scaling-laws

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#scaling-laws

@rohanpaul_ai: Mustafa Suleyman (CEO of Microsoft AI): $100B training runs are coming. " There are gigawatts of compute that are being…

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-10-05 Cached

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, predicts $100B AI training runs are coming, saying gigawatts of compute are being assembled by a handful of labs, making compute and test-time scaling a seismic competitive advantage.

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#scaling-laws

Capability Scaling-Down Laws for LLM Compression

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-10-05 Cached

Nokia Applied Research and Florida State University researchers present capability scaling-down laws for LLM compression (pruning, quantization, distillation), showing that sharing density-response relations halves the measurements needed to fit pruning predictors while matching fully fitted regressions within 0.020 nats per token on Pythia and OLMo-2 models.

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#scaling-laws

@shao__meng: Stanford University 2026 Fall New Course CME 295: Transformers & Large Language Models Now Open for Enrollment (Second …

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-10-05 Cached

斯坦福大学2026年秋季新课CME 295《Transformers与大语言模型》开放选课,第二讲笔记发布,系统梳理模型家族、缩放定律、MoE、架构优化、解码策略与提示范式等LLM核心主题。

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#scaling-laws

Nothing went FOOM

Reddit r/singularity ↗ · 2026-10-04

A short commentary (linking to an X post) arguing that AI capabilities did not 'go FOOM' — i.e., intelligence did not explode explosively as some predicted — reflecting on the gap between AI doomer/foom scenarios and observed progress.

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#scaling-laws

@shao__meng: https://x.com/shao__meng/status/2106715778078974378

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-10-04 Cached

NYU's Fall 2026 graduate seminar, “Language Models, Reinforcement Learning, Reasoning,” threads frontier research from Transformers to world models across a 13-week course — covering pretraining scaling laws, RLVR/GRPO post-training, alignment and safety, and real-world engineering practices such as Kimi K3. The instructor, Pavel Izmailov, is from Anthropic and previously contributed to OpenAI's o1 and Superalignment teams.

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#scaling-laws

@SwayStar123: Crazy paper opening

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-10-02 Cached

A new paper reveals "mode-hopping" in LLM pre-training, where models repeatedly toggle between shallow pattern-matching and genuine generalization even as training loss stays flat — suggesting more pre-training does not always guarantee better generalization.

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#scaling-laws

@hocyzon: This is the blog of Lilian Weng, OpenAI's VP of Safety Research @lilianweng, and it's of very high quality. She once sh…

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-10-02 Cached

A post recommending Lilian Weng's blog Lil'Log, highlighting her seven-step research writing workflow and summarizing her posts on recursive self-improvement, scaling laws, test-time compute, and reward hacking.

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#scaling-laws

Revisiting scaling laws for reward optimization

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-10-02 Cached

The paper revisits scaling laws for reward optimization in AI alignment, showing that performance scales as Θ(√min{log(M), K}) where M is the amount of preference data and K is the KL-divergence budget, and provides an information-theoretic model plus extensive empirical validation with proxy reward models.

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#scaling-laws

Learning Latent Protein Languages for Autoregressive Generation

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-10-02 Cached

该论文提出两种学习得到的潜空间蛋白质语言——PLL(基于冻结ESM-2的4,096状态上下文字母表)和SLL(改进的GCP-VQVAE Lite结构分词器),并分别在其上预训练自回归Transformer(PLLM和SLLM),在蛋白质序列与结构生成上相比氨基酸级自回归模型表现出更好的计算扩展性、采样质量以及与AlphaFold2相比约1000倍的推理速度。

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#scaling-laws

An Exact Generate - Transform Decomposition of Small-LLM Team Scaling Across Orchestration Architectures

arXiv cs.AI ↗ · 2026-09-30 Cached

This paper introduces an exact generate–transform decomposition to analyze how small 7–9B LLM teams scale across eight orchestration architectures, finding that scaling returns are sharply task-dependent — Proposer-Critic wins on arithmetic benchmarks but no architecture dominates across all tasks.

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#scaling-laws

Smaller Models, Better Rejects: Preference Distillation Scaling

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-30 Cached

This paper finds that smaller frozen models can generate better negative samples (rejects) for preference distillation than self-generated responses, reducing inference cost while training stronger 7B–72B students on code generation and math reasoning. The authors derive a finite-horizon utility bound for DPO in a linearized feature model to explain why task structure and lower-likelihood candidate selection improve reject quality.

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#scaling-laws

How Much Is an AI Token Worth? Scaling Laws for Wild AI-Generated Web Text

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-30 Cached

This paper studies how unlabeled, AI-generated web text affects language model pretraining by training 800 models and fitting new scaling laws. It finds AI text helps data-starved models initially but quickly turns harmful for human-heavy budgets, proposes a scaling law with separate benefit and harm terms that outperforms existing laws, and releases the WildAI 83B-token corpus and all models.

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#scaling-laws

Synthetic Pre-pretraining Survives Scale, but Not as a Grammatical Prior

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-30 Cached

研究系统评估了合成数据预预训练(PPT)在 500M 到 7B 参数、最高 100B token 预训练预算下的表现,发现 PPT 的 token 效率增益在大规模下依然存在,但这些增益并非来自先前假设的语法先验,而是源于提升长程检索能力的 PPT 任务。

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#scaling-laws

Scaling Laws for Looped Mixture of Experts

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-30 Cached

Introduces Loop Scaling Laws, the first scaling law jointly modeling recurrence (looped transformers) and sparsity (MoE) alongside model size and data, showing looped MoEs match models ~2x larger on reasoning benchmarks at matched compute.

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#scaling-laws

In-Context Binding Capacity in Language Models

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-29 Cached

This paper measures the in-context binding capacity of language models, finding that recall scales with parameter count according to a power law and analyzing factors like pretraining recipes and interference.

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#scaling-laws

How Far Are We from Removing the Visual Encoder? Scaling Laws for Encoder-Free Multimodal Pretraining

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-28 Cached

This paper systematically compares scaling laws for encoder-free and encoder-based multimodal models, revealing that encoder-free architectures underperform at small scales but catch up at larger compute budgets, with the visual encoder's advantage diminishing as scale increases.

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#scaling-laws

Scaling Properties of Same-Family On-Policy Distillation

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-26 Cached

This paper studies the scaling properties of on-policy distillation (OPD) across weak-to-strong, same-base, and strong-to-weak teacher-student LLM setups, finding a universal 'useful-transfer' regime where held-out accuracy rises linearly with KL divergence, and fitting power laws showing smaller teachers can transfer better at matched gold scores.

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#scaling-laws

MassAlloc Attention: Let Attention Allocate Its Own Compute

Hugging Face Daily Papers ↗ · 2026-09-26 Cached

The article introduces two attention mechanisms, CoWindow Attention and MassAlloc Attention, which optimize compute allocation in transformers, achieving significant speedups and reduced training FLOPs in benchmarks.

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#scaling-laws

Scaling of Capability and Efficiency at Inference Time in Large Reasoning Models

arXiv cs.LG ↗ · 2026-09-24 Cached

This paper evaluates the capability and efficiency of large language models using Chain-of-Thought reasoning, finding that capability gains diminish with increasing model size, while efficiency shows little improvement.

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#scaling-laws

@_michael_yu_: I think Stanford's CS336 is one of the best materials to learn LLMs from scratch. I just finished working through it (t…

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-09-22 Cached

Michael Yu shares his detailed implementation and learnings from Stanford's CS336 course on building LLMs from scratch, covering tokenizers, transformers, training systems, and alignment techniques.

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