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Radical Ventures' Rob Toews explains why his fund passes on almost every AI "Neolab" — except the one now worth $1T

Reddit r/artificial · 2026-08-10

Radical Ventures' Rob Toews explains why his fund passes on almost every AI 'Neolab' except Anthropic, which is now worth $1T, and shares an anecdote about spotting a property bubble.

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#ai-investing

Investors in Situational Awareness deserved to lose their shirts

Hacker News Top · 2026-08-04

A critical take on investors who lost money following the hype around the 'Situational Awareness' essay, arguing they deserved the outcome.

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#ai-investing

The Sound of Inevitability

Hacker News Top · 2026-08-04 Cached

The article opens with a trading scene about liquidity and clearing trades, then focuses on Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP fund's concentrated bets on AI hardware and chip stocks, noting recent market volatility.

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@omarsar0: recommended reading. the opportunity on harness engineering alone is hard to even measure. if you are an AI builder, ha…

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-08-01 Cached

Omar recommends reading Chamath Palihapitiya's AI investing guide, emphasizing the importance of harness engineering and evals for AI builders.

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@FinanceYF5: Leopold Aschenbrenner's 24 years 1/ Entered Columbia at 15, became valedictorian at 19, managed about $20 billion at 24. Fund netted 439% in H1, but plunged 67% in July, eventually selling most of the stock portfolio to Citadel. Leopold Aschenbr…

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-07-31 Cached

At 24, Leopold Aschenbrenner managed a fund of about $20 billion. Its net value surged 439% in the first half of the year, but plunged 67% in July, and he eventually sold most of the stock portfolio to Citadel. His experience is seen as a microcosm of AI frenzy and leverage risk.

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@FinanceYF5: Nailed the AI play, but couldn't survive the leverage 1/ A fund that bet on the AI wave and returned 439% in the first half of the year plunged 67% in July, eventually forced to sell most of its stock portfolio to Citadel. Leopold Aschenbrenner may have been right about the long-term demand for AI infrastructure, but he couldn't hold on until the demand...

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-07-31 Cached

A fund that bet on AI and returned 439% in the first half of the year lost 67% in July and was forced to sell most of its portfolio to Citadel, illustrating the risk that even correct long-term AI bets can fail due to leverage and timing.

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AI hedge fund Situational Awareness may have sold its public portfolio, but it still has its Anthropic shares

TechCrunch AI · 2026-07-30 Cached

AI hedge fund Situational Awareness, founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, sold most of its public stock portfolio to Citadel after steep losses, but retains its Anthropic shares.

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Portfolio Lab

Product Hunt · 2026-07-29

Portfolio Lab is a product launch on Product Hunt offering responsible AI-driven investing for portfolio management.

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@TaoRay: Yes, a few weeks ago, when AI upstream hardware was at its peak of hype, I asserted against the trend on Space that "the market inflection point is coming, the upstream falls, the downstream eats its fill, it's time to position in software cash cows." The market indeed developed that way. I have a very important observation: "In recent years, the increase of retail investors and speculative funds in the market will increase the amplitude of volatility, but on the contrary..."

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-07-14

The author recalls the previous prediction of the inflection point in AI upstream hardware hype, believes that the market will see sector rotation with downstream software benefiting, and points out that the increase in retail investors will amplify volatility but make the pattern more certain.

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@Jason23818126: After earning +1.46 million in two years, someone open-sourced their research system. The project is called AI Berkshire, and the real trading results are directly released: 2024: +69.29% 2025: +66.38% The core is not "AI stock picking", but breaking down the investment frameworks of Buffett, Munger, Duan Yongping, Li Lu into...

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-07-05 Cached

This project open-sources an AI research system based on the frameworks of value investing masters like Buffett, Munger, Duan Yongping, and Li Lu. It uses Claude Code/Codex to enable multi-agent parallel analysis of financial statements, valuations, etc., and shows real trading returns of over 1.46 million yuan in two years, significantly outperforming major indices.

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Orus

Product Hunt · 2026-07-03

Orus is a platform that uses Claude for investing in perpetuals, featured on Product Hunt.

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The most bullish AI outcome might be “not AGI”

Reddit r/artificial · 2026-06-25

The author argues that the most bullish AI investment scenario may not be full AGI, but rather extremely capable non-AGI AI that integrates into the economy without disrupting capitalism or society.

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13 Equities: Over $108,280,838,706,316 ($108T+) in Trading Volume

Reddit r/ArtificialInteligence · 2026-06-15

An analysis of the massive trading volume in AI-related equities since late 2022, highlighting the enormous capital flowing into AI stocks like NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, Broadcom, TSMC, ASML, and Micron, indicating a bifurcation of the economy around AI.

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SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI’s hot IPO summer

TechCrunch AI · 2026-06-12 Cached

TechCrunch's Equity podcast discusses the upcoming IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, and the new MANGOS acronym replacing FAANG. The episode analyzes what this IPO moment means for investors, valuations, and public tech companies in 2026.

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@rtk17025: A highly recommended account to follow: @citrini I first noticed them while reading Bloomberg, attracted by a headline < Citrini Founder Shocked His AI Prediction Spurred …

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-06-09 Cached

Recommends following @citrini's AI and semiconductor analysis account, detailing the accurate prediction records of two analysts, Jukan and Zephyr, including LG Innotek's stock surge, DRAM pricing power shift, etc., emphasizing the intelligence value in AI chips, memory, and supply chain.

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@369Serena: After Serenity gained popularity, many people's first instinct was to copy the setup. But in reality, we can equip Codex with these investment Skills and AI research frameworks, turning it into a stock research assistant: helping you break down industry chains, read financial reports, gauge sentiment, check risks, perform valuations, write counter-arguments, and even backtest strategies...

X AI KOLs Timeline · 2026-06-07 Cached

This post introduces how to install investment Skills and AI research frameworks into Codex, making it a stock research assistant, and recommends 5 GitHub projects: UZI-Skill, TradingAgents, Serenity Skill, Buffett Skills, QuantDinger, for tasks like industry chain analysis, financial report analysis, risk inspection, etc.

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Leni

Product Hunt · 2026-06-04

Leni is a newly launched AI tool for investors, claiming to be the most accurate AI for investment decisions.

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@0xcryptowizard: Learn AI Investing from Scratch

X AI KOLs Following · 2026-05-27 Cached

A user shares a free systematic tutorial on AI investing, covering industry knowledge, investment frameworks, and real-world case studies, designed to help beginners master AI stock investing.

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Ai is pricy

Reddit r/ArtificialInteligence · 2026-05-23

Michael Burry warns that the AI boom may be built on temporary demand from hyperscalers training models, creating a 'bullwhip effect' that could lead to severe oversupply and a sharp correction for Nvidia.

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AI in Investing

Reddit r/ArtificialInteligence · 2026-05-13

A finance professional with 14 years of experience and CFA certification expresses skepticism about current AI applications in investing, citing overly optimistic or superficial results, and asks how others are effectively using AI.

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