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#probabilistic

Leak It: A Probabilistic Approach to Training-Data Extraction from Black-Box Language Models

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-08-04 Cached

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to training-data extraction from black-box language models, showing that aggregate membership-inference metrics hide per-document leakage and introducing the 'leakit' audit tool.

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#probabilistic

MBDiff: Multi-view Behavior-aware Diffusion Model for Probabilistic Utility Data Imputation

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-08-03 Cached

Presents MBDiff, a multi-view behavior-aware diffusion model for probabilistic utility data imputation that learns user behavior from global, local, and instance-level views and uses a conditional attentional denoising network. Evaluated on real utility data from Florida, it outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.

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#probabilistic

From Seasonality to Semantics: Benchmarking a Hybrid Probabilistic Forecasting System for Roadblocks in Bolivia

arXiv cs.CL · 2026-07-27 Cached

This paper presents a hybrid probabilistic forecasting system that integrates time series decomposition (Prophet) with NLP techniques applied to Bolivian news coverage to predict roadblocks, achieving improved AUC-ROC and Brier Score over purely statistical models.

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#probabilistic

Probabilistic Concept-Aware Steering for Trustworthy LLM Inference

arXiv cs.AI · 2026-07-22 Cached

This paper introduces the Probabilistic Concept-Aware Steering (PCS) framework for LLM inference, which uses concept-driven steering vector retrieval and probabilistic strength calibration to improve interpretability, optimality, and generalizability, achieving over 30% higher direction accuracy and over 89% steering accuracy on multiple datasets.

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#probabilistic

Probabilistic Extension of Neuro-Symbolic AGI Robots based on Belnap's Typed Intensional FOL

arXiv cs.AI · 2026-07-16 Cached

This paper proposes a probabilistic extension to neuro-symbolic AGI robots using Belnap's typed intensional first-order logic. It introduces global and local symmetry transformations to preserve knowledge and enable real-time decisions, with neural networks computing probability density based on maximum information entropy.

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#probabilistic

To Intervene or Not: Guiding Inference-time Alignment with Probabilistic Model Blending

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-06-11 Cached

This paper introduces BlendIn, an inference-time alignment framework that uses probabilistic model blending to assess guidance reliability and proportionally weight model contributions, achieving up to 50% performance improvement by avoiding harmful interventions.

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#probabilistic

Why agentic payments keep breaking. The IMF just put a name to it

Reddit r/AI_Agents · 2026-05-19

The IMF published a formal note introducing the concept of agentic payments, framing the tension between probabilistic AI systems and deterministic payment infrastructure, and defining the shift from 'click to pay' to 'decide to pay'.

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#probabilistic

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting

arXiv cs.LG · 2026-05-18 Cached

Njord is a probabilistic graph neural network for ensemble ocean forecasting that provides uncertainty estimates and achieves state-of-the-art performance on global and regional benchmarks, improving surface temperature prediction.

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