@oragnes: Spot on! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker completely dismantles the so-called 'AI bubble' from an extremely sharp perspective. Don't scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was crazy debt, with 99% of fiber optics lying idle; today's AI infrastructure is all backed by hard cash flow, with every GPU running at full throttle.

X AI KOLs Timeline News

Summary

Tech fund giant Gavin Baker analyzes the AI bubble from a unique perspective, arguing that current AI infrastructure is backed by cash flow and GPUs are operating at full capacity, unlike the 2000 internet bubble, and that TSMC's capacity constraints are key to preventing the bubble from collapsing.

Spot on! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker completely dismantles the so-called 'AI bubble' from an extremely sharp perspective. Don't scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was crazy debt, with 99% of fiber optics lying idle; today's AI infrastructure is all backed by hard cash flow, with every GPU running at 100% full throttle. What's even more brilliant is that this epic wave has yet to turn into a super bubble, all thanks to TSMC tightly throttling supply! If TSMC were to immediately meet all of Jensen Huang's capacity demands, causing computing power supply to explode instantly, the bubble would have already burst in a cascade of dumping. It is the physical bottleneck of wafer capacity that has locked in and restrained the market's excessive overreach. So, stop guessing those vague macroeconomic indicators. He lays down the verdict: To see whether the bubble will burst, the only thing to watch is TSMC's expansion moves. As long as it precisely maintains the balance—limiting supply to prevent computing power from flooding, while also keeping Intel and Samsung from turning the tables—this AI hegemony game will continue to play out safely.
Original Article
View Cached Full Text

Cached at: 05/24/26, 12:29 PM

Incredibly sharp! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker dissected the so-called “AI bubble” from an extremely unique angle, stripping it down completely.

Don’t scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was reckless borrowing, with 99% of fiber optics sitting idle; today’s AI infrastructure is backed by real cash flow, with every GPU running at 100% full throttle.

What’s even more striking is that this epic wave hasn’t mutated into a super bubble yet, all because TSMC is firmly holding the bottleneck! If TSMC were to instantly satisfy all of Jensen Huang’s capacity demands right now, unleashing a sudden flood of computing power, the bubble would have already burst in a chain reaction of oversupply. It’s the physical constraints of wafer capacity that have locked down the market’s urge to over-leverage.

So, stop guessing those vague macro indicators. He lays it out: to see if the bubble will burst, the only thing to watch is TSMC’s expansion moves. As long as it precisely strikes the balance—limiting supply to prevent an overflow of computing power while also blocking Intel and Samsung from turning the tables—this AI hegemony game can keep playing smoothly.

Bitcoin Orange Trader (@oragnes): A $4.2 million luxury mansion, purchased entirely with Bitcoin, and the deal closed faster than traditional bank loan approvals!

This move, set against the backdrop of the Trump administration’s aggressive push for digital financial innovation and decentralization policies, is being seen as a milestone event for the US real estate market moving toward asset compliance norms.

Similar Articles

@0xKevin00: Watched this and got goosebumps. The questions and answers are absolutely top-tier. Wang Yuquan, founder of Haiyin Capital, is a long-time researcher of global tech innovation and one of the few outspoken and forward-looking investors. In this video, he boldly predicts that the AI bubble will burst in 2029, and 2030 will be a gold rush...

X AI KOLs Timeline

Investor Wang Yuquan predicts in the video that the AI bubble will burst in 2029 and investment opportunities will emerge in 2030.

@TaoRay: Yes, a few weeks ago, when AI upstream hardware was at its peak of hype, I asserted against the trend on Space that "the market inflection point is coming, the upstream falls, the downstream eats its fill, it's time to position in software cash cows." The market indeed developed that way. I have a very important observation: "In recent years, the increase of retail investors and speculative funds in the market will increase the amplitude of volatility, but on the contrary..."

X AI KOLs Following

The author recalls the previous prediction of the inflection point in AI upstream hardware hype, believes that the market will see sector rotation with downstream software benefiting, and points out that the increase in retail investors will amplify volatility but make the pattern more certain.

@indigox: AGI may be only a few years away! We stand at the foot of the singularity. This isn't the internet revolution—it's the discovery of fire and electricity: "We found a way to make sand think." Its impact will be 10 times that of the Industrial Revolution, and 10 times faster. We will enter a new era of abundance where resources are no longer a bottleneck to progress. Demis's short piece...

X AI KOLs Timeline

Demis Hassabis, in a very short essay, predicts that AGI may be only a few years away and proposes a pragmatic approach to AI governance, including establishing a frontier AI standards body modeled on FINRA, with model review, evaluation, and anti-cheating design, while calling on society to prepare for new economic models in a post-scarcity world.