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Sam Altman says the chip supply chain's invisible hand is failing — and DRAM is why

Reddit r/singularity ↗ · 2d ago Cached

Sam Altman 说 DRAM 厂商虽将进入每年约 1000 亿美元自由现金流的时代,但因过去多次濒临破产的记忆而不敢激进扩产,导致芯片供应链的'看不见的手'失灵,内存短缺无法自我修正。他同时谈到 OpenAI 垂直整合芯片、数据中心与机器人,以及数据中心成本与个人 AI 智能体的前景。

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#dram

@FinanceYF5: Sam Altman Argues Local Inference Is a Poor Allocation of Resources in a Constrained Environment: "Many people think that with open-source models, you can run them on your own computer and no longer need data centers. But from the perspective of global resource allocation, making everyone store large amounts of scarce DRAM in their computers while only using it 5% of the time is highly inefficient."

X AI KOLs Following ↗ · 3d ago Cached

Sam Altman argues that local inference is an inefficient allocation of resources in a constrained environment: equipping everyone's computer with large amounts of scarce DRAM that is only used about 5% of the time is far less effective than keeping cloud resources at high utilization.

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#dram

Sam Altman: “Local inference is a terrible allocation of scarce resources”

Reddit r/LocalLLaMA ↗ · 3d ago

Sam Altman argues that running AI models locally is an inefficient use of scarce global DRAM resources and that cloud-based, high-utilization data centers are a better allocation. The post adds a skeptical TL;DR framing the remark as a vendor pitch for renting over owning.

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#dram

Why Micron Is Suddenly Ditching 4F² DRAM as Rivals Double Down

Hacker News Top ↗ · 6d ago Cached

Micron is reportedly dropping its 4F² DRAM cell architecture while competitors push ahead with the technology, marking a notable shift in memory chip strategy.

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#dram

Be prepared, GPU price increase incoming --> Samsung sells out 100% of all 2027 HBM capacity - HBM prices expected to jump 200% next year, DRAM prices expected to see a double-digit price increase

Reddit r/LocalLLaMA ↗ · 2026-10-21 Cached

Samsung has signed a massive five-year deal reserving 70% of its DRAM supply and 100% of its 2027 HBM capacity to big tech firms, with HBM prices expected to jump 150–200% and DRAM prices seeing double-digit increases, likely raising GPU and device costs.

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#dram

@Fenng: Changxin Technology is hyping that they've made a breakthrough in pricing for 4F² DRAM, causing stock prices of foreign…

X AI KOLs Following ↗ · 2026-10-15

长鑫存储(CXMT)宣称在4F² DRAM定价上取得突破,引发三星、美光等海外存储厂商股价下跌,但长鑫自身股价近期反而走低,引发市场质疑。

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#dram

@elonmusk: China will be making a LOT of RAM in 2028

X AI KOLs Following ↗ · 2026-10-15 Cached

Elon Musk 预言中国到2028年将大量生产 RAM,援引韩国财经专栏警告:新产能上线后内存可能在2029年出现供过于求,韩国仅有2-3年时间发展新增长产业。

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#dram

Memory executives expect RAM shortage to continue through 2028

Ars Technica ↗ · 2026-10-01 Cached

Micron and Samsung executives say the memory shortage, driven by surging AI demand for HBM and server DRAM, will persist through 2028, with production capacity prioritized for AI over consumer devices.

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#dram

Samsung is expected to more than double output of its HBM4 and HBM4E DRAM

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-09-20 Cached

Samsung Electronics is expected to more than double output of its HBM4 and HBM4E DRAM chips next year, with glass carrier demand rising 2.5 times, indicating significant production growth for high-bandwidth memory in response to AI and computing demands.

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#dram

Processing in Memory: DRAM Is About to Do Math

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-08-26 Cached

Samsung presented a 16 GB LPDDR5X memory package with integrated compute units at Hot Chips 2026, offering 614 GB/s internal bandwidth to significantly improve AI inference performance by overcoming memory bandwidth limitations.

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#dram

Hot Chips 2026: Samsung and HBM Base Die Opportunities

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-08-24 Cached

At Hot Chips 2026, Samsung presented opportunities to utilize unused area on HBM base dies after moving to a logic node, with phases including integrating memory controllers to optimize PHY area and power.

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#dram

@falali2015: https://x.com/falali2015/status/2086046148989755544

X AI KOLs Timeline ↗ · 2026-08-08 Cached

The article analyzes the progress of China's memory industry in next-generation architectures such as 4F² DRAM and Xtacking, arguing that CXMT and YMTC have transformed from followers into active participants in new architectures, but still lag behind Korean manufacturers in HBM, advanced packaging, and high-end customer certification.

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#dram

2027 memory capacity is reportedly sold out

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-08-07 Cached

Report says Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have sold out all 2027 DRAM and HBM capacity to AI companies, worsening the RAM shortage and driving up consumer prices for memory, SSDs, and consoles.

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#dram

Demystifying DRAM Read Disturbance: RowHammer and RowPress Phenomena

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-07-31 Cached

This academic paper bridges the gap between experimental characterization and device-level modeling of DRAM read disturbance phenomena (RowHammer and RowPress), presenting TCAD simulations to explain bitflip directions, counts, and minimum aggressor activations, with implications for mitigation techniques.

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#dram

Chinese chipmaker shares surge 470%

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-07-27 Cached

Chinese memory chipmaker CXMT shares surged nearly 470% on its IPO debut, making it mainland China's most valuable listed company amid strong investor demand and government push for tech self-reliance.

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#dram

Nvidia’s biggest RAM supplier just had a trillion-dollar debut on Wall Street

The Verge ↗ · 2026-07-10 Cached

SK Hynix, a major supplier of memory chips for Nvidia's AI accelerators, had a successful US IPO, opening at $170 per share and reaching a $1 trillion valuation amid surging demand for DRAM and HBM driven by AI data center buildout.

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#dram

@rohanpaul_ai: The AI capex cycle is now pushing memory into a much more aggressive pricing upcycle than expected. UBS now expects DRA…

X AI KOLs Following ↗ · 2026-07-03 Cached

AI infrastructure investment is driving up demand for memory (DRAM, NAND), causing aggressive price increases. UBS forecasts DRAM and NAND price hikes in Q3 and Q4, with the DRAM market expected to remain undersupplied until at least 2028.

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#dram

According to Bernstein, SK Hynix has 90% profit margin on dram

Reddit r/LocalLLaMA ↗ · 2026-07-03

According to Bernstein, SK Hynix has a 90% profit margin on DRAM, highlighting high profitability in the memory chip market.

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#dram

breaking down the new DRAM price-fixing lawsuit against Samsung/SK Hynix/Micron (and where AI fits in)

Reddit r/ArtificialInteligence ↗ · 2026-07-01

A new lawsuit accuses Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron of colluding to fix DRAM prices, with potential impacts on AI demand for memory chips.

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#dram

Q&A with Micron's VP and GM of Memory

Hacker News Top ↗ · 2026-06-30 Cached

Micron's VP and GM of Cloud Memory Products discusses how AI demand is driving a memory super cycle, with technologies like HBM, LPDDR6, and PCIe Gen 6 SSDs becoming critical for data center architectures.

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