denial narratives.

Introduces a search engine called /last30days driven by an AI agent that can simultaneously search multiple platforms like Reddit, X, YouTube, Hacker News, Polymarket, etc., and generate summary reports.

A person shares the open-source automated trading tools he built for Polymarket, including data scraping, a market-making bot, and a machine learning pattern recognition system.

Spain has blocked access to prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi for operating without a gambling license, highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny of crypto-based prediction platforms.

The article examines the failure of prediction markets to achieve their utopian vision and argues that AI can transform them by enhancing market creation, analysis, and accuracy, shifting focus from sports and crypto to high-impact questions.

Polymarket launches a new prediction market on what Bernie Sanders will say during his Fighting Oligarchy Tour in Maine on May 25, 2026, with detailed resolution criteria.

A programmer earning $385,000 per year failed his interview at Jane Street for refusing to use Claude Code, reflecting that AI tools have become industry entry standards. On Polymarket, there are bets on the penetration speed of AI tools.

A Chinese developer recorded a Claude Code proxy setup tutorial, accidentally revealing his Polymarket wallet running with a profit of $868,862. The video went viral; he deleted it, but the wallet is still running.

This paper analyzes prediction market data from Polymarket to determine which traders win and lose, providing evidence on market efficiency and participant behavior.

A junior student at Shanghai Jiao Tong University used Claude to build a trading bot and earned $193,000 on Polymarket, employing arbitrage, market making, and hedging strategies.

Gate App v8.19 upgrades the Polymarket trading experience, integrating AI analysis and smart money labels to help users quickly discover hot prediction markets and optimize trading decisions.

Researchers at the Max Planck Institute introduced FutureSim, an environment where AI agents predict real-world future events by replaying historical web data. GPT 5.5 running in Codex achieved near-perfect Brier skill scores on some Polymarket markets like Super Bowl LX, outperforming human aggregate markets, though it struggled on others like UK elections and the Grammys.

This article introduces a 50-minute video shared by a Jane Street quant trader on YouTube, covering a full roadmap for quantitative learning, including practical tips on Polymarket, which is a valuable reference for quant practitioners.

A developer created a profitable prediction market bot using Anthropic's Claude AI, which analyzes wallets and executes trades with a 74% win rate, gaining attention from an Anthropic engineer.

A researcher claims to have achieved an 83% return on real markets using Neural Networks and Hidden Markov Models, publishing both the theory and an implementation guide for Polymarket.

An analysis of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, examining whether their massive trading volume actually produces valuable forecasting information or merely serves as gambling, referencing historical academic support and current data.