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#risk-prediction

TRACE: Tracking Multimodal Clinical Trajectories for Inpatient Risk Prediction

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 5d ago Cached

TRACE is a multimodal framework that organizes daily clinical events (EHR, chest x-rays, radiology reports, discharge summaries) into temporal trajectories for inpatient risk prediction, achieving the highest AUROC across nine dataset-task settings on MIMIC-IV, eICU, and MIMIC-III cohorts.

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#risk-prediction

Healthleap raises $38M for its AI that flags hospital patients who may need a closer look

TechCrunch AI ↗ · 2026-10-07 Cached

Healthleap raised $38 million in combined seed and Series A funding to expand its AI platform that reads hospital patient records and flags those at risk of undiagnosed conditions like malnutrition and delirium. The startup now deploys in over 50 hospitals including Penn Medicine and Cedars-Sinai, with revenue growing 10x in the past year.

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#risk-prediction

Monitoring Web Agents Without Internal Signals: Observable Trajectories and Key-Step Supervision

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-09-03 Cached

The paper proposes a method for monitoring web agents without access to internal model signals, using observable trajectories and key-step supervision to predict failures early. It demonstrates competitive performance with internal-signal baselines across benchmarks.

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#risk-prediction

Structured Evidence Routing for Incident Risk Prediction from Multimodal Longitudinal EHRs

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-08-28 Cached

The paper proposes structured evidence routing, a router–predictor–reviewer workflow for incident risk prediction from multimodal longitudinal electronic health records, achieving competitive performance with interpretable patient-specific evidence trails.

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#risk-prediction

Comprehensive Evaluation of Machine Learning for Type 2 Diabetes Risk Prediction: Large-Scale External Validation and Fairness Analysis

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-07-21 Cached

This paper develops a multi-dimensional framework to evaluate discrimination, calibration, interpretability, and algorithmic fairness for machine learning-based type 2 diabetes risk prediction models, revealing significant performance degradation under real-world distribution shifts and biases by age and obesity.

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#risk-prediction

AI trained on hundreds of thousands of EKGs, improves prediction of sudden cardiac death risk

Reddit r/ArtificialInteligence ↗ · 2026-06-24 Cached

UC Berkeley researchers trained an AI model on hundreds of thousands of EKGs to detect a previously unrecognized signal that predicts sudden cardiac death risk more accurately than current methods, potentially saving thousands of lives annually.

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#risk-prediction

Conformal Risk Prediction for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Using Gradient Boosting with Distribution-Free Coverages

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-06-10 Cached

This paper presents LiverRisk, a machine learning framework for NAFLD risk prediction that combines gradient-boosted decision trees with conformal prediction to provide calibrated, distribution-free coverage guarantees on individual risk estimates, achieving high AUROC on internal and external cohorts.

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Calibration, Uncertainty Communication, and Deployment Readiness in CKD Risk Prediction: A Framework Evaluation Study

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-05-22 Cached

This study evaluates five machine learning classifiers for chronic kidney disease risk prediction, finding that near-perfect internal performance fails under distribution shift. It emphasizes the need for calibration stability and conformal coverage transfer before clinical deployment.

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#risk-prediction

A Reproducible Log-Driven AutoML Framework for Interpretable Pipeline Optimization in Healthcare Risk Prediction

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-05-22 Cached

This paper introduces yvsoucom-iterkit, a deterministic, log-driven AutoML framework for reproducible pipeline optimization in healthcare risk prediction, evaluated on diabetes and stroke datasets with over 18,000 pipeline configurations, achieving strong performance and revealing structured search spaces with component redundancy.

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