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#prediction-market

@Polymarket: Welcome to Polymarket HQ.

X AI KOLs Timeline · 6h ago Cached

Polymarket welcomes users to their headquarters, suggesting a possible event or announcement related to the platform.

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#prediction-market

George Santos Just Got Hit With Kalshi’s First-Ever Lifetime Ban

Wired · 2026-08-31 Cached

Former congressman George Santos received a lifetime ban and fine from prediction market platform Kalshi for insider trading and market manipulation related to prediction contracts.

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#prediction-market

@prerichguy: This dude is on a 3-0 streak so far. 3 predictions, 100% win rate. He's already at +$166K PNL, all made within just 5 d…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-08-16 Cached

A user on Polymarket has a 3-0 win streak with 100% accuracy, making over $166K in profit within days, and placed a large bet on a UFC fight.

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#prediction-market

@vijn_crypto: Chance to make easy money on LaLiga opening day on Polymarket Football season is back And @DG3_terminal already found t…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-08-15 Cached

A tweet promotes using DG3 Terminal to identify betting edges on Polymarket for a LaLiga football match, specifically Alavés Over 0.5 against Getafe.

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#prediction-market

State judge orders Kalshi to stop offering sports bets and other wagers

Ars Technica · 2026-08-14 Cached

A state judge has ordered Kalshi, a prediction market platform, to cease offering sports bets and other wagers in Washington, citing violations of state gambling and consumer protection laws. Kalshi argues it is regulated by the CFTC and exempt from state laws, sparking ongoing legal disputes.

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#prediction-market

@Sevenup27: I found the most profitable traders on Polymarket’s sports markets Their combined PnL already exceeds $52M And these ar…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-08-10 Cached

A user shares a public tracker of the most profitable Polymarket sports traders, whose combined PnL exceeds $52M, allowing others to follow their trades in real time.

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#prediction-market

@francescoinweb3: A trader placed a $5,000 bet that the US Federal Reserve would not change the interest rate at its September meeting Fo…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-08-09 Cached

A trader placed a $5,000 bet on the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September, illustrating how platforms like Kalshi allow trading on the probability of economic events rather than just the outcomes.

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#prediction-market

@BenjaminDEKR: I have a theory that important, historic times can only be properly recognized many years afterwards. In other words, w…

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-07-25 Cached

A tweet discusses a theory about recognizing historic moments, followed by Polymarket quoting Sam Altman declaring humanity is in the singularity.

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#prediction-market

@NeWry24: French users kept accessing Polymarket even after the platform was officially blocked ANJ classifies Polymarket as an i…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-07-22 Cached

French regulator ANJ has classified Polymarket as illegal gambling, ordered ISPs to block it, and is now targeting users and intermediaries like VPNs. The platform still saw 205k French users in June, setting a precedent for EU regulation of prediction markets.

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#prediction-market

@0xCheshire: The World Cup is over, and I got 15.61U from OKX's prediction event. Not a huge amount, but it's the participation that counts. Many people may not have noticed that @okxchinese quietly ran a full prediction market framework during the World Cup event. This time, 430,000 people participated, and $4.19 million in rewards were distributed. At the same time...

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-07-22 Cached

OKX reportedly ran a successful World Cup prediction market with 430,000 participants and $4.19M in rewards, processing 136M transactions on X Layer with sub-100ms latency, indicating readiness for more prediction markets.

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#prediction-market

14 of the top 20 Polymarket wallets are bots and none of them can prove their track record is real

Reddit r/AI_Agents · 2026-07-20

A report reveals that 14 out of the top 20 wallets on the prediction market platform Polymarket are bots, and none can verify their track record, raising concerns about manipulation and transparency.

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#prediction-market

Polymarket’s Corporate Structure Is a Mystery—Even to Some of Its Former Employees

Wired · 2026-07-17 Cached

Polymarket's offshore Panama entity, Adventure One QSS, may have had employees working from the US despite a CFTC settlement barring such activities, raising compliance questions.

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#prediction-market

Kalshi says it caught Trump’s teleprompter operator insider trading

The Verge · 2026-07-16 Cached

Kalshi's surveillance flagged and referred trades by Trump's teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez, who allegedly used inside information to win over $100,000 betting on what Trump would say during speeches, highlighting ongoing insider trading concerns in prediction markets.

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#prediction-market

@Polymarket: BREAKING: U.S. government projected to take an equity stake in OpenAI. 57% chance.

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-07-02 Cached

Polymarket reports a 57% probability that the U.S. government will take an equity stake in OpenAI.

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#prediction-market

Kalshi sues Illinois over new tax on prediction market sports bets

Ars Technica · 2026-06-29 Cached

Kalshi sues Illinois over a new law taxing prediction market sports bets, arguing it unfairly classifies them as unlicensed gambling operators while facing potential felony charges.

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#prediction-market

Polymarket's viral videos showed people winning big, but the bets were fake

Ars Technica · 2026-06-22 Cached

Polymarket's viral marketing campaign used fake bets and deceptive videos to promote its platform, with creators paid to simulate big wins, misleading viewers about the actual outcomes.

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#prediction-market

Polymarket reportedly paid people to post fake videos of themselves placing bets

The Verge · 2026-06-21 Cached

Polymarket allegedly paid influencers to create fake videos of themselves placing bets, according to a Wall Street Journal investigation. The company reportedly produced over 1,000 deceptive clips, which creators have since removed.

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#prediction-market

@PolymarketMoney: JUST IN: $MSFT weighs DeepSeek for Copilot Cowork.

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-06-16 Cached

Microsoft is reportedly considering integrating DeepSeek into its Copilot Cowork product.

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#prediction-market

The Ghosts of Polymarket: When Off-Chain Matches Meet On-Chain Reverts

Hugging Face Daily Papers · 2026-06-15 Cached

This paper identifies a new class of attack called Ghost Fills in Polymarket's hybrid off-chain/on-chain architecture, where attackers exploit the time gap between matching and settlement to revert orders, leading to over $1.49M in illicit profits and putting $1.78B at risk.

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#prediction-market

@daxianVIP: Prediction markets are really heating up, especially @predictdotfun. It's easy to see that @BinanceWallet now has a new column — the prediction market, powered by Predict, where you can directly bet on prediction tracks like cryptocurrency and football. One click and you're in to predict…

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-05-30 Cached

Prediction market heat rises, Binance Wallet adds a new prediction market column provided by Predict, supporting betting on cryptocurrency and football tracks.

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