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A tweet highlights a Polymarket trader who has made ~$1.95M across 20,691 predictions by buying heavily discounted Bitcoin contracts, applying institutional market-making strategies (Jane Street style) to prediction markets.
对一篇兜售77%胜率随机森林策略的热门量化帖子的评论,指出该方法只是斯坦福免费讲座中的标准集成学习,且过去的表现不能保证未来的结果。