@oragnes: Spot on! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker completely dismantles the so-called 'AI bubble' from an extremely sharp perspective. Don't scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was crazy debt, with 99% of fiber optics lying idle; today's AI infrastructure is all backed by hard cash flow, with every GPU running at full throttle.

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Summary

Tech fund giant Gavin Baker analyzes the AI bubble from a unique perspective, arguing that current AI infrastructure is backed by cash flow and GPUs are operating at full capacity, unlike the 2000 internet bubble, and that TSMC's capacity constraints are key to preventing the bubble from collapsing.

Spot on! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker completely dismantles the so-called 'AI bubble' from an extremely sharp perspective. Don't scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was crazy debt, with 99% of fiber optics lying idle; today's AI infrastructure is all backed by hard cash flow, with every GPU running at 100% full throttle. What's even more brilliant is that this epic wave has yet to turn into a super bubble, all thanks to TSMC tightly throttling supply! If TSMC were to immediately meet all of Jensen Huang's capacity demands, causing computing power supply to explode instantly, the bubble would have already burst in a cascade of dumping. It is the physical bottleneck of wafer capacity that has locked in and restrained the market's excessive overreach. So, stop guessing those vague macroeconomic indicators. He lays down the verdict: To see whether the bubble will burst, the only thing to watch is TSMC's expansion moves. As long as it precisely maintains the balance—limiting supply to prevent computing power from flooding, while also keeping Intel and Samsung from turning the tables—this AI hegemony game will continue to play out safely.
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Incredibly sharp! Tech fund giant Gavin Baker dissected the so-called “AI bubble” from an extremely unique angle, stripping it down completely.

Don’t scare people with the 2000 internet crash. Back then, it was reckless borrowing, with 99% of fiber optics sitting idle; today’s AI infrastructure is backed by real cash flow, with every GPU running at 100% full throttle.

What’s even more striking is that this epic wave hasn’t mutated into a super bubble yet, all because TSMC is firmly holding the bottleneck! If TSMC were to instantly satisfy all of Jensen Huang’s capacity demands right now, unleashing a sudden flood of computing power, the bubble would have already burst in a chain reaction of oversupply. It’s the physical constraints of wafer capacity that have locked down the market’s urge to over-leverage.

So, stop guessing those vague macro indicators. He lays it out: to see if the bubble will burst, the only thing to watch is TSMC’s expansion moves. As long as it precisely strikes the balance—limiting supply to prevent an overflow of computing power while also blocking Intel and Samsung from turning the tables—this AI hegemony game can keep playing smoothly.

Bitcoin Orange Trader (@oragnes): A $4.2 million luxury mansion, purchased entirely with Bitcoin, and the deal closed faster than traditional bank loan approvals!

This move, set against the backdrop of the Trump administration’s aggressive push for digital financial innovation and decentralization policies, is being seen as a milestone event for the US real estate market moving toward asset compliance norms.

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@VincentLogic: After a two-year hiatus, this blogger came back with a bombshell. He broke down the entire AI industry chain into 12 layers, from the bottom-most energy and chips all the way to the future "AI-native economic ecosystem." This video is worth watching repeatedly, especially the final definition of "AI Native companies" – it's very insightful.

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Blogger VincentLogic released a video that deconstructs the AI industry chain into 12 layers, from energy and chips to the AI-native economic ecosystem, providing a systematic analytical framework.

@snowboat84: https://x.com/snowboat84/status/2061962883651731602

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