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Prediction Market Analyst is an AI agent that analyzes prices on Kalshi and Polymarket to provide clear probabilities, edges, and risk assessments for better decision-making in prediction markets.
A federal appeals court ruled that Kalshi's prediction markets must comply with state gambling laws, continuing a legal battle that may reach the Supreme Court.
Forecast-Dojo is a replayable environment for benchmarking and training LLM forecasting agents, combining resolved prediction-market questions with dated news to enable repeated evaluation and learning from outcomes.
New York state is suing Polymarket, alleging it operates an illegal gambling platform, and seeks to shut down the service and impose fines.
The article discusses allegations that Kalshi, a prediction market platform, allows in-house market makers to engage in wash trading with zero fees, potentially faking their trading volume.
Polymarket and Kalshi are positioning themselves as media companies through newsletters, data sharing, and partnerships with news outlets, boosting their credibility amid legal battles over whether they are financial services or gambling platforms.
An exploration of potential intersections between prediction markets and social media, focusing on how popularity might play a role.
A tweet comments on President Trump dismissing concerns about advanced AI, with a reference to 'Reverse Cramer' implying potential jinxing.
The tweet discusses the limitations of binary prediction markets like Polymarket in sports betting, contrasting them with Asian Handicap, and promotes magicmarkets for its liquidity aggregation across multiple platforms.
The US government has launched three unreported investigations into potential insider trading on the Polymarket prediction market, focusing on trades related to Biden pardons, Iran events, and Google contracts.
This podcast episode discusses recent incidents in prediction markets, including bans and arrests, as well as AI surveillance technology and debates on rogue AI agents.
New Jersey urges the Supreme Court to classify Kalshi's sports bets as gambling rather than swaps, challenging federal preemption of state gambling laws in a case that could impact prediction market regulation.
Unionized workers at The New York Times and The Athletic demand the company scrap a deal with Kalshi, citing concerns over journalistic independence and Kalshi's status as an illegal gambling operation.
A Twitter user shares a success story of turning $290 into $43,051 through betting on tennis and World Cup markets, contrasting it with another case of weather betting to highlight strategic high-return predictions.
The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled in favor of states in a legal battle against Kalshi over whether its prediction markets constitute gambling.
A court has ruled that Kalshi's sports event contracts are classified as gambling rather than swaps, limiting their jurisdiction under the CFTC.
A Google engineer accused of insider trading on Polymarket argues in court that his wagers were international betting, not regulated financial instruments, in a motion to dismiss charges.
A Polymarket user named HondaCivic uses a low-risk, high-volume strategy with occasional high-reward bets to earn significant profits, totaling over $68,000 with recent weekly gains of $8,229.
Election officials are taking steps to mitigate potential chaos and distrust caused by prediction markets in the midterms, including new oaths for workers to prevent manipulation and aggression.
ProblyHQ is developing a personalization layer for prediction markets that adapts feeds to user interests, focusing on real-time markets across various domains like crypto and sports.