probability-calibration

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#probability-calibration

Jev thinks "I don't know'', but doesn't say it: Introducing Sys1Cal-v1 Dataset for Probability Calibration

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 3d ago Cached

Introduces the Sys1Cal-v1 dataset for evaluating probability calibration in AI models, showing that models like Jev may suppress uncertainty in binary outputs.

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#probability-calibration

What Is RLCD? The Secret Behind Jev

Hacker News Top ↗ · 6d ago Cached

RLCD is explained as a schema-conditioned Plackett–Luce objective that advances reward modeling from scalar rewards to pairwise preferences to multiway calibrated decisions, simplifying the understanding of Jev.

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#probability-calibration

Calibrating the Evaluator: Does Probability Calibration Mitigate Preference Coupling in LLM Agent Feedback Loops?

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-01 Cached

This paper presents the first study of probability calibration as a mitigation for evaluator preference coupling in LLM agent feedback loops, showing that calibrated evaluator judgments reduce coupling coefficients by 20-49% and divergence by 45-67%.

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Simplex-Constrained Sparse Bagging: Transitioning from Uniform Priors to Sparse Posteriors in Ensemble Learning

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-06-15 Cached

Introduces Simplex-Constrained Sparse Bagging (SCSB), a post-training framework that optimizes estimator weights over the probability simplex using out-of-bag samples, achieving up to 96% ensemble compression and improved calibration.

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