The Unsustainable Subsidy (1 minute read)

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Summary

An analysis of how Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic are adjusting their AI model pricing strategies as cash constraints and high capex spending drive price increases, ending the era of subsidized AI.

AI pricing is increasing as cash is tight and margins matter.
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Cached at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM

# The Unsustainable Subsidy Source: [https://tomtunguz.com/ai-model-inflation](https://tomtunguz.com/ai-model-inflation) Google’s AI triples in price each year\. [![Google Gemini: Flash and Pro Pricing](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/w_1512,h_850,c_fill,g_auto,q_auto,f_auto/uhmruf896ftdcbh6wf8i)](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/q_auto,f_auto/uhmruf896ftdcbh6wf8i) OpenAI’s flagship model was seemingly subsidized for a while, before rising again\. [![OpenAI API Prices: Flagship Falling, Then Rising Again](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/w_1512,h_850,c_fill,g_auto,q_auto,f_auto/xwyhnjwzt5xeh5gnswnp)](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/q_auto,f_auto/xwyhnjwzt5xeh5gnswnp) Anthropic’s AI has been the same price for a little bit & decreased for the most powerful models\. [![Anthropic API Prices: Opus, Sonnet, Haiku](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/w_1512,h_850,c_fill,g_auto,q_auto,f_auto/vdjjlu7siakf8b9qklqo)](https://res.cloudinary.com/dzawgnnlr/image/upload/q_auto,f_auto/vdjjlu7siakf8b9qklqo) Those are three very different pricing strategies\. If we compare the absolutes, the data completes the picture\. VendorModelInput \($/1M\)Output \($/1M\)GoogleGemini 3\.1 Pro$2\.00$12\.00AnthropicClaude Opus 4\.7$5\.00$25\.00OpenAIGPT\-5\.5$5\.00$30\.00Google remains the low\-cost player, increasing the price on all its models but still less than half of the competition\. Anthropic had maintained a luxe pricing until late last year\. The pricing changes indicate changes in strategy : cuts when cash is plentiful & share matters\. Increases when cash is tight & margins matter\. The latter is the case for all three vendors now when capex spending continues to set records\. The 1\-minute read that turns tech data into strategic advantage\. Read by 150k\+ founders & operators\. GP at Theory Ventures\. Former Google PM\. Sharing data\-driven insights on AI, web3, & venture capital\. [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-30/google-places-ads-inside-chatbot-conversations-with-ai-startups)•[WSJ](https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-media-telecom-roundup-market-talk-f8f0355a)•[Economist](https://www.economist.com/business/2023/07/25/next-generation-googles-run-a-tighter-ship)

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