@paonx_eth: a while back i posted about the quant who made $1.29M on Polymarket running Jane Street's playbook he's now at $1,948,8…

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摘要

A tweet highlights a Polymarket trader who has made ~$1.95M across 20,691 predictions by buying heavily discounted Bitcoin contracts, applying institutional market-making strategies (Jane Street style) to prediction markets.

a while back i posted about the quant who made $1.29M on Polymarket running Jane Street's playbook he's now at $1,948,806 across 20,691 predictions his profile: https://polymarket.com/@justdance?tab=activity&via=paon-guioner-yazy… here's the part most people miss: he's not guessing the next candle. look at where the money actually came from: Bitcoin to $150K by Dec 31 -> bought YES at 0.8c -> +$63,047 (2,370%) Bitcoin to dip to $70K -> bought YES at 4c -> +$53,625 (700%) Bitcoin to $100K in November -> bought YES at 2.7c -> +$86,105 (524%) every one of those is a contract the crowd had already written off. sub-5c means the market gave it almost no chance that's the whole system he's not predicting -> he's finding the spots where the price says 1% and the math says 5%, then buying it tiny edge, repeated until it becomes real money same principle Jane Street runs at scale, pointed at a market anyone can open save this and go read his closed positions yourself. the pattern is right there in the numbers
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a while back i posted about the quant who made $1.29M on Polymarket running Jane Street’s playbook

he’s now at $1,948,806 across 20,691 predictions

his profile: https://polymarket.com/@justdance?tab=activity&via=paon-guioner-yazy…

here’s the part most people miss:

he’s not guessing the next candle. look at where the money actually came from:

Bitcoin to 150K by Dec 31 -> bought YES at 0.8c -> +63,047 (2,370%)

Bitcoin to dip to 70K -> bought YES at 4c -> +53,625 (700%)

Bitcoin to 100K in November -> bought YES at 2.7c -> +86,105 (524%)

every one of those is a contract the crowd had already written off. sub-5c means the market gave it almost no chance

that’s the whole system

he’s not predicting -> he’s finding the spots where the price says 1% and the math says 5%, then buying it

tiny edge, repeated until it becomes real money

same principle Jane Street runs at scale, pointed at a market anyone can open

save this and go read his closed positions yourself. the pattern is right there in the numbers

@justdance on Polymarket

Source: https://polymarket.com/@justdance?tab=activity&via=paon-guioner-yazy icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?## Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No

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Paone (@paonx_eth): this quant made $1,293,914 trading Bitcoin up-or-down using a system reverse-engineered from Jane Street’s own playbook

remember my last post on the Jane Street quant whose code makes the fund $75,000 a minute?

this guy rebuilt that logic for himself

his profile:

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